Political Hotsheet
By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ February 21, 2012, 11:48 AM

Santorum, Romney vie for the lead ahead of key contests

Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney AP Photo

Republican presidential contender Rick Santorum has been riding a wave of momentum since his three primary and caucus victories earlier this month, and the latest Gallup daily tracking poll suggests the former senator is gaining popularity among Republicans nationwide.

Santorum's newfound popularity is coming at a critical juncture, with "Super Tuesday" -- the day 10 states hold their nominating contests -- just two weeks away. Within the next two weeks, however, the state of the race could once again change dramatically.

The four remaining Republican hopefuls are set to debate in Arizona Wedneday, a potentially game changing event ahead of the February 28 contests in Arizona and Michigan. And ahead of Super Tuesday, the candidates -- particularly former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney -- are sure to draw large sums from their campaign war chests to launch more blistering attacks at one another.

Gallup's daily tracking poll of registered Republican voters now shows Santorum leading with 36 percent support. Romney comes in second with 26 percent, giving Santorum his largest lead in the national poll to date. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich takes 13 percent, and Rep. Ron Paul wins 11 percent.

Santorum's standing in the Gallup daily tracking poll began rising after he swept the February 7 nominating contests in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

Since then, a few polls have shown Santorum leading in Michigan -- the state where Romney was born and raised. Along with Arizona, Michigan holds its Republican nominating contest on February 28. A loss in Michigan would be a severe blow for Romney, given the expectations set for him in his "home state."

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The most recent polls suggest Romney could be closing in on Santorum in Michigan. A Mitchell/Rosetta Stone poll of Michigan Republican voters conducted Monday showed Santorum with a slight, 2-point lead over Romney -- that's within the poll's margin of error. It's worth noting that the one-day Mitchell poll was conducted via robocalling, which is somewhat controversial in the polling field.

Another poll released this week from Public Policy Polling (PPP), a Democratic firm, also shows Santorum in a statistical tie with Romney, leading just 37 percent to 33 percent.

Both PPP and Mitchell released polls earlier this month that gave Santorum a stronger lead.

Polls in Arizona show Romney with the lead there.

If Romney really wants to catch up to Santorum in Michigan, he'll have to convince voters there's more to his candidacy than the argument that he's the most electable -- a new USA Today/ Gallup survey, conducted February 16-19, shows that more than half of Americans already think Romney's the most electable GOP candidate.

With that in mind, Romney has been busy hitting the campaign trail in Michigan, taking a more personal tone. He's holding a town hall at a manufacturing plant today, while his wife Anne Romney hosts her own events in Battle Creek and Hudsonville, Michigan.

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Romney has also stepped up his attacks on Santorum. On Monday, he accused the former senator of making a major contribution to reckless Republican spending, helping the GOP "spend like Democrats," for voting repeatedly to raise the debt limit while he was in Congress.

Romney will seek to hit on his personal ties to Michigan and Santorum's flaws in Wednesday's debate.

Santorum, meanwhile, should aim to appear presidential in the debate, to build up his own electability argument. As he seeks frontrunner status, Santorum has been sharpening his rhetoric against Mr. Obama on the campaign trail, painting a picture of a president out of touch.

However, Santorum will also have to fend off questions about some controversial remarks he's made and possibly some recent campaign gaffes -- such as his campaign surrogate's remarks over the weekend (later retracted) about President Obama's "radical Islamic policies."

Today, Santorum is campaigning in Phoenix.

Santorum and his rivals are expected to stay aggressive on the airwaves as well as on the campaign trail.

Newly-released financial reports show that Romney raised $6.5 million last month, while Santorum and Paul both raised $4.5 million and Gingrich brought in $5.6 million.

Romney has $7.7 million in cash on hand -- more than the other candidates combined -- but his campaign has been spending cash twice as fast as it's bringing it in.

Romney's negative campaign against Santorum will of course be buttressed by spending from the pro-Romney Super PAC Restore Our Future. Paul, meanwhile, is also launching a negative ad against Santorum, calling the former senator a "fake" fiscal conservative.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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keote_poet says:
by Don_From_IL February 21, 2012 5:44 PM EST
You can't because you're too busy lying and copy and pasting to listen
________________________________________________

what??..Is it you again Don, sitting the dark babbling like an old woman with no teeth...about the only thing you should be worrying about is when someone is going to change your diapers...
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preacherbob1 says:
Was one of my comments pulled and cast upon the trash heap of politically incorrectness? I would like a answer CBS.
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thebob-bob says:
American only hope that the Sack of Froth can smear the Romnatron enough to foul the entire playing field, bankrupt both candidates and allow Obama, the clean and effective Christian family man, a clear path to re-election.

The Republican's willingness to question his religion, his patriotism, his citizenship and even his basic decency disqualify them all from the Highest Office in the Land.

Obama 2012!!
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preacherbob1 replies:
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Well put! Isn't it utterly amazing, as well as disheartening, how nasty and untruthful the Republican candidates are?
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stevex47 says:
Robme needs to close the gap, so santorum doesn't surge.
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preacherbob1 replies:
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I love your typo---"Robme" quite prophetic!
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mountainstates1 says:
The worst group of Republican candidates EVER! One wants to take America back to the stoneage (Santorum) and the other is such a rich elitist he thinks corporations are people! (Romney). I'm voting for Obama.
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erpicferl replies:
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Obama is the lesser of three evils. unfortunately he keeps kicking the can down the road on the deficit.
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keote_poet says:
the race for last continues..the romney-sanitorium train will soon crash..
Obama 2012...
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whozzzzure says:
We need three major political parties in this country: progressive/democrat; moderate/republican; conservative/structuralist.

Right now those who are moderate republican have no party. That, friends, is the problem. There is no longer left or right, liberal or conservative. This is what it shakes out to be. Extreme views don't belong anywhere in sane politics.
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daffy64 replies:
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I suspect after the next election you'll get your three choices. Whichever of the poor Republican candidates that gets nominated will most likely lose and half the party will scream they weren't "conservative enough" or "not mainstream enough" to win.
frizzy140 replies:
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i agree with your point wholeheartedly whozzzzure
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sykesterryb says:
None of the GOP choices are even remotely palatable. I wouldn't vote for any of them. But Santorum (the media's "flavor of the week") is rivaling old "snake oil" Gingrich for sheer scariness.

Someone had better inform Santorum about the separation of church and state (even though the lines have been very blurred in the last 30 years).

Go ahead, take your "I'm a Christian, so I'm better" stand. Pride goeth before a fall.
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preacherbob1 replies:
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I love it when you talk dirty to me--------------- Your jab, albeit mild, is offensive. Why is it necessary to show your lack of decorum as well as understanding?
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erpicferl says:
they are both cardboard cutout soulless men. where are the jobs plans? where is the deficit reduction plan? where is the view of where america should lead going forward? no lets attack contraception and call Obama a muslim instead...losers.
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preacherbob1 replies:
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Those kind of questions can only embarrass and humiliate the candidates and their entire party organization.
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whozzzzure says:
It is, by far, the nuttiest GOP primary in history, mostly because the moderate voice of the party has been told to "shut up." Therefore, we are left with the lunatic fringe. The only way one of these deranged souls can beat Obama is if the folks under 35 don't turn out and support him. That means the people with the jobs, the money, and the 1950s mentality will drag this country backward on a global stage. The kids had better get energized, or they are not going to like the result.
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daffy64 replies:
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Whoa. Well said.
twmat311 replies:
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Agreed, but the latest gen, for the most part, has been handed a bleak picture. Not sure if I can blame them for taking a "live for today" posture, after them seeing their elders' retirements dashed and career security moved to day-to-day status. We have to get back to "stable-enough" to answer that old question "where do you see yourself in 5 years?"