Political Hotsheet
By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ March 16, 2012, 3:00 PM

Why the Puerto Rico GOP primary matters

Rick Santorum, Puerto Rico

Republican presidential candidate, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, right, waves at supporters following a campaign rally in Old San Juan, Puerto Rico, Thursday March 15, 2012.

/ AP Photo/Ricardo Arduengo

The U.S. territory of Puerto Rico will have no say in the presidential election come November, and its Sunday primary has been overshadowed by bigger upcoming races in states like Illinois.

Still, frontrunners Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum ventured off the mainland this week to woo Puerto Rico voters. In a race in which every delegate counts -- and in which a connection with the Latino vote could pay off in the long run -- the Puerto Rico primary will matter more than many probably expected it to this year.

Delegates

Puerto Rico will award a total of 23 delegates after Sunday's primary -- 20 at-large delegates will be allocated proportionally while the last three will remain unbound to any candidate, though they can state their candidate preference.

That makes Puerto Rico nearly as delegate-rich as Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, American Samoa and the U.S. Virgin Islands combined. After Romney won 34 delegates delegates in those territories, his campaign noted boasted in a memo that they "helped expand his delegate lead, pushing him closer to the nomination."

With that in mind, it's not that surprising that Romney is heading to Puerto Rico on Friday, while his wife Ann joined Puerto Rico Gov. Luis Fortuno to meet with Puerto Rican senior citizens earlier in the day.

Newt Gingrich hasn't traveled to the island himself, but his daughter Kathy Lubbers has spent the past two days there. Meanwhile, Santorum visited Puerto Rico earlier in the week, but the trip may have backfired after he stirred up controversy by asserting that English should be spoken "universally" in Puerto Rico before the territory becomes a state. Santorum said his initial comments were misconstrued, but they nevertheless cost him two important Puerto Rico supporters who found the remarks offensive.

CBS News Estimated Republican Delegate Scorecard

Latino vote

Santorum's remarks could do broader harm to his reputation within the Latino community, since Republicans already suffer from the perception that they're insensitive to Hispanic issues and culture.

"We're not a separate country," Fortuno, who endorsed Romney in January, told CNN on Friday in response to Santorum's position on the issue. "Gov. Romney has shown respect for our heritage and our history, understands it better."

The results of Sunday's primary could also influence Hispanics -- Puerto Ricans in particular, of course -- on the mainland, both in the primaries and the general election.

While most of the Latinos in the United States are of Mexican descent, Puerto Ricans make up 9 percent of the U.S. Hispanic population, making them the second-largest group. About 10 million Latinos voted in 2010, and some expect about 12 million to vote in November.

The key swing state of Florida is gaining a net 7,300 Puerto Ricans a year, according a 2011 survey by the U.S. Census -- far more than any other U.S. state. About one in 10 Republican voters are Latino in Florida, and Latinos made up 14 percent of Florida Republican primary voters in January. Romney did particularly well among those voters, winning 54 percent of Florida Latino Republicans.

Can Romney or Gingrich win over Latinos?

Economy

While Latinos have traditionally been aligned with Democrats, Republicans are trying to make inroads with the demographic group by stressing their economic message.

"What's on [Latino's] minds is what's on your mind and my mind and everybody else's mind: How am I going to provide for my family?," Sen. Marco Rubio, a Hispanic Republican from Florida, said on CBS This Morning in January. "What I encourage our candidates to do is speak to that, and particularly as they are doing, I think, embrace the free enterprise system... I think that's where we win, I think that's where we're different than President Obama and his party."

The message could resonate in states hit hard by the mortgage and financial crises that also have sizeable Latino populations, like Nevada or Florida. It could also resonate particularly well with Puerto Ricans. Even though more than 20 percent of Puerto Ricans have a bachelor's degree -- compared with 16 percent of Puero Ricans on the mainland -- the unemployment rate on the island is about 15 percent.

When Fortuno announced his endorsement of Romney, he stressed the importance of Romney's economic platform. "Mitt Romney is the one candidate who has the record, leadership, experience, and pro-growth plan to continue the course of private-sector job creation we've begun in Puerto Rico and provide economic stability for generations," he said.

Complete coverage: Campaign 2012
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© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
17 Comments Add a Comment
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BC Kelly says:
.

How amazing ...

Puerto Rico has 23 Republicans ?

(and not talking about Delegates)

.
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longtree-2009 says:
santorum's words, ideas, comments, criticisms of others are for the most part way out there and offensive on some level. add to that pile santorum's offensive display of his beached whale look when photographed taking in a sun tan in pr. if you don't have the body, keep the clothes on or find a very, very private beach. finally made up my mind, just don't like anything about santorum. compared to santorum, ron paul looks like a winner.
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irreverentasever says:
Remember, you Puerto Rican Catholics are not the same as American Catholics. Santorums and Gingrichs catholithism only goes as far as the border.
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coyeyopr says:
From USA to PR

Federal gov.contribution 2704 millions
Personnal federal govt contributions 1923 millions
transfers payable by individuals(ss/veterans etc)8900 millions

From PR to USA
Imports 22,600,000 millions
Investment Income 34,000,000
Exclusive use of US merchant navy 1500 millions

And this is real data so anyone who thinks PR dont give anything back remember that Puertoricans are fighting for your "democracy" and they are not even allowed to vote for the person who gives the orders.And theres only one state sending more soldiers to Irak and Afghanistan
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Larnan5 says:
Simple truth. The ultra right wing white men of the GOP want women back in the bedroom to be used at will before and after they work in the kitchen.The rest of the republicans are petrified of these zealots and say and do nothing.. .
This is disgraceful. We no longer have a GOP. We are witnessing the growth a White Christian Fanatical Party of haters... and.... the moderate republicans, including Romney are signing up.
This is a reminiscent of Germany in the 1930's.
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jaykay3141 replies:
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I know the Nazi analogy can be overused but I think you're right on target. My daughter is a historian who's studied 20th century German history extensively. Among other things in her research:

> The Nazis didn't just seize power at the national level. They worked their way upwards through state and city governments, the equivalents of school boards, and other agencies.

> They promoted "family values" with the famous slogan Kinder, Kirche, and Kuche - Child, Church, Kitchen. Women were to stay home and have babies, and everyone had to attend church.

> They accused universities of being hotbeds of communism to be purged of any "elitist" or "liberal" professors.

> Ethnic, racial, and sexual minorities were singled out as "entartete" (degenerate). First their rights were restricted, then they were punished, and finally eliminated. Gays were forced to wear pink triangles similar to the infamous yellow stars required of Jews.

> Social police enforced a morality code on the general population while party politicians maintained extensive sexual liaisons - of both genders. Wide stance not required.

> There were even special radios that could receive only party-approved broadcasts. Today the analogue would be TV sets that are _voluntarily_ tuned only to Fox.
Rafterman11 replies:
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Ways the Nazis are similar to modern day conservatives in America:

Both had the same enemies: the media, unions, communists/socialists and college professors
Both were against abortion
Both put business above people (aka, fascists)
Both were ultra-nationalists who believed war was a legitimate tool for spreading influence
Both were religious xenophobes - Nazis with all religions and conservatives with any non-Christian religions
Both loved scapegoats and playing the victim: Nazis had the Jews, conservatives have the media, unions, government workers, minorities, gay people, atheists and immigrants
Both loved radio propaganda - conservative talkers outnumber liberals on air 10 to 1
Both play the blame game and denial of bad news
Both loved diversions to avoid accepting blame
Both think that internal enemies hate their country and are trying to destroy it
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FormerUSMCSergeant says:
Santorum said his initial comments were misconstrued, but they nevertheless cost him two important Puerto Rico supporters who found the remarks offensive.

--

I an relate as I find the great majority of Santorum's comment to be offensive myself....
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jaykay3141 replies:
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sharky, are you at all able to provide a more intelligent response to a man who both served his country and takes the time to write literate and logically coherent posts? Or should we look forward to other comparable ripostes? "So's yer old man!" and "nyahh-nyahh" come to mind. You're welcome to borrow them from me; I haven't needed them since 2nd grade.
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norcalruss says:
Rick Saint-Moron is a tin-eared, knucklehead who just wasted time and money going to PR. Apparently he is too dumb to know that they have had at least two plebiscites where the citizens were given three choices for PR to vote for:

A. Become a Republic
B. To petition to become the 51st state of the USA
C. To remain as a commonwealth of the USA

In both cases a plurality voted for PR to remain as it is. So what Saint-Moron is doing is to appeal to less than one third of the voters who want statehood but then telling them they have to give up their language for English first. The man is an idiot, he will crash and burn in PR because of this as well as to remind Hispanics why they shouldn't be voting for the GOP.
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ConSense replies:
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Since you're obviously a loony liberal Obaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaama sheeplike supporter, why would you presume anyone who votes Republican would care what you think of Santorum?
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NinthSt78 says:
I hope he takes the time to visit the souvenir shop down the street so he can get one of those beautiful folding fans. The artwork is so beautiful he'll want to keep it forever!
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retiredgustav replies:
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You mean the ones made in China?
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officerjoe says:
Is Ron Paul still a candidate or has the press officially disqualified him?
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ConSense replies:
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Unfortunately, he's still a candidate. Hopefully, not for much longer.
moshe05 replies:
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i think republicans did the disqualification.
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