Political Hotsheet
By

Lucy Madison /

CBS News/ November 17, 2011, 5:46 PM

Pessimism pervades as clock ticks on supercommittee deal

Just six days before the supercommittee's Nov. 23 deadline to reach an agreement on reducing the deficit, Politico reports that Rep. James Clyburn, R-S.C., said Thursday he thinks there's about a "50-50" chance of success.

The congressman's comments reflect a growing sense of pessimism among Republicans and Democrats about the possibility that the bipartisan 12-person committee will come to a deal before the Thanksgiving deadline. If no deal is reached, $1.2 trillion is set to be automatically cut from defense and domestic spending in 2013 - an alternative which was designed to serve as an incentive for compromise, and which both parties say they want to avoid.

The two parties appear as far apart as ever on a compromise, with the main sticking point being the inclusion of significant revenue increases as part of the deficit reduction package.

In a weekly press briefing Thursday, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi stressed that a package that does not include tax increases is "a place that we cannot go."

"If the plan is to extend the Bush tax cuts and to repeal the Medicare guarantee for our seniors, well that's not balanced and that's a place that we cannot go," Pelosi told reporters. She that "revenue seems to be the rub for the Republicans" and said she did not want to see the triggers go into effect.

"I don't want that to happen. We have been working very hard for it not to - let me remind, we have already cut $1.2 trillion since the summer," she said. "...I think there is a better way to do it than the sequestration [trigger], but the sequestration is part of the legislation, and that's what we will follow. But there is a better way and I'm still optimistic."

Pelosi suggested, however, that Republicans are more beholden to conservative activist Grover Norquist's pledge not to raise taxes than the oath of their office.

"There are those, maybe some who think who have suggested that the oath to Mr. Norquist is more important than other oaths that members take," she added, referring to a pledge that 238 House Republicans have signed promising not to raise taxes.

Supercommittee Co-Chair Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., talks to reporters on Capitol Hill in Washington, Thursday, Nov. 17, 2011, to give an update as she and other Democratic members of the Supercommittee, including Rep. Xavier Becerra, d-Calif., left, emerged from a closed-door meeting.

/ AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

Democrats have rejected a Republican plan put forth on November 7 that would have lowered tax rates for all income levels in exchange for limiting some key deductions, which Republicans say would bring $250-300 billion into the Treasury. The plan would also make permanent the tax cuts enacted under President George W. Bush. Democrats have adamantly opposed making those tax cuts permanent, and say doing so would add $4 trillion to the deficit.

House Speaker John Boehner blasted Democrats Thursday for failing to publicly put forth a proposal for a deal, contending that "there has been exactly one proposal on the table in the committee and that proposal came from the six Republican members - House and Senate - where it was outlined what we would be willing to do."

"There have been discussions amongst individual members, but it's very clear to me there has never been a Democrat position - not one time have they coalesced around a plan that will address this issue," Boehner said.

Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wa., the Democratic co-chair of the supercommittee, maintained Thursday that Democrats were willing to work with Republicans but that "I would hope that is a way for them to understand that...they need to compromise too."

"We have made it clear that we are willing to meet their offer but it has to be in a way that is fair to working families and puts our country back to work," she said. "That's the task that we have at hand. I would hope that that is a way for them to understand that they need to compromise, too, and come back to us and reach a deal, which is critically important today. But I think the challenge is that they have to resolve the differences on their side, on revenue. And that's what we're waiting for."

"I believe we have opened a door to negotiations in these last, final hours, that if they can come to an agreement on their side on revenue, that we'll be able to move forward," she added.

Republican Rep. Jeb Hensarling said Thursday he was "unaware of any offer or any idea from any Democrat that did not include a minimum of a trillion dollars more of taxes."

And as the deadline approaches, some members have expressed optimism that, even if a deal is not reached, Congress could reconsider the sequestration.

Committee member Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., said on Fox News this weekend that "in the very, very unfortunate event that we don't [reach a deal], I think it's very likely that Congress would reconsider the configuration of that sequestration, and consider is this really the best way to do it?"

Hensarling suggested that the triggers could be avoided by agreeing to a broad framework for an agreement and then delegating the details to yet another committee.

"Yes, there could be a two-step process that would hopefully give us pro-growth tax reform," he said Sunday on CNN.

The White House has shot down that possibility, reminding committee members that "the whole idea of the sequester was to make sure that both sides felt obligated to move off rigid positions and do what was required to help the country."

Boehner said that "I've had my fair share of meetings over the last eight or nine weeks" about the deficit reduction deal, but suggested that he was not yet ready to step in and take over the negotiations.

"The leaders created this, and frankly think the leaders have some responsibility to help the committee succeed - and that's what we have been doing," he said. "You can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink. And the problem that we've had all year is getting to yes. We've never gotten the Democrats, whether it's the White House or where we are today, we have never gotten them to a point where there was yes. They never really put paper on the table."

"It's very frustrating," he added.

Pelosi, meanwhile, seemed less than optimistic that the committee would be able to put together a deal that would be acceptable to Democrats.

"Democrats continue to be committed to big, bold and balanced in terms of a proposal that could come out of there," she said Thursday. "I don't know if it can be as big and bold as I like, but I hope that it will be balanced - because that will be the only way that we will be able to reach agreement."

© 2011 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
62 Comments Add a Comment
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RobAla says:
Some seem to think we can tax ourselves out of this mess. Look at Europe. It has attempted high taxes and massive benefits, and Europe is on the verge of going bankrupt. Californian and Detroit have tried the same thing, and they both are going bankrupt. I hate to rain on the parade, but we are broke. We have to stop looking at what we want the federal government to do for us. There is no money. WE NEED TO GROW UP, AND WE NEED TO DO IT IN A HURRY!

Most people would love to have something for nothing, but it doesn't work that way. Each of us has a wish list of things we would like the federal government to do for us. The problem is that there isn't enough money. There isn't enough money to continue spending like we are if we robbed the so called "1%" of every dime they have earned.

The spending has gone out of control, and unless it is seriously reigned in the United States will collapse economically. This is real. This isn't a video game or a movie. Unless we seriously reduce the size and scope of the federal government, the nation will collapse under the weight of an unbelievably huge national debt. Then what will people do? A smaller functioning federal government beats total collapse any day of the week.

The party is over. We have spent the well dry, and it is time to live according to our means. This is real. The games have to stop. We have to seriously make huge cuts in the size and scope of the federal government, unless we are all OK with a national collapse of the greatest nation the world has ever seen. I pray to God that American still care about the future of this nation, and about the future we hand to our children. The self serving party has to come to an end.
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Hala_c says:
Supercommittee=Superflop
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realtimecoffee says:
by arthanyel
So we do have some common ground. And if our Congress could focus on common ground and getting things done, instead of staking out ideologically pure positions at the expense of sanity, we would be far better off.
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Common ground indeed my friend.
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arthanyel replies:
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And I think there is a great deal of common ground in a frank discussion of what should be done at the state level vs. what should be done at the federal level. Even if there are nationwide programs enacted by federal legislation (say, unemployment insurance) that does NOT mean the programs have to be nationally run - they could easily be done at the state level with the taxes to support them flowing there.
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bajajohn1 says:
Seems like the GOP is wiggling like tadpoles on this budget deal. Their stomachs churn. GOP know they have to raise taxes on the rich and their $300 billion tax increase spread over 10 years is a sham. They know it and the American public knows it.
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arthanyel replies:
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Of course they know it. There is no mathematical solution for tackling the deficit on cuts alone, unless you ELIMINATE (not reduce, not change - ELIMINATE) all discretionary spending AND all DEFENSE, or you continue to take in the taxes for Sopcial Security and Medicare but ELIMINATE (not reduce, not restructure - ELIMINATE) both programs.

HIgher taxes are a necessity. The GOP has promised not to raise taxes, and they are caught between a rock and a hard place. Because they don't want to publicly state their ACTUAL agenda - which is to keep taxing the middle class but eliminate Social Security and Medicare.
realtimecoffee replies:
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As far as Medicare and SS goes, raise those rates to pay for the program. If people won't pay what they cost then cut the "services" to match income. All independent of Income taxes. Personally I think cutting the personal SS withholding was a crazy idea. There must have been a more sensible way to leave a few more bucks a month in worker's wallets. In the end though I cannot see how both programs won't end like all ponzis. Unless maybe you raise the retirement age to 80.
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nuttyworld says:
The anti-American liberals are consistent about wanting to destroy Medicare and Medicaid by driving with blinders on and not seeing the signs up ahead that say, danger, these programs are unsustainable if you stay on the current track.
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arthanyel replies:
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Completely inaccurate. They want to preserve them, and they understand that requires changes. But changes - not dismantling them, which is what Republicans want.
bajajohn1 replies:
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Wherever the nutty world exists, perhaps inside your isolated mind, thoughts materialize as a fantasy, that Democrats want to dismantle a program created By Democrats for the preservation of the elderly in our society. You comments are simply not true, quite desingenious.
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cheeksforus says:
I don't think we will get a good result whether it's all rep's or all dem's in control. I just don't trust any of them, they are all bought and paid for, none of them are for the people. And I think we are headed down a road that even they can't change, not that they would but... The only way to stop the train is to derail it and by this I mean revolt
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credibility2 says:
Our system is broken, and in large part to the corrupt politicians in Washington. Why are politicians like Durbin allowed to get insider trader tips from the likes of Hank Paulsen right before the stock market took a dive, allowing him the opportunity to sell his stock, and this isn't considered a crime? Don't just go after the Wall St. types who do this. Martha Stewart served time for doing a less egregious actions than politicians like Durbin and also Paulsen. Fix the problems...either it's a crime for all or don't make it a crime for just the general public. How much influence has stuff like this cost our economy?
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notyrants says:
The local governments in the United States in part under the conspired efforts of 18 mayors across the nation have arrested 4,400 United States citizens.

By comparison, the Iranian government arrested 4,000 of it's citizens during protests in 2009.

Information not found on a non-democratic corporate government tabloid posing as the media.
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starving1968-3 says:
by 1American November 18, 2011 9:46 AM EST
What we have here printing this drivel is "starving1968", a 60s flower child nearing retirement with no savings, no plan, and no medical insurance wanting a free ride. Good luck "starving" you didn't listen to advice then and you sure won't listen now.







Actually I'm a 43 year old, gainfully employed white male, with a pension, a deferred compensation plan (like a 401k), and some of the best benefits that can be had.
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sandog1960 says:
Did anyone really expect this dog and pony show to accomplish anything significant? Really?
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