Political Hotsheet
By

Brian Montopoli /

CBS News/ January 10, 2012, 6:58 PM

New Hampshire exit poll: Almost half made choice late

A voter cast his vote in the first-in-the-nation presidential primary AP Photo/Matt Rourke
Nearly half of the New Hampshire voters who have voted in today's Granite State Republican primary decided who to support in the last few days, according to early CBS News exit polls.

Nineteen percent of voters said they made their choice just today, and another 27 percent said they decided in the last few days. Fifty-three percent said they made up their minds before that.

Full New Hampshire primary results
Republican Primary Election Center

A majority of voters - 60 percent - cited the economy as the most important issue to them. Twenty-five percent cited the budget deficit, 6 percent pointed to abortion, and 4 percent cited health care. Ninety-four percent of GOP primary voters said they are at least somewhat worried about the nation's economy, including 69 percent who are very worried.

Asked the most important quality in a candidate, GOP primary voters were most likely to point to the ability to defeat President Obama, which was cited by 33 percent of GOP primary-voters. Twenty-seven percent said they wanted a candidate with the right experience, 24 percent wanted someone with strong character, and 14 percent wanted what they considered to be a true conservative.

While 67 percent of New Hampshire GOP primary voters said they were satisfied with the candidates in the field, 31 percent said they were unsatisfied.

Asked whether issues or a candidate's qualities are more important in their vote, GOP primary voters pointed to the former. Fifty-seven percent said a candidate's position on the issues was the paramount concern, while 40 percent said a candidate's leadership and personal qualities mattered more.

The full exit poll results will be available here at 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time, when polls close in New Hampshire. You can see results from the primary, which will be updated throughout the evening, here.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the frontrunner for the GOP nomination who has a summer home in New Hampshire, is heavily favored to win the state. He entered Tuesday's primary day polling about 20 points ahead of his nearest rivals, Libertarian-leaning Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman.

But even if he wins, Romney could be stung if he falls short of expectations. If Romney takes the state but his margin of victory is in the single digits, for instance, his triumph will largely be seen as a loss. Romney has borne the brunt of aggressive attacks from his rivals in recent days over his record at venture capital company Bain Capital, with Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry and others characterizing him as a ruthless corporate raider unconcerned with the layoffs the company sometimes instituted after taking over a struggling company. He also made a pair of gaffes, including stating that he liked to be able to "fire people" during remarks about the importance of being able to choose between health care providers.

For Huntsman, who has seen his poll numbers inch up in recent days, anything less than a strong second-place finish may mean the end of his campaign. Huntsman, who has a reputation as a moderate, skipped the Iowa caucuses to focus on New Hampshire, with the hope that he will do well in the state due in part to the fact that independents can vote in the state's GOP primary.

Jon Huntsman: "I'm a scrapper. I'm a fighter"

Rick Santorum, who finished in a virtual tie with Romney in the Iowa caucuses, has hoped the victory would result in a surge in the polls in New Hampshire. Yet the GOP electorate in the Granite State, one of the least religious and most independent-minded in the nation, is a poor match for the socially-conservative former senator, who is expected to make a strong push in the January 21 primary in more socially-conservative South Carolina.

For Paul, meanwhile, a second-place finish would be helpful - but unlike for Huntsman, it's far from crucial. That's because no matter what happens, the antiwar, free-market proponent has a passionate group of supporters poised to offer financial support to allow him to remain in the race and attempt to build up delegates over the long haul.

Gingrich, who initially vowed to run a positive campaign, has turned nasty toward Romney, seemingly in response to the attack ads run by Romney's allies that helped torpedo Gingrich's chances in Iowa. Gingrich predicted Romney would fall short of expectations in the state that is supposed to be his stronghold, predicting that for Romney, "I don't think it's going to be much of a fortress."

Rivals aim to chip away at Romney as N.H. votes

Full coverage: Campaign 2012

28 Photos

On the trail in New Hampshire

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
11 Comments Add a Comment
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MrCoatsLibertyNow says:
Any potential Romney supporters out there need to watch this before voting for him:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2h8ujX6T0A

GO DR. RON PAUL 2012!!!
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tsprague52 says:
So, does anyone think that Gingrich is going to yell "It's not fair" again?
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Channel99 says:
The IRS claims 50 million people pay no income taxes, and that means what they do pay comes back as a refund. Some people get more back with child tax credits. All the people who get food stamps, a welfare check, medicaid and so forth, and old people - well these are the Obama voters! It's a pity the Democrats try to scare these people and attempt to make them more important than the other 150 million tax payers who actually contribute to industry and taxes. It's a sad state of affairs.
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retm-w replies:
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No different then corporate subsidies and corporate tax credits, of course to you it's unfair that business's have to pay taxes.
Cru09 replies:
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Before it comes back as a refund, it's busy churning the economy. That's part of why it's withheld in the first place. To "actually contribute to industry and taxes," as you put it.
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Channel99 says:
Noloyalisti - I feel very sorry for you. You regurgitate your words like clockwork and chime with the other mindless Liberals who have fallen for the same scam that's been played on your side for the last 40+ years: Threaten the sick, old and poor - those who contribute very little in terms of substance and pretty much no taxes. The majority of rich people in America are Democrats actually, in fact many are the richest people in the world like Warren Buffet and Bill Gates. The people you elect are rich elitists, not average Joe's. Washington is corrupt and has been, that's the real problem. Obama spent as much on his failed stimulus in a short period, while we spent the same amount on the Iraq and Afghanistan War - so what's your point huh? Do you remember when Bill Clinton created the Internet Bubble and entire Counties retirements were destroyed, like Orange County California! Did you forget Bill handed GW Bush a country in a terrible recession, but did he pass the blame? No he didn't, and the stimulus your side talks alot about was only on paper and lasted a day or two. Clinton was stealing from Social Security and made no IOU's - did you forget that too? Bill also repealed the Glass-Stegal Act and do you know what happened next? all his super rich, well connected Liberal Wall Street pals helped monetize Mortgage Debt. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were not investigated when asked by Republicans, the only thing we heard was Maxime Waters and Barney Frank say everything was okay there - but it wasn't, as you found out. Now we face more debt and substandard healthcare when Obamacare comes into play after Obama is kicked out of office. The next President will inherit a problem that did not exist until Barack Obama was elected president - helped all the way up by the way with help from all of Hollywood rich fat cats including Oprah Whinfrey who has since sought to distance herself and public awareness of that fact. Looks like the Democrats were the original rich and still are. Now they got you so mentally confused, all you can do is use words like reaganomic and repulicons. Pretty pathetic you are.
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retm-w replies:
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Did you ask limbaugh if you could quote him.
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ProgressNow says:
I think "None of the Above" is going to win (in the end).
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noloyalisti says:
If the economy and the deficit were the biggest issues than none of them would have voted for a Republicon. Between pushing Reaganomics which finally destroyed the world economy and insisting on needless wars and giant tax welfare the the rich, the Republicons are responsible for both problems.
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tgwoe replies:
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What the world needs is a vulture capitalist corporate raider as president. Zombie Romney for prez.... yea...
tsprague52 replies:
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This isn't the Presidential election. This is to see who is going to be in the primary's for the GOP in June. After that is the Presidential election.
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