Political Hotsheet
By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ December 9, 2011, 6:30 PM

Grim economic outlook weighs down Obama approval rating

Updated 7:25 p.m. ET

CBS News Poll analysis by the CBS News Polling Unit: Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto.

Less than one year out from Election Day 2012, voters remain overwhelmingly pessimistic about the economy, and their concerns are taking a toll on President Obama's re-election chances. Just 41 percent of Americans think Mr. Obama has performed his job well enough to be elected to a second term, whereas 54 percent don't think so.

The president's overall approval rating remains in the mid-40's, according to a CBS News poll - lower than the approval ratings of Mr. Obama's four presidential predecessors at this point in their first terms. Mr. Obama's approval rating is dragged down by his poor marks for his handling of the economy - which, at 33 percent, is the lowest rating of his presidency in CBS News polls.

Mr. Obama receives better marks on foreign policy and for his leadership skills. But when it comes to leading the economy in the right direction, voters are unimpressed: Just 28 percent think he has made progress on improving the economy. And most Americans say the president doesn't share the public's priorities, according to the poll, conducted December 5-7.

CBS
Obama and the economy

Forty-four percent of Americans approve of the job Mr. Obama is doing as president, and about as many - 46 percent - disapprove. His approval rating has remained fairly steady but below 50 percent since the spring of 2010, aside from an uptick in the spring of 2011 following the death of Osama bin Laden.

Since bin Laden's death, the president has received high marks for his handling of terrorism: In this poll, 57 percent approve. Voters are split on his handling of foreign policy overall, with 41 percent approving and 41 percent disapproving.

Views of how he has handled the economy is the obvious drag on the president's ratings: While just 33 percent approve, 60 percent disapprove. Similarly, just 35 percent approve his his handling of job creation while 58 percent disapprove. The last time Mr. Obama's approval rating on the economy was above 40 percent was in February of this year.

Views on the national economy remain very negative: Since early 2008, roughly three in four Americans (and sometimes even more) have said the economy is in bad shape. Now, 86 percent of Americans characterize the economy as at least somewhat bad, including 42 percent who say it is very bad.

Although the national unemployment rate recently dropped below 9 percent for the first time since 2009, Americans are skeptical that a recovery is on the horizon. Just 21 percent think the economy is getting better, and 39 percent think it is getting worse, up from 32 percent last month. Another 40 percent think the economy isn't changing.

When asked if Mr.Obama has made real progress fixing the economy, 68 percent say he has not, and just 28 percent say he has. And while 37 percent say the Obama administration's policies prevented the country from going into a deeper recession, just under half - 49 percent - say those policies did not do that.

In addition, more think the policies of the Obama administration have mostly favored Wall Street (42 percent) than mostly favored average Americans (38 percent).

But while they may disapprove of his handling of this issue, few Americans think the president is most to blame for the current state of the nation's economy. When asked to choose between the Bush administration, the Obama administration, Wall Street, and Congress, more Americans blame the Bush administration (22 percent) or Congress (16 percent) than Wall Street (12 percent) or Mr. Obama (12 percent), though 24 percent volunteer that a combination of all four is to blame.

Obama: Unemployment could go down to 8% by election ("60 Minutes" interview)

Mr. Obama's qualities and characteristics

Despite an approval rating in the 40s, Americans appear to have a positive impression of Mr. Obama on some personal measures. A 57 percent majority views the president as a strong leader, similar to the percentage in a September poll -- but that figure has declined significantly since he took office. Democrats (85 percent) and independents (57 percent) say Mr. Obama has strong qualities of leadership, while 67 percent of Republicans disagree.

Fifty-nine percent Americans describe the president as down-to-earth, and just a third says he is aloof. Democrats and independents see him as down-to-earth, while more than half of Republicans perceive the president as aloof.

The president is also seen as a fighter: Two thirds of Americans think Mr. Obama fights hard for his policies; just 26 percent say he doesn't. More than half of Republicans think Mr. Obama fights hard for his policies.

CBS
Bringing change and uniting Americans were central elements of Mr. Obama's presidential campaign four years ago. Today, most Americans think he has worked hard to bring about change (57 percent), but fewer (37 percent) think his presidency has united the country. There are partisan differences on these measures also.

Additionally, most Americans do not think the president's priorities for the country are in line with theirs. Fifty-four percent say Mr. Obama doesn't share their priorities, while 41 percent think he does. This is the public's most negative assessment on this question since Mr. Obama assumed office. Again, the public divides along partisan lines: 73 percent of Democrats say he shares their priorities, while 79 percent of Republicans say he does not.

Americans also remain skeptical of one of the major legislative achievements of Mr. Obama's first term as president -- the 2010 health care reform law. Fifty-one percent of Americans disapprove of the law, including a third who strongly disapprove, while just 35 percent approve either somewhat or strongly. More Americans have disapproved than approved of the law since it was passed in March 2010.

Half of all Americans think Mr. Obama should have focused his priorities elsewhere during his first term in office, though 43 percent think he did the right thing in trying to reform the health care system.

Congressional gridlock

Congress' job approval rating is far lower than the president's. Eighty-two percent of Americans disapprove of the job Congress is doing, while 11 percent approve - just two percentage points above the all-time low of 9 percent recorded last month.

When it comes to the difficulties in reaching agreements and passing legislation in Congress, Americans put more of the blame on the Republicans in Congress than Mr. Obama and the Democrats. Forty-two percent blame Republicans more, while just 26 percent blame Mr. Obama and the Democrats, though 22 percent volunteer both are equally to blame.

Looking ahead to 2012

CBS

Americans continue to be unhappy with the direction the country is headed: Three in four think the country is off on the wrong track. Just one in five thinks it is headed in the right direction.

With nearly a year left before the 2012 election, 41 percent of Americans think Mr. Obama has performed his job well enough to be elected to a second term, but 54 percent don't think so. Not surprisingly, most Democrats think Mr. Obama deserves to be re-elected, while most Republicans do not. More than half of independents do not think he deserves to be re-elected.

As the president gears up for his re-election campaign, 66 percent of Americans say they do not have a clear idea of what he wants to accomplish in a second term; just a third say they do. Fewer than half of Democrats say they have a clear idea of what the president wants to accomplish if re-elected.

Mr. Obama's 44 percent approval rating is only slightly below President Bill Clinton's at this point in time in his presidency (47 percent), but it is 14 points lower than President Ronald Reagan's was in late 1983. President George W. Bush's approval rating, at 52 percent in December 2003, was also higher than Mr. Obama's.

Comparisons to modern one-term presidents are mixed. President Obama's approval rating is lower than President George H. W. Bush's in November 1991, but Mr. Bush's approval rating dropped precipitously during 1992. In contrast, Mr. Obama's current approval rating is much higher than the 30 percent Jimmy Carter received in late 1979.

After nearly three years in the White House, 52 percent of Americans say Mr. Obama's performance in office has been about what they expected, but 35 percent feel his time in office has been disappointing. Few Americans - even among Democrats -- say he has exceeded their expectations.

Full CBS News poll results (PDF)


This poll was conducted by telephone from December 5-7, 2011 among 856 adults nationwide. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups may be higher. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

© 2011 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
303 Comments Add a Comment
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marvinpurser says:
Obama deserves to be President for another term more than all the Republican candidates for President combined. Condileeza Rice needs to be borrowed from the Republicans to run with him for Vice-President.
Hillary Clinton, the only Secretary of State referred to affectionately the world over by her first name, should remain where she is. All three have proved their incredible worth to make the world safe for Democracy.
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carolo43 says:
China and Europes economy is also dragging ours down. But when Obama was running for President, he was no more aware our economy was on the brink of disaster than anyone else. That is except Bush who stood on the White House lawn in Nov 2008 and announced not only were we in a recession but had been for a year. That was 2 months before Obama was sworn in. Obama also was not repaired to be handled the debt for the Iraq war of 8 Trillion dollars. I guess going back to the President who left office with the 25% approval rate sounds good to some but not to me.
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jeniabqcall says:
When I read these ignorant comments I worry for my country. Obama's congress has spent more than all the previous Presidents combined, not to mention the millions of taxpayer dollars they have spent on their lavish vacations. Plus Michelle Obama's Marie Antoinette attitude buying $2,000 sundresses and having 23 assistants, when every other first lady has had either one or two. I think that ANY of the Republican candidates would do a better job. He was awarded the peace prize why?Oh yes because he spoke well! He has actually got us involved in more wars than Bush, without Congressional approval.He ignores the Constitution and has filled his administration with left wing zealots. He has offended most of our friends and has tried to turn us into a European style socialist country. He has a dreadful record and he needs to let a qualified person take office.
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Dianna-Rene says:
I think Mr. Obama deserves a second term. Now that many of the political mines and economic barriers that had been thrown up against him are beginning to erode, momentum is slowly shifting. Things will get done. Terrorists are dropping like flies. If anyone tells you that a war with Iran is the only available alternative to their nuclear issue, that Mr. Obama is not doing enough to defend the nation, he or she is pretty much talking out of his/her bum. The sequence of options (courses of action) being employed in the case of the Iranian question are evenhanded and well considered. If someone talks war, what he/she is really talking is 'oil.' If someone tells you we are not doing enough to keep our promise help protect Israel these days, what he/she is really doing, is playing to a powerful demographic. The US commitment to Israel has, is and always will be steadfast. If a politician is throwing the word appeasement about as if it were some disease to be stamped out in the course of a generation, what he/she is really saying is, "Things were just fine the way we had them, now this upstart thinks he can just walk in and change everything with a smile and a handshake." I don't think, Bin Laden got a smile and a handshake. I don't think Iran is getting a smile and a handshake either. I think this President walked into a minefield he wasn't prepared for when he took the watch, Washington Isn't broken --- it just needs to be cleaned out and refitted. How do 99 sheep defeat 1 wolf? They register and vote. Don't let a lesser percentage of the population decide for the greater whole. I've heard Mr. Simon Cowell say, "America almost always gets it right," provided 'all' of America participates. ---Vote your conscience, respect the outcome.
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sharkboy234 says:
Put Obama back in because we need to save the internet every body save the internet we need to Obama back in because of the internet.
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steeepe says:
Obama's not perfect and has been a bit of a disappointment, but compared to the likely GOP candidates, he's a winner. The tea party GOP is full of anti-intellectual, anti-science, irrational and ignorant hypocrites and compulsive liars. Anybody looks better than the Republican candidates that want to dismantle social security and the EPA and get rid of financial regulations and turn the country into a theocracy.
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blindddhorse says:
How can he lose? The Republican Campaign has gone bat **** crazy.Obama is terrible,but will win again with these clowns running against him.I have thought ( ELECTIONS)many times are staged,looking more like that everyday now.The way i see it,with anyone of them getting into office is a disaster REP. or DEM.
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Jahzera says:
I don't get it. The polls say the majority don't think Obama deserves to be re-elected for a second term. Yet, I don't know a single person who shares this view and this from a mixed crowd of both conservatives and liberals.
Most feel he's done the best job he could given the blowing up nightmare he walked into along with a beyond imaginable dysfunctional Congress.

I see in forums such as this people comment on what he should have done or what he did or doesn't do. Remember folks, he doesn't make a single one of these decisions alone. That dusfunctional Congress, the entire congressional body, shares the responsibility. Although they love to attempt to not take responsibility.
I'm sick of the whining and bickering. The one thing the polls did appear to reflect correctly is that our current congress needs the boot. I don't know a single person who thinks thier not the absolute biggest hazard to this country. And that means more hazardous than our debt.
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insightig says:
What is amazing to me is how some say Obama has done nothing for our country when in fact he has done more than any president ever in history (look up the facts people) in the 3 years he's been in office including keeping us from going into a deep depression. The ones who have not "done anything for you" that would be your Congress. As for me. I will be voting for the first time in my life... Straight Democratic Ticket. And if I have come back and explain to you "why" or read your slams... that just tells me you have no education in regards to politics and how Washington works and or you refuse to face the truth. That you also just want to bring down the President regardless of whether your children, parents, grandparents and or yourself get damaged from it.
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BigBlivefromny says:
If the ignorant reject in this country elect one of the worthless Republican candidates out there, then for SURE we are headed to ultimate disaster!Americans only read about our own culture and economy.Europe is in BIG trouble, but our economy has grown at almost twice3 the rate of European countries for 2011!! Think Obama sucks? No the Repubs have tried to block EVERYTHING Obama has tried to do simply to screw his chances in 2012...the AMERICAN PEOPLE BE DAMNED...to the stupid and arrogant Republicans.They would destroy the whole country to get Obama plain and simple..Duh! do you people not see it!? Oh, and it was mainly Repubs who got us in this mess...Georgy rang up the LARGEST DEBT of any Prez. in history..look it up morons!
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