Political Hotsheet
By

Kevin Hechtkopf /

CBS News/ October 28, 2009, 12:04 PM

Breaking Down Obama's Approval Rating Slide

The latest CBS News Poll, conducted in early October, found President Obama's approval rating hasn't changed much over the past few months, but it is down from the high he reached in April, as he neared the end of his first hundred days in office.

The president's overall job approval rating was 56 percent in early October, with 34 percent disapproving, and 10 percent saying they don't know. Approval dropped twelve points since April, when 68 percent approved.

(CBS)


Mr. Obama has lost ground with independents and Republicans. In the October CBS News Poll, just 20 percent of Republicans approved, down from 31 percent in April. Most recently 52 percent of independents approved, down 13 points from 65 percent. 91 percent Democrats approved in April; 87 percent do so now.

?OBAMA APPROVAL RATINGS BY PARTY
10/2009 4/2009
Republicans 20% 31%
Democrats 87% 91%
Independents 52% 65%


According to CBS News Polls, other recent presidents have experienced drops in their approval ratings at similar points in their presidencies.

There was a twelve point drop in Ronald Reagan's approval rating by the fall of his first year in office, and he too was grappling with a bad economy. In April 1981, 67 percent approved of the job President Reagan was doing; by September approval had fallen to 55 percent, with 33 percent disapproving. President Jimmy Carter's approval rating dropped nine points, from 64 percent in April 1977 to 55 percent by October. President Bill Clinton's stayed about the same: 49 percent approved in May 1993, as did 48 percent in October.

Of course, other presidents have gained ground in their approval ratings during their first year in office. President George W. Bush, who has received both the highest and the lowest approval rating of any modern president, saw his approval rating soar to 90 percent in October 2001, just after the terrorist attacks.

?PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL RATINGS - FIRST TERM
Spring Fall
Barack Obama 68% 56%
George W. Bush 56% 90%
Bill Clinton 49% 48%
George H.W. Bush 61% 69%
Ronald Reagan 67% 55%
Jimmy Carter 64% 55%



Recent CBS News Polls
CBS News Poll Database



Sarah Dutton is the CBS News director of surveys. Poll Positions is weekly Hotsheet feature on polling trends from the CBS News Survey and Polling Unit. Click here for more posts from the series.
© 2009 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
44 Comments Add a Comment
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tocnwth says:
I think he has done better than any president since FDR. Obama inherited the worst economy since the great depression and without the aciton taken to stop the colaspe of the bankers it would have been just like the depression.
I know it is tough to borrow all the money--I would have raised taxes on the top 3 percent of the richest as soon as I could have after taking office.
How many billions and millions does any one need to invest, hide in foreign banks, which is being brought to light, and put in the bank. The Bush family are very rich and how many jobs did they create, how many tractors did W. Buy for his ranch? Did you see the shack that had boards missing when they held press conferences at the ranch? He would not even buy a board to replace the missing.
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hsmomRN says:
As a nurse and a biology minor, I can assure that the definition of a living thing as listed in any science textbook certainly fits an embryo as well as a an unborn fetus. It is not dead tissue or it would never develop and grow. In an abortion it is very much alive until it is willfully and purposefully exterminated. Any honest abortionist admits that truth- they just believe the woman's rights trump the life of another. This argument carried to it's extreme conclusion is if you inconvenience me I have the right to kill you. In short... Murder.
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glnagrom replies:
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This truth can be proven mathematically. O=JC?
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-royalcrowncola- says:
So, I had the guy figured for the second coming of Jimmy Carter...and, his poll numbers seem to agree.
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don1023512009 says:
Hey folks ...It's not too late . I'm sure we could convince George W. Bush to return for a 3rd term . Would you like THAT any better than what you have now ? By the way , I just checked , and our current President enjoys a 56% job approval rating as of late October 2009 and I figure that even if the Dems lose some ground in congress next year , the Repubs will Still be in the cellar ( they are SO far down in the minority now it will take more than 1 election for them to get back on top ) . Even though there is some Democratic dissention on major issues such as health care reform , there are dozens of pieces of legistlation being passed by them every day , most of which are not widely known or discussed , which will nonetheless fly in the face of the hard right and alter the course of this country for years to come ...And Mr. Obama is putting out executive orders daily and will have the power to appoint probably at least 2 more justices to the Supreme court ... because unless the Republicans can come up with a much better candidate than Sarah Palin for 2012 , he will be in the White House for a LONG time !
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lawndoctor25 says:
Our country is headed right toward socialism. I'm afraid for what will come if this health care passes. What happen to our rights as us citizens. Obama is not showing us what he promised and seems to me he wants to take control of everything and make our decisons for us. All this talk of tax increases, government spending when does it stop.
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natdef_1 says:
Obama is trying to recreate the country in his image, breaking campaign promises right and left, and putting the country's financial future at risk......and people don't like it?????

What a shock!!!

He'll be in the 30s a year from now.
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orvy3 says:
Should have been Hillary...
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newyorkmom says:
I will break it down for you...the economy is no better / the stock market is now back in retreat...the country is split over health care reform and Congress is becoming more and more polarized (what happened to the coming together?)...the commander in chief cannot be relied on to make crucial troop decisions in Afghanistan...H1N1 vaccine cannot be delivered fast enough and kids are dropping like flies - we have known about the threat since this spring and the country appears unprepared...oil companies are taking over Iraqi oil fields under the watch of Obama...and yet he is playing golf and having a great time parading around and attending Olympic committee deliberations. At least he won the Nobel peace prize..I guess if you cant make a decision during a war you are a winner.
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us_1776 replies:
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No, I'll break it down for you.

So now along comes Barack Obama who sees all the massive amounts of greed and the basic unfairness of our entire system as it has been developing over the past 8 years. And Americans responded to his calls for change and elected him our next president. And now those same GREED interests that have caused all this massive damage to America's middle class are spending massive amounts of money funding campaigns of lies and distortions to try to discredit a man who sees all there is that is wrong with America right now. And so now there is a huge headwind that is facing the president due to all these "special interests" working against all his initiatives.

The economy clearly has been saved from total collapse due to the presidents policies and swift action.

The healthcare reform with a public option has clear support from the American public in the latest polling. It is the extremist Republicans in the Senate that are refusing support, despite a majority of Americans wanting this healthcare reform passed. And this level of support is even after all the millions spent by the "special greed interests" to line the pockets of the Republicans and the onslaught of lies and distortions put out by right-wingnuts on healthcare.

As far as coming together. Many, many overtures have been made by the Democrats to the extremists Republicans and the Republicans have rebuffed every single one of them. You cannot come together with these extremist Republicans. There ideology has moved so far to the right that all the centrists have left the party and now you have nothing left but narrow-minded ideologues who would never consider the common good.

As far as Afghanistan, the president is not shooting from the hip like Bush/Cheney. He's taking the proper amount of time to assess the best course of action to achieve the best result. And this time with America's interest at heart rather than plugging Halliburton into the public treasury.

And your H1N1 comment is just stupid. The president cannot make the labs produce the vaccine any faster than they already are. The labs have been going full bore since the pandemic was first identified and they said that the yields are not quite as good as they were hoping. This is nothing that the president or anyone else has any control over.

There has never been a president who has had to work as hard as President Obama in his first year and yet you complain because he will take a day to attend some deliberations that promote the United States of America. And yes, President Obama won a Nobel Prize because of his power to inspire billions of people around the world. Not only did America celebrate his election. The whole world watched the campaign and could see that this was a truly inspirational leader. A leader with a vision not just of four years, but with a long vision of a better future, a bright future for the US and also a bright future for the whole world.
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us_1776 says:
THERE IS NO COMPARISON TO ANY PREVIOUS PRESIDENT.

President Obama is facing the most massive firestorm of "special interest" contrived lies and distortions than has ever been faced by any president at any time in our country's history. The amount of money being spent by private "special interests" at trying to undermine the president is huge. These "special greed interests" are well-heeled and nearly all benefit from the status-quo. A status-quo that has brought us an economic crisis, a housing crisis, a credit crisis, a mortgage foreclosure crisis, the huge healthcare insurance crisis. All of these were caused by GREED. And those that benefit from the greed-based status-quo are now trying to conduct a campaign of lies against a great man. The rest of the world has recognized the greatness of Barack Obama and it is time for every American to realize what a great man we have elected as our president. These type of people only come along maybe once every 50 years. We are indeed very lucky to have him now when our nation needs a young, strong, visionary who wants equal rights for all, fair wages and pay for all, and a stronger better educated American workforce that can compete in the global market.

Shame on those who would act to undermine such values and our president.
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newyorkmom replies:
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Give me a list of 10 things that he has done to show his "greatness"..and someone who only comes along "once every 50 years."
What a joke! He got elected. He bailed out the banks. He gave a good speech once. His wife dresses nice. He gave a good speech once. I believe that anyone who supports abortion rights does not have "such values." He supports the destruction of innocent life..there you go for your values. What happened to the equal rights for all? Where is the fairness in murder? Go to sleep on that one.
RandomUser1886 replies:
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us_1776
Your post is baloney.
Just like Obama.
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rightbehind says:
His approval rating hasn't slid. The media is trying to please their corporate masters. If an election were held today he would still win.
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