Political Hotsheet
By

Tucker Reals /

CBS News/ May 4, 2011, 11:18 AM

Bin Laden news gives Obama 11-point approval bump

CBS/AP

CBS News Poll analysis by the CBS News Polling Unit: Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto.

A new CBS News/New York Times poll shows President Obama's overall approval rating has jumped by an impressive 11 percentage points in the wake of the U.S. military mission which killed Osama bin Laden, and there is overwhelming support for how Mr. Obama handled the situation.

But Americans do not feel safer. In fact, the poll shows that six out of every ten Americans believe the threat of terrorism will increase in the U.S. over the next few months as a result of bin Laden's death.

/ CBS

The poll found that 57 percent of Americans generally approve of Mr. Obama in the wake of the raid in Pakistan. Two weeks ago, when bin Laden was still America's most-wanted terrorist, the president's overall approval rating was at 46 percent. A whopping 85 percent of those polled gave Mr. Obama high marks for his handling of the operation to find bin Laden.

It's unclear, however, how long Mr. Obama's rise in the polls will last.

Special Report: The killing of Osama bin Laden

In a CBS News Poll conducted in December 2003, just after the U.S. military captured Saddam Hussein in Iraq, President George W. Bush received a 60 percent approval rating -- a jump of about six percentage points. But it was short-lived, and his poll numbers never reached that height again.

Republican presidential hopefuls likely are banking on a similar ephemeral boost for Obama -- a temporary state of mind among voters which will fade long before they head to the polls in November 2012.

GOP hopefuls not worried by Obama's poll bump

Many Republicans say the economy, and its languishing recovery, will be the key issue next year, not al Qaeda. If they're correct, the new poll numbers are less encouraging for Mr. Obama; he receives his lowest rating to date on the economy - just 34 percent approval.

/ CBS

CBS News chief White House correspondent Chip Reid says the Mr. Obama and his advisers understand the boost he's getting may well be temporary as Americans refocus on four words: "jobs and gas prices".

As for the actual significance of bin Laden's death in America's ongoing fight against militant extremism, 47 percent of those polled called the al Qaeda leader's demise a major victory for the U.S., while another 40 percent said it was just a minor victory.

Even as Americans view the death of bin Laden as a victory, they are also bracing for a possible terrorist attack in the U.S. in retaliation. The percentage of Americans who think a terrorist attack within the U.S. in the next few months is at least somewhat likely has risen 15 percentage points, from 54 percent in November to 69 percent today. It is now the highest it has been since mid-2004.

/ CBS

Approval ratings for the president's handling of the threat of terrorism, the war in Afghanistan, and foreign policy in general have increased in the wake of bin Laden's death.

A significant 72 percent of Americans (including 53 percent of Republicans) approve of the president's handling of terrorism, his highest rating on the issue since talking office.

In last month's poll, only 39 percent approved of Mr. Obama's handling of foreign policy -- his lowest rating to date. Now, 52 percent say they approve.

"This shows that the president was not only ready to act, but had his eye on the ball," says CBS News political analyst John Dickerson, and that could deprive Republican opponents of a key weapon used to attack Mr. Obama in the past -- a perceived lack of gravitas in dealing with defense issues.

Read the full poll (PDF)


This poll was conducted by telephone on May 2-3, 2011 among 532 adults nationwide who were first interviewed by CBS News for a 60 Minutes/Vanity Fair Poll April 28-May 1, 2011. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus four percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

© 2011 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • Tucker Reals

    Tucker Reals is the CBSNews.com foreign editor, based at the CBS News London bureau.

164 Comments Add a Comment
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John_Rational says:
Attention RepubliCON dinosaurs, the asteroid strikes in 2012, and its name is Obama. Soon we will be rid of your insanity, and you can hang out with the Tories and Wiggs in the dustbin of history.

EVERY RepubliCON policy, when implemented, has accomplished the exact opposite of what it was purportedly intended to accomplish
Those who do not live in the real world cannot comprehend it.
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RivalryMaker says:
Isn't sad that so many people in the Country are so easily swayed away from reality?
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noloyalisti says:
Support the Communist REPUBLI CON party. They are responsible for the largest redistribution of wealth in American history. How stupid do they think we are. Let's clean out ALL these pesky communist fakers in 2012. Enough is enough of these Republicon inbreds running us into the ground.
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AlFranken says:
explain
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AlFranken says:
According to NPR news, the war in Afghanistan will cost approx. 120 billion dollars. Many believe that the successful assassination of Bin Laden will create a political momentum to end the war sooner than originally believed.

The Taliban will take over Afghanistan sooner than we anticipated. Regardless of when we bring our troops back, this will be another Vietnam -- it will be just a matter of time when the Taliban will regain control of this country with barbaric customs.

Obama, will be praised for the successful removal of Gaddafi from Libya, keeping the removal of our troops from Iraq on schedule as promised, and ending the longest war in American history.

If he closes Gitmo before the next election while mending relationships with the Muslim community, he will get reelected and thus leaving the right wing extremists where most of us want them to belong --- in the dust.
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catmomtx says:
What we know about polls regarding President Obama is no matter what he does there will be some people who will not like it just because. Even if the economy improves 100% you haters will complain. President has been the best thing that has happened to this country . It is really sad that some of you are so caught in hatred for our President that you can't be happy that he achieved a goal he stated he would complete and a goal that most Americans thought was so important up until President Obama was the one to achieve it.
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JV1970 replies:
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Obama didn't "achieve" this! He is only the one who gave the order for the raid. He isn't the one who put his life on the line and he isn't the one who did the intelligence work to find Bin Laden. All he did was sit in the Whitehouse and give the orders! Also whether you want to admit it or not, much of the work that went into finding Bin Laden was done before Obama took office!
John_Rational replies:
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The Bushico crime family did not even try to find OBL. The work they did interfered with finding OBL. It's true the team actually wins the game, but the coach deserves credit for the plan.
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voxpopulus says:
Once again a good day for America has Republicans in tears.
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babooph says:
Big Bush was a pretty good pres.,over 90% liked after his Iraq win,but ran into a charismatic Bill-Obama is lucky to only have deluded nut cases chasing him at this time...
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John_Rational says:
President Bush failed. President Obama succeeded. Any questions?

Attention RepubliCON dinosaurs, the asteroid strikes in 2012, and it's name is Obama!
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livinlikerome replies:
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Actually waterboarding succeeded....as for 2012, Obama won't win more than 38% of the popular vote.
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Ladygbuk says:
Why all the praise for Obama ? He didnt start this hunt for Bin Laden it was the Bush Administration. I dont care if people praise Obama he is useless and did not have any dealing with the death of the most hated man in the world. Wake up America we are in trouble and lets stop paying all our money out to other countries especially Pakistan. The world is laughing at the once most respected country in the world.
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HawkSpringsIsHere replies:
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So USA_is,
You think now that Bin Laden is dead, the rest of Al Qaeda will just go home?
This is much bigger than Bin Laden.
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