Political Hotsheet
By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ February 28, 2012, 5:30 PM

In Michigan, Arizona, electability top priority, exit polling shows

Republican presidential candidate, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum greets diners at New Beginnings Restaurant in Kentwood, Mich., Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2012.

/ AP Photo/Paul Sancya

Updated at 6 p.m. ET

Republican voters in Michigan and Arizona say the most important quality they're looking for in a presidential nominee is the ability to beat President Obama, according to CBS News early exit polling.

Michigan and Arizona Republicans are voting today in what has come down to a fierce battle between the establishment candidate, Mitt Romney, and the social conservative, Rick Santorum.

In spite of the major differences between the two frontrunners and the volatile nature of the primary race so far, voters' priorities have remained consistent -- in every contest so far with entrance or exit polls, the most important candidate quality for voters is the ability to beat Mr. Obama.

In Arizona, where Romney has led in the polls, 38 percent of voters said electability was the candidate quality that matters most. Twenty percent said strong character was the most important, while 22 percent said the having the right experience, and 16 percent said being a true conservative.

In Michigan, where the polls shown a tight race between Romney and Santorum, 33 percent said the ability to defeat Mr. Obama was the most important quality. Another 23 percent said strong character, while 22 percent said having the right experience and 15 percent said being a true conservative.

Romney, who's run a well-organized, exacting campaign organization, has run on the message that he's the most electable -- in fact, he's suggested he's the only candidate who beat Mr. Obama.

Santorum's last-minute strategy for Michigan: win Reagan Democrats
Romney calls Santorum Mich. robocall "outrageous and disgusting"

However, the former Massachusetts governor has been incapable so far of winning robust support from his own party. Losing to Santorum in Michigan -- where Romney was born and raised, and where his father was both governor and a prominent auto executive in the state -- would be a sharp blow to candidate once seen as inevitable.

Watch Romney in the video at left say he won't "light [his] hair on fire" to excite the GOP base.

Santorum has tried to cast himself as a more appealing candidate who is actually the one who can beat Mr. Obama. He's tailored his populist economic message, paired with his staunchly conservative views on social issues, to appeal to a group once referred to as "Reagan Democrats" -- working class, social conservatives.

While the polls leading up to Tuesday have shown a tight race in Michigan, the CBS News early exit polling shows that Romney's supporters so far are more enthused about their candidate than Santorum's supporters are: 53 percent of Romney's Michigan supporters say they strongly favor him, while 37 percent have reservations about him. Nearly eight in 10 Romney supporters in Michigan say they will definitely support the Republican nominee in the fall.

Viewer's guide: The Michigan primary
Estimated Republican Delegate Scorecard

By comparison, 39 percent of Santorum's Michigan supporters say they strongly favor him while nearly one in five say they are supporting the former senator because they dislike the other candidates. Fewer Santorum supporters say they will definitely back the GOP nominee in November.

Watch Santorum at left discuss whether the Michigan primary is "must win" for his campaign.

Not surprisingly, in both Michigan and Arizona, the economy is the issue voters care most about, the early exit polling shows. In Michigan, 54 percent called the economy the most important issue. Another 24 percent called the federal budget the most important issue, while 14 percent named abortion and 3 percent said illegal immigration.

In Arizona, 48 percent said the economy is the most important issue, while 32 percent named the federal budget, 12 percent said illegal immigration and 6 percent said abortion.

One issue that has been the subject of debate specifically in Michigan is the government bailout of the auto industry. None of the Republican candidates supported the bailout, but all of them have tried to explain the nuances of their respective positions. The early exit polling shows that 43 percent of Republican primary voters approved of the bailout, while 51 percent disapproved of it.

About half of Michigan voters made up their minds about which candidate to support sometime this month, according to the early exit polling, including 24 percent who made up their minds within the last few days. The recent debates were an important factor for 34 percent of Michigan primary voters, but 63 percent said they were not an important factor.

Most Arizona voters, meanwhile, decided on their candidate a while ago. More Arizona voters -- 45 percent -- said the debates were an important factor in their decision.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
40 Comments Add a Comment
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calebsally says:
Imagine a conversation between Obama-haters and citizens from Egypt:

"Why do you hate your leader? Does he murder protestors, violently suppress dissidents, and imprison political figures without a trial, like Mubarak did?"

"No, he ... passed socialized health care, bailed out the auto companies with taxpayer money, and drove up the national debt to give stimulus money to citizens and fix the economy."

"WHOA. First-world problems, dude."
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calebsally says:
The funniest and saddest part is that the people who hate Obama so much cannot QUITE articulate why they do without using vague, amorphous rationales.

If I had a dollar for every time I heard the nebulous "this-country-is-going-in-the-wrong-direction" or the equally ambiguous "anyone-is-better-than-Obummer-or-some-other-hastily-coined-pun-on-the-President's-name", I could pay back China myself.
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MotherMayEye says:
Why bother voting? Obama and his friends at the Open Source Digital Voting Foundation have already hijacked our elections systems thanks to online voter registration and Rock the Vote.

Incredible story: obamasgarden.wordpress. com/2012/02/18/answers/
(close the extra space)

You will LONG for the days of ACORN after reading it.
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irreverentasever says:
The good news story of the day in Wisconsin is about a person by the name of Lori Compas that singlehandedly organized a recall campaign against the Republican state senate leader Scott Fitzgerald for his egregious actions against teachers, firefighters and other workers. She succeeded in gathering more than enough signatures to force a recall election against the politician that always trying to change current law, eliminate laws or pass new laws designed to hurt workers and their families for the benefit of Republican Governor Scott Walker and his financiers the Koch brothers aka ( Americans for taking Prosperity away from others ). Building on her success she has decided to run against Scott Fitzgerald. Now that is truly inspiring and the American way.
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mwfcolorado says:
"electability top priority"

People with such 'priorities' should not be allowed to vote.

I'd prefer to see, "doing what is best for ALL Americans top priority".

Hoping for Presidential failure means we all fail. I'm on the side rooting for success. Where do you stand?
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retm-w says:
Wonder if santorum told that elderly lady in the picture, that he is going to take away her Social Security and Medicare if he's elected.
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ProgressNow replies:
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More like: "Will you have my baby...god has commanded it!!!!!"
retm-w replies:
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Progress

Well as sick as santorum is, I wouldn't doubt it.
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jeannettelj says:
I am ashamed to say that I live in AZ. This is the most republican and the most backwards state in the union. Wouldn't matter if the devil himself was running on the republican ticket, the people of this state would vote for him. Go figure.
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occupy_cbs says:
"In Michigan, Arizona, electability top priority, exit polling shows"




Seems that the GOP should have thought about that a long time ago, before foisting a bunch of far-right extremist clowns on America, since even 55% of republicans are still unhappy with their own candidates, and certainly not showing any enthusiasm or voter turnout!
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noloyalisti says:
These people who are still stupid enough to vote for Republican already forgot the reign of terror of the Bush-Cheney Crime Family. They want more of the same. Or worse.
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erpicferl says:
all they want to do is beat obama because he's black. bottom line.
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