September 17, 2009 2:04 PM

Unplugged: Missile Shift Due to Iran's Changed Arsenal

By
Michelle Levi
Topics
Washington Unplugged
The White House's announcement that it would abandon the Bush administration plan for a long range missile defense shield in Poland and the Czech Republic and instead deploy a more portable system of land and sea based interceptors is really the result of intelligence that Iran is advancing is capacity to launch short and medium range missiles, CBS News' National Security Correspondent David Martin said on "Washington Unplugged" Thursday.

"The buried lede here is that there is this new intelligence estimate which says that Iran is progressing much more quickly than previously thought on developing its short and medium range missiles," Martin said. "Where previously the U.S. had thought maybe they would have to contend with a launch of four or five Iranian missiles, now they are talking about a capability for Iran to launch hundreds."

Martin explained that the now scrapped plan would put only ten interceptor missiles in Poland.

"Ten interceptor missiles against hundreds of Iranian missiles just doesn't cut it," he said.

The White House "had to come up with a new approach here if they were going to take this new approach here seriously," he added.

Martin added that the standard missile which will be used as part of the new Obama plan has the "advantage of costing one tenth of what those large interceptors they were going to put in Poland cost. So now it's financially possible to deploy hundreds of these standard missiles."

CBS News' Chief White House correspondent Chip Reid said "critics have immediately seized on the idea that what they are doing is basically throwing Poland and the Czech Republic under the bus here...and they are doing it to basically improve relations with Russia."

Mackenzie Eaglen a research fellow from the conservative Heritage Foundation said "if you look at it a little cynically but perhaps realistically, we are taking away missile defense in Europe...and getting nothing in return."

President Obama will chair the U.N. Security Council next week, but Eaglen argued that in advance of those meetings "Russia has said we are not even going to press for additional sanctions" against Iran

She added that while the diplomatic fallout of the policy reversal might produce better relations between the U.S. and Russia, both Poland and the Czech Republic are major allies in the war in Afghanistan.

"We could see some diminished presence in Afghanistan as a result of this and there is going to be major blow back from Congress," Eaglen said.

White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs was adamant with reporters that there was no quid pro quo with Russia involved in this policy shift.

"At the same time the White House does allow that this certainly could help improve relations with Russia...vis a vis Iran," he said.

Why now, moderator Bob Orr asked?

"I think this was a surprise to just about anybody outside the Pentagon," Chip Reid replied.

Watch the full roundtable above.

"Washington Unplugged" appears live on CBSNews.com each weekday at 12:30 p.m. ET. Click here to check out previous episodes.

Add a Comment
by robham777 September 17, 2009 8:25 PM EDT
So Russia was vehemently opposed to the missile defense shield in Poland and the Czech Republic, but now is relieved that the U.S. is going to deploy a much cheaper and more capable system?
Reply to this comment
by amerecua September 17, 2009 7:37 PM EDT
What's this, DIPLOMACY? I'm glad to see the United States is capable of real diplomacy. First missle shield, next Cuba embargo. O-ba-ma! O-ba-ma! He's the man! I love watching him dismantle Bush policies one by one. How long before Cheney weighs in on a Sunday morning talk show.Obama 2012! Maybe we should look into doing away with term limits.
Reply to this comment
by stuart-johns September 17, 2009 7:15 PM EDT
This is a brilliant political/strategical move by Obama. Now this is the kind of decisions I expected him to make as President. Good job Mr. President!!

You anti-Obama people have no idea what your talking about. The system Bush had in place only afforded us weak defense and cost billions. By scrapping that system Obama saved billions of dollars.

It additionally affords our troops superior protection as it does to all the nations Bush's system was designed to protect. We already spend billions on warships that have better technology in missle defense than this old cumbersome system Obama shut down had. And they operate at significantly less cost and do a better job.

This also cools tensions with Israel which is good for the Middle East in general. It will improve relations with Russia and ease tensions there. It's a win win win situation.

Brilliant, bold, decisive move Mr. President. I am not saying that as a partisan hack. Really, this was a stroke of political brilliance. And good for the economy too.
Reply to this comment
by stuart-johns September 17, 2009 3:20 PM EDT
And no republican should under estimate the importance of having Russia in good standing with us.
Reply to this comment
by stuart-johns September 17, 2009 3:18 PM EDT
Seems as if this decision addresses a few issues like un-neccessary cost cutting and it improves relations with Russia (even though that was not the plans major intent).

But I am always suspect anymore about the accuracy of our intelligence. The corruption and deception of the Bush administration gave me that gift.

And I even question if our intelligence community is as good as it can be.
Reply to this comment
by User_00000000002945496845 September 17, 2009 8:00 PM EDT
Well let me break the intelligence picture down for you. The negative space of the story intimates that plans are afoot for Israel to go ahead and "reduce" Iran's nuclear and delivery capacities as well as target a few of Ahmadinejad's hang-outs with cruise missiles -- so get your moped now or get used to walking.
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