Political Hotsheet
By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ February 27, 2012, 10:37 AM

New polls provide mixed news to Obama, GOP contenders

Obama Gingrich Romney Paul Santorum CBS/AP

Two new national polls this morning provide very different views of the general election match-up.

According to a new USA Today/ Gallup survey, in a head-to-head match up against President Obama, Republican presidential contender Rick Santorum performs slightly better than his GOP rival Mitt Romney. The poll undercuts Romney's electability argument against Santorum just one day ahead of a critical primary in Michigan.

Nationally, Santorum beats Mr. Obama 49 percent to 46 percent, the poll shows, while Romney ties with the president at 47 percent. The national survey, conducted February 20-21, has a four-point margin of error, meaning both GOP candidates are statistically tied with Mr. Obama.

In a survey of voters in 12 swing states by USA Today and Gallup, Santorum's lead against Mr. Obama widens. He beats the president 50 percent to 45 percent. The swing state survey, conducted February 14-21, also has a four-point margin of error. In this poll, Romney bests Mr. Obama 48 percent to 46 percent.

The USA Today/Gallup survey shows both Mr. Obama and Romney may be suffering from voters' perceptions about health care reform -- three of four voters in swing states say Mr. Obama's reforms are unconstitutional. Meanwhile, 27 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in the swing states say they are less likely to support Romney because of the Massachusetts health reforms he signed into law (7 percent said they're more likely to back him because of the reforms).

However, another survey of national voters released today from Politico and George Washington University suggests that neither Romney nor Santorum could beat Mr. Obama at this point.

In this survey, Mr. Obama leads Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in a head-to-head match up. The president similarly leads Santorum 53 percent to 42 percent. The survey, conducted February 19-22, has a 3.1 percent margin of error.

While Romney performs just slightly better against the president in this poll, the survey shows that among Republican voters nationally, Santorum bests Romney 36 percent to 34 percent.

Electability has been a key argument in Romney's campaign: On Friday, the former Massachusetts governor said he's the only Republican presidential candidate that can beat Mr. Obama in the general election. In every contest so far with entrance or exit polls, the most important candidate quality for voters is the ability to beat Mr. Obama.

Romney will face a critical challenge on Tuesday, when Republicans will vote in both Michigan and Arizona. Expectations are especially high for Romney in Michigan, where he was born and raised.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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1JimHamilton1 says:
Stephanie Condon, I will never give any of your articles credibility.

I guess CBS Is bias too, they want to mislead the public by only giving part of the information.

Ron Paul bests President Obama in a head-to-head matchup by 43 to 41 percent, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll released Tuesday, and Newt Gingrich is 10 points behind.
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LogicRules3 says:
Love it...righties are hysterical...anytime that the ship is sinking, bring in a USA Today poll, a paper that has as much substance as Santourum and Romney combined.
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eddy_4 says:
No mention of Paul leading Obama 43% to 41% in the new national Rasmussen poll.

No story on the 4000 attendees to Ron Paul's stump speech at Michigan State University yesterday either? I guess all the candidates are bringing in that crowd?
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BlameRepublicanz says:
Niether Sanitarium nor Robo Romney will EVER BE PRESIDENT.
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RyonWallace says:
Very strange... yet another article with no mention of Ron Paul. Not that I care much about poll data, but as long as we're talking about electability: the latest Rasmussen poll shows Ron Paul beating Obama 43% to 41%.
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js2212 says:
by leftyintexas February 27, 2012 2:41 PM EST
America was destroyed when YOUR "leader" DUMBYA was in office. Those 8 years were the WORST years I've ever lived through.
_________________________________________________________________________

Oh, so I guess you weren't a beneficiary of the economic boom then? Too bad. If you've got to suffer through the bad, you at least want to reap some of the good while it's around. Maybe you should have made better personal choices. Those years were great for me.
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js2212 replies:
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Keep up the good work, shark
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infantryman1968 says:
New polls provide mixed news to Obama, GOP contenders

LOL!

USA Today/Gallup Poll: Swing-State Voters Want Obamacare to Be Repealed
And, by a margin of 4 to 1, they think it's unconstitutional.


Yes We Can!
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erpicferl says:
so sanctimonious rick and robotron romney are the choices against obama? lol obama in a landslide.
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infantryman1968 replies:
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LOL!

really?

5 points ahead without a designated candidate? Regan was 15 points behind Carter in March of 1980.
mehurst replies:
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infantileman -- which of Romney/Santorum/Gingrich/Paul do you think is the next Reagan?
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rightbehind says:
People would have to be nuts to vote republican. They're economic terrorist. The economy is well on the mend despite all the republicans have done to sabatash it. They have done nothing but said no and wrote uterus laws. We need to throw every one of them out of office.
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b4uigo replies:
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Lots of "nuts" voters in 2010 eh Righty? You Marxists will just never get it will ya?
jabber2 replies:
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Santorum has told us that he will turn the country into a catholic nation. He has confessed that he would follow the parish priest or the pope rather than the American citizens. WOW We would be a theocracy. Not much different than Iran or the Taliban. Voters, beware, this is not constitutional,

Not only that he feels that if people want their kids to go to college they are snobs. Imagine. I guess he is a snob because he wants his kids to go to college.
The GOP has lost their minds. Anyone who votes republican in 2012 hates the U.S.
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MaryWaterton says:
Back in 2008, polls said that McCain was going to win right up until about the last 30 days. The liberal news media is nothing but a giant political action committee for the democrat party and polls are nothing but tools of propaganda for moving that portion of the electorate in the middle that can't think for itself.
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retiredgustav replies:
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Fox news is liberal?
b4uigo replies:
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Yep Gus, one voice against the many. Oh, and look! Watched by more than all the networks combined.
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