Political Hotsheet
By

Tucker Reals /

CBS News/ April 21, 2011, 7:10 AM

Poll: GOP's 2012 contenders unknown, unloved

CBS

Updated 9:23 a.m. ET

CBS News Poll analysis by the CBS News Polling Unit: Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto.

It's early yet, but the Grand Old Party clearly has its work cut out to sell the voting American public on a candidate to challenge President Obama in the 2012 national election.

A 56 percent majority of Republican voters told a CBS News/New York Times poll that none of the names officially or unofficially in the hat at this stage made them feel enthusiastic as potential nominees.

When asked if there was anyone they did feel enthusiastic about for the nomination -- without mentioning any names -- none of the contenders garnered more than 9 percent. That high of 9 percent went to Mitt Romney, with 8 percent saying they felt the same about Mike Huckabee, followed by 7 percent for Donald Trump, then Newt Gingrich with 5 percent, and Sarah Palin with 4 percent.

The big message from the poll, says CBS News political correspondent Jan Crawford, is that the race for the Republican nomination is wide open (watch her report at left). Republican voters are still getting to know the potential candidates, and they want more information. Take the case of former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty; his favorability is at 20 percent, but 78 percent of Republican voters say they've not heard enough about him or are just undecided, and that's the case with a majority of the field.

When respondents were asked their feelings about specific Republican hopefuls, the most "favorable" ratings went to former Arkansas Governor and 2008 presidential candidate Mike Huckabee. Fifty-four percent of Republican voters expressed a favorable view of Huckabee, followed by Sarah Palin with 51 percent, Mitt Romney with 42 percent, and Newt Gingrich with 42 percent. 

Favorable ratings for some of these possible candidates are slightly higher among those who support the Tea Party movement (54 percent of whom identify as Republicans and 36 percent of whom are independents). Huckabee and Palin's favorable ratings are higher, as are Bachmann's. Bachmann does especially well among those Tea Party supporters who are Republicans, compared to those who call themselves independents. 


As CBSNews.com's Stephanie Condon reported Wednesday, businessman Donald Trump may have gained some momentum in recent polls due to his high public profile relative to the other potential candidates, of whom Americans remain largely ignorant.

In the CBS News/New York Times Poll, Republicans were split in their views of Trump: 35 percent said they view him favorably, while 32 percent expressed unfavorable opinions of him. Another 33 percent said they were undecided or hadn't yet heard enough about him to form an opinion.

At left, CBS News chief Washington correspondent Bob Schieffer discusses Trump and the rest of the GOP candidates.

In addition, most registered voters nationwide (72 percent) do not think Trump is a serious presidential candidate, including majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents.  Even though 37 percent of Republicans (and 38 percent of Tea Party supporters) think Trump is a serious candidate, more than half of each of these groups does not.

Predictably, the field of potential GOP candidates fared far better in popularity ratings when the Republican and Tea Party voters' poll responses were looked at in isolation. When combined with the other respondents, Huckabee still came out on top of the popularity game with 32 percent of all those polled saying they held a favorable opinion of the governor-turned-talk show host.

Mitt Romney followed with a 28 percent favorability rating, then Sarah Palin with 26 percent. However, the highest number of overall unfavorable ratings also went to Palin, with 55 percent voicing a negative opinion of the ex-Alaskan governor. A high number of respondents - 46 percent - also expressed an unfavorable opinion of Trump.

While the poll shows a serious lack of knowledge about the GOP contenders among all voters, Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, and Jon Huntsman were the least well-known of the potential candidates. More than 80 percent of Republican voters said they could offer no opinion of Barbour or Daniels; that number was even higher (94 percent) for Huntsman.

Even Huckabee, who was rated the most favorable GOP hopeful by both Republicans and the wider public, has left 35 percent of his own party's supporters and 42 percent of all those polled scratching their heads for an opinion of him.

More from the poll: One in four Americans think Obama was not born in U.S.
PDF: Read the complete poll results


This poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,332 adults nationwide, interviewed by telephone April 15-20, 2011. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher. An oversample of Republicans was also conducted for this poll, for a total of 543 interviews among this group. The results were then weighted in proportion to the average party distributions in previous 2011 CBS News and CBS News/New York Times Polls and in the random sample in this poll. The margin of error for Republicans is plus or minus five percentage points.

© 2011 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • Tucker Reals

    Tucker Reals is the CBSNews.com foreign editor, based at the CBS News London bureau.

128 Comments Add a Comment
linkicon reporticon emailicon
ronnie1111 says:
"Birther" claims force GOP leaders to take a stand.
They better start realizing that the "birther" thing is NO conspiracy either. Ten's of millions of GOP voters will turn their back on the party unless they challenge Obama on his Birth Certificate and stolen SSN#, SHARE THIS ON FACEBOOK WITH YOUR FRIENDS, DEMAND THE GOP TAKE ACTION NOW OR LOSE YOUR VOTE... GROW SOME BALLS!!!!
reply
Zann-Zel replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
That's right! If the Republicans won't get that birth certificate vote for the Other Side - the Democrats! Obama 2012! : )
linkicon reporticon emailicon
RobAla says:
Come on. How many Americans know of and loved Barrack Obama in 2008, prior to hm getting out on the campaign trail? That is what campaigning is all about.

By the way, John Thune is pictured in this article - and he announced a while back that he has decided not to run. A little research should be done prior to publishing an article.
reply
user000049586849302948603 replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
John Thune should make up his mind one way or the other. What's his problem anyway?
RobAla replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
user000049586849302948603: I guess you didn't read what I said - he made up his mind a while back and announced that he is NOT RUNNING. It is the CBS reporter who isn't paying attention to that fact - and included Thune in the pictures above.
linkicon reporticon emailicon
mnbrant says:
Wow I missed the flame war. I didnt relize that all 428 comments came from the same 5 posters repeating the same things over and over. Since I like to have the last word I am going to say WHO DO YOU ALL WORK FOR ANYWAY! I am sure you are all working for the same guy and it ain't us.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
user000049586849302948603 says:
Ha ha ha. Sure doesn't seem like the Republicons and the Tea Party (aka the plain clothes division of the KKK) are getting a very good start at "taking back the White House."

Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!
reply
user000049586849302948603 replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
by DJ_Independent April 21, 2011 11:02 PM EDT
Why, Why do you call them the Plain Clothes Division of the KKK? Tell me why you are saying that. I bugs me that you lie

_________________________________________________________


They give themselves away every time any of the rank and file are interviewed. The Internet is brimming with the signs that they bring to their plain clothed maneuvers that stop only at the thin line of throwing around the 'N'-word.

Now, who do you think that you're fooling with your feigned indignation?
linkicon reporticon emailicon
irongate60 says:
Most Americans had no idea who Obama was 2 years before he got elected. So I'm not sure what the motive for this story is.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
chonder2 says:
This is great!!

Someone please get these freaks back to the circus before they find out they are gone!!!

Ha...ha...ha...ha...ha...
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
bradkt1 says:
I am still waiting to hear ANYTHING SPECIFIC from the GOP about creating jobs...

...and still waiting...

...and still waiting...
reply
thanksgreed replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
give Paris Hilton tax breaks and she'll create jobs...
linkicon reporticon emailicon
bobsam55 says:
Very hard to beat an incumbant President so the good ones will sit this out.
reply
thanksgreed replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
no, they've got no one to offer...
linkicon reporticon emailicon
meboard says:
by Nmmrnq April 21, 2011 4:51 PM EDT
Might be worth watching. that man does amazing things with marzipan.
---
Maybe he can make the repubs a candidate out of cake...
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
Zann-Zel says:
by slatep April 21, 2011 4:33 PM EDT
Just in case you haven't noticed, while the Democratic candidates for the 2012 are not unknown, I don't know anybody who "loves" the Democratic candidate choices that are out there.
-----------
Hi slatep - my name's Zann - now you know me! ; )
I LOVE our democratic candidate, we only need one this year!

OBAMA 2012
reply
Zann-Zel replies:
linkicon reporticon emailicon
No....I'm talking about the candidate for President - not a religious leader - well maybe that's why democrats and republicans can't ever see eye to eye - y'all are looking for a religious leader. We're looking for a Government leader!
See all 128 Comments