Political Hotsheet
By

Lucy Madison /

CBS News/ March 13, 2012, 8:01 PM

Santorum leading in Alabama; Close three-way race in Mississippi

2012 - Elections Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Newt Gingrich CBS

Updated: 9:50 p.m. ET (For an updated story, click here)

(CBS News) As results come in Tuesday night for the Mississippi and Alabama primary contests, CBS News estimates that Mississippi will be a close three-way race between Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich.

In Alabama, CBS News estimates Rick Santorum is leading both Romney and Gingrich.

Polls in both states closed at 8 p.m. ET.

Full Alabama results
Full Mississippi results

In Mississippi, with 71 percent of the votes in, Santorum had 33 percent support, while Gingrich had 32 percent and Romney had 30 percent. 

In Alabama, with 26 percent of precincts counted, Santorum had 35 percent support, followed by Gingrich, with 30 percent. Romney followed with 28 percent support.

According to early exit polls out of Alabama, Santorum is leading among women, very conservative voters, and white evangelical voters. White evangelical voters make up about 80 of the Alabama electorate.

The same exit polls show Newt Gingrich leading among Alabama men.

Romney, however, is winning the votes of Republican voters in Alabama who pick the economy as their top issue, as well as those who say defeating President Obama is the most important quality in a Republican presidential candidate.

In both states, Romney is dogged by the notion that he is insufficiently conservative: More than half of Alabama primary voters and Mississippi voters alike say Romney's issue positions are not conservative enough.  In Mississippi, 49 percent of voters say Santorum's positions on the issues are about right, while 56 percent say the same of Gingrich. In Alabama, more than 50 percent of voters say both Gingrich and Santorum's positions on the issues are "about right."

In Mississippi, Romney has the backing of women. He also wins on electability and the economy, and is viewed as the candidate with the best chance of beating Obama.

Alabama exit poll
Mississippi exit poll

Gingrich, on the other hand, has a small lead with men, and is seen as the candidate who best understands the problems of average Americans.

According to exit polls, 83 percent of primary voters in Mississippi identify as born-again or evangelical Christians.

Polling out of Alabama and Mississippi ahead of Tuesday's contest showed close contests between Romney, Santorum and Gingrich, although Romney at one point referred to the region as "a bit of an away game" for him. A victory in the conservative South would help Romney demonstrate he has the ability to rally his base. Any wins for Gingrich could help him demonstrate his strength in the region, while they would allow Santorum prove he is the authentic conservative and alternative to Romney.

Although he can't secure the nomination on Tuesday, Romney told reporters earlier in the day that he's hoping to walk away with "a third" of the delegates at stake in the contests.

"You don't know from polls what will happen but obviously if the polls are anywhere near correct, we'll end up with, I don't know, a third of the delegates," he said. "And if that's the case, why, that inches us closer to that magic number."

According to Bloomberg, Romney and super PACs backing him outspent his Republican rivals considerably on advertisements in Mississippi and Alabama.

In Mississippi, Romney may also be getting a boost from the endorsement of Gov. Phil Bryant, who earlier this week lent his support to the candidate and said he thinks Romney can win his state.

There are also caucuses going on tonight in Hawaii, although results are not expected until early Wednesday morning.

CBS News delegate estimates
Full GOP primary results

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
13 Comments Add a Comment
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SunnygirlR says:
Congratulations to Mitt Romney for winning the Hawaii Caucus's and delegates from American Samoa!

I can hear Santorum starting to wail and WHINE about being "outspent" and "the Caucus's were fixed." This crybaby is NOT ready for prime time.

Go Mitt Romney! On to Victory for the only Grown Up in the bunch.

PS: Newt, you need to start winning states or get out.
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baileyccc says:
Newt, Newt, Newt, please stay in the race. We need you attacking the other republicans in the race. We need for you to point out just how badly the gop has lost touch with the middle class. We need for you to take all the house and senate gop members with you to the private sector.
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SunnygirlR replies:
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Newt Gingrich is a Delusional Gasbag to think he can drag this out until the Convention. Even his helmet-head wife didn't believe it when she introduced him as "the next President of the United States!" What a joke.

He needs to drop out and get behind the FRONT RUNNER!

Go Mitt! On to Victory.
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rogerrobie68 says:
The FARCE continues. Americans better wake the F up before its too late. It may be too late already....
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venusvegasvada says:
Oh, we're the boys for Gingrich...
We hope you liked our show,

We know you didn't root for us...
And we still refuse to gooooo....
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myabc123 says:
question for Mr Santorum/Romney/Gingrich. How do you plan on stopping the tidal wave of outsourcing that corporations are doing? The issue for me in this election is "who is going to keep the middle class alive in this country"? I work for Verizon, a healthy company, and yet they want to take away workers pensions, healthcare and be able to continue outsourcing American jobs at will. While most people reading this post pay aprox 1/3 of our income in taxes Verizon gets a tax refund! Are Mr Santorum/Romney/Gingrich the men to stand up to corporate greed? I'm skeptical about that.
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venusvegasvada replies:
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Wrong party.
rogerrobie68 replies:
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For a return to SANE foreign and economic policy: Ron Paul 2012. Wake up.
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ProgressNow says:
I've always said these neo-con (Mitt's a neo-lib) boyzzzzzzzz needed to be in a good hard three-way!!!!!
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isanyonefair says:
Is Sheldon Adelson keeping Gingrich in the race so that Santorum doesn't steal the nomination?

Just wondering out loud ...
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stevex47 replies:
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No the casino guys is just laundering hundreds of millions of ill gotten cash via gingrich, then he takes the cash and buy's diamnonds from Tiffany's.

The perfect drug, prosittution, gambling money laundering scheme. Thru a Presidential candidate. Typical.
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holalanemeir says:
Either Moe, Curly or Larry, who will win?
It's anyone's guess nobody knows-
The whole republican field will decipher and spin-
Everyone will arrive at the same conclusion-
Each of the candidates entirely blows.
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Transatlantique says:
Oh, a dirty 3 way, and in ol' Miss of all places. Sounds hot!
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