Political Hotsheet
By

Lucy Madison /

CBS News/ December 6, 2010, 10:41 AM

Petraeus: 2014 Afghan Victory Not "Sure" Thing

In a Monday interview with ABC's "Good Morning America," General David Petraeus, said he was encouraged by U.S. troops' recent progress in Afghanistan, but would not go so far as to say he was "confident" the Afghan army would be able to assume control from U.S. forces by NATO's 2014 deadline.

"I think-no commander ever is going to come out and say, 'I'm confident that we can do this,'" Petraeus told ABC's George Stephanopoulos in a pre-taped interview. "I think that you say that you assess that this is-- you believe this is, you know, a reasonable prospect and knowing how important it is-- that we have to do everything we can to increase the chances of that prospect."

"But again, I don't think there are any sure things in this kind of endeavor," Petraeus continued. "And I wouldn't be honest with you and with the viewers if I didn't convey that."

Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, also responded to a recent ABC News/BBC/ARD/Washington Post poll indicating that Afghan citizens are losing faith in U.S. and NATO forces to improve regional conditions.

"We clearly have to continue to provide the message to the Afghan people about why we're here, and what it is that we want to do, not just for our own national objectives and coalition objectives, but also for the people of this country, and for the government of Afghanistan, to enable them, indeed, to secure and to govern themselves," Petraeus said.

The poll, which is based on a series of interviews with a national sample of 1,691 Afghan adults from Oct. 29-Nov. 13, 2010, shows Afghan attitudes turning increasingly negative toward the U.S.: 43 percent of Afghans expressed a favorable opinion of the United States, down 8 points from last year to a new low, and only 32 percent rated the U.S. performance in Afghanistan positively.

Thirty-six percent expressed of Afghans surveyed expressed confidence in the U.S. and NATO to increase security and stability near their homes, down 12 points from last year and 31 points since 2006. One in four respondents credits the U.S. or its NATO allies with violence in the country.

But Petraeus said recent improvements in Afghanistan could have since affected national sentiment, and that conditions in the country were markedly better than they have been in the past. "It's been some time since there's been a serious attack here," Petraeus said. "This is not the Baghdad of 2007."

The military commander also said that while he was surprised by President Hamid Karzai's recent call for the United States to reduce military operations in the country and stop "the intrusiveness into the daily Afghan life," he was not deterred by the criticism.

"I'm a military commander," Petraeus said. "I've got a military mission. [Karzai] is the leader of a sovereign country. He has a political foundation that he has to maintain. And we do need occasionally, I think, to walk a mile or a kilometer in his shoes and in these mountains to understand the challenge that he has."

Petraeus said, however, he would challenge the validity of a recent letter apparently released by the Taliban claiming to control more than 50 percent of Afghanistan.

"Well, my response to them would be, 'If you control so much of Afghanistan, why are all of your senior leaders outside the country and never set foot inside the country," Petraeus said.

"We believe that we have arrested the momentum that the Taliban achieved in recent years in many areas of the country," Petraeus continued. "Not all, but that we have reversed it in some important areas, including right here, in Kabul, which is home to one-sixth or one-fifth of the country."

Petraeus said it was "hard to say" how much of Afghanistan the Taliban controlled, and made no secret of the fact that "the Taliban is resilient," but emphasized that continued pursuit of the group was the only way to defeat it.

"This is actually true of the overall fight against al Qaeda and trans-national extremists, that as you put pressure on them in one location, they'll seek safe haven sanctuaries in other areas," Petraeus said. "So you do have to continue to pursue them. But they have less capability."

In terms of what the end of American commitment in Afghanistan would look like, Petraeus emphasized the importance of making sure the nation could take on tasks that Americans had previously performed, and "secure and govern itself."

"It's one that incrementally demonstrates the ability to do that, not suddenly," the general continued. "Between the summer of 2011 and the end of 2014 there will be, again, a series of transitions, starting most likely at districts, not in overall provinces."


Lucy Madison
Lucy Madison is a political reporter for CBSNews.com. You can read more of her posts here. Follow Hotsheet on Facebook and Twitter.
© 2010 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
29 Comments Add a Comment
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Rodeo_Joe says:
At 2 Billion dollars a week - soup is getting kinda thin back home.
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lucifersshadow says:
2014 - 2020 - 2025 - 2030 . . . when will the USA stop the futile efforts at nation-building. It did not work in Vietnam, did not work in Iraq, will not work in Afghanistan . . . will they ever learn? All they are doing is provoking terrorism. Obama . . . what a bone-head! He said while he was running for the presidency that he would have the troops out of Iraq in 6 months . . but now is acting more like George Bush. You can bet he will not be re-elected, dispite the fact that the republican'ts are even more retarded.
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Trust me. They knew/know exactly what they are doing. This is all about Power and Money. Nothing more. Does anyone remember the Bush banner that all news media went along with without question? "Iraqi Freedom". The bait and switch banner to change the game on why we were over there in the first place. Came out just after we entered Iraq, but just before we were able to confirm that Zero WMDs even existed. Even though Chaney, Rummy were telling the American people that if we don't take care of this, the mushroom clouds will be appearing over a city near you soon! Political Terrorism against it's own people. How many times was the question asked... "What does 911 have to do with Saddam Hussein"? And the pat answer always seemed to be "Whether Saddam had WMDs or NOT, did'nt matter as he was such a bad guy to his people and he needed to be "Taken Out" regardless. If this is the strongest case for really going to war, and people actually beleive it justifies

When half the population of this country
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PR_in_Alabama says:
Please give me some news!! this is nothing new!!
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warsux says:
Hey Petraeus, how bout some results? We won WW2 in 4 years. Now all you can do is say we might need to remain there. And remain there. And remain there. You know what remaining there does? It keeps your and all the other scum at the DOD standing there with their hands out. Trillion upon trillions. Got some results for all that money? Anything?

We got into, and won WW2 in 4 years! 2 front war. We came out of that, rebuilt Europe and much of Asia, Fed W Berlin, and even started another war in a matter of ten years. What have you done? Anything except collect checks and build roads and schools in foreign countries with American tax dollars?

When is enough enough?
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noloyalisti says:
We knew all along this was about American empire and this endless war. Both the current occupations were started for oil corporations using American taxpayer money. That is why they fooled us and lied so much abou the reasons for the invasions.

These two occupations were the dagger that killed the American empire and its people. However, the rich got even filthier rich during this time. That was what Bushoccio meant when he said Mission Accomplished.
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documemts says:
One thing$ $ure about Afghani$tan.
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markenriquez71 says:
There are to many middle eastern men who have the TALIBAN MENTALITY. Only when the taliban mentality becomes a true minority is when they will be able to better their lives and their society, problem is that will NEVER happen.
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chuhal7699 says:
DUH......Even the general doesn't think we can win, what a waste of money and American lives. When are these crooks in Washington going to wake up? We could be there forever. These people do not want to better themselves or have the desire to educate their children (only to have them be suicide bombers). All they have ever done is fight and raise opium. Even the American soldiers over there know it's hopeless. We need to fix the United States & its economy and people and quit wasting all this money.
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rightbehind says:
Afghanistan is a pile of rocks. It was a pile of rocks when we arrived. It will be a pile of rocks in 2014. It will be a pile of rocks in 2025. Most of the people that live there have no clue why we're there. The Majority of the US people wish we were not there. For what was spent on the 2 wars we could have put solar power on 1 of every 3 single family homes in the US. It's rapidly approaching 2 of every 3. Just think of all the jobs that could have been created during the bushco years.
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wfw3536 says:
Obama promised that we would be out of there by 2011, now he is backing off just like he has on tax cuts for the rich. I am very disappointed as Obama is turning out to be just another politican who only cares about being re elected.
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