Republicans Hampered by Low Approval Ratings
Republicans are hanging their midterm election prospects on voters' frustration with the Democratic Party, but a poll released by National Journal Tuesday indicates people are just as unhappy with Republicans.
Six in 10 Americans polled have a negative view of GOP leadership. Perhaps that's why Republicans have tried to efforts to frame Election Day as a referendum on the Democratic Party, not the GOP.
National Journal editorial director Ron Brownstein discussed the situation with CBS News chief Washington correspondent Bob Schieffer on Tuesday's "Washington Unplugged."
"What is striking, Bob, is that the level of dissatisfaction with Republican leaders in Congress is even higher now in this poll than among Democratic leaders in Congress. Only 24 percent said they approve of how Republican leaders in Congress are handling their job," Brownstein said.
Democratic leaders did only slightly better, with a 30/53 approval/disapproval split -- though it is significant to note that their numbers are unchanged since National Journal's polling in July. Republican disapproval figures have climbed seven points in the same amount of time, and they have the lowest performance rating in the poll's history.
"When you see this level of discontent [overall], historically voters tend to take it out on the party in power," Brownstein said. The unpopularity of Republicans, however, could complicate matters this year.
Despite enduring Tea Party and Republican enthusiasm, Democrats have lately had some reason for optimism, though the landscape still looks difficult.
"Democrats have seen some movement among partisan Democrats," Brownstein said. "In some cases Democratic incumbents are strengthening themselves, but more often they are still facing a turn out gap and an enthusiasm gap and also a lean against them among independents."
New York Times chief political correspondent Jeff Zeleny also joined Schieffer and Brownstein on "Washington Unplugged" to offer his take.
"The races that are on the margins, Democrats are still breathing out there," Zeleny said. "If an incumbent is locked in at 42 percent, say Governor Tom Strickland from Ohio, he is really fighting for his life. It is going to be harder for him to get five points more than his opponent."
National Journal also asked if voters would be more or less likely to support a candidate with an endorsement by President Obama or other leaders like Sarah Palin.
"If Barack Obama endorsed them - less likely - if Sarah Palin endorsed them - less likely - the Tea Party - less likely. There is no institution linked to the political system [that helps]," Brownstein said.
The poll, the Society for Human Resource Management/National Journal Congressional Poll, was conducted with the Pew Research Center and has a four percent margin of error.
Politico's Kiki Ryan was also a guest on Tuesday's "Washington Unplugged." Watch the full show above.
"Washington Unplugged," CBSNews.com's exclusive daily politics Webshow, appears live on CBSNews.com each weekday at 2 p.m. ET. Click here to check out previous episodes.
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obama and the dems spent almost 1 trillion dollars on stimulus and lost 3 million jobs.
Dems are toast.
I am predicting that Democrats will lose 70 in the House and 10 in the Senate. That is record breaking, I know, but that does *not* mean that the Faithful to the Party Machine Republicans are going to take over. No, this is going to be relatively new blood on the Hill. Let's see if *they* can resist the temptations of corruption and put an end to "business as ususal" which Pelosi, Reid and Obama never made a sincere effort to do. They just grabbed the power they could and ran with it, corruption and all!!!
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Two interesting numbers from the poll might tell us some of the story.
First, the GOP's Pledge to America was a complete dud. 66 percent said they had never heard of it, and of those who had, more people said it would make them less likely to vote for the GOP (29 percent) than said it would make them more likely (23%). Compare that to the Contract With America which had similar awareness numbers but was a small net positive for Republicans (24 percent more likely, 21 percent less likely).
Second, and probably more importantly, President Obama's numbers have improved since he started campaigning after Labor Day. That they've improved isn't exactly a surprise, but the extent of the improvement is a bit surprising. One month ago, his net approval rating was minus 6 -- 46 approve, 52 disapprove. Now it's plus 3 -- 50 approve, 47 disapprove. That's a nine-point swing in just one month
That is a day over day comparison, which is about as bogus as it gets! If you look at long term trends, or monthly or even weekly averages, the story is different than the one you paint in desperate hope! I could probably find a somewhat better day last month to compare with a somewhat worse day in this short month (maybe not today, but it could be) and the swing would be drastically *negative*, and my point would be equally invalid doing that. You have only proved that you are either adept at lying with statistics, or worse yet, have no clue and just buy whatever they feed you!
You could argue that the numbers are flat, and statistically speaking, they are tending to be. However, every time Obama does something to "push the envelope" it costs him, and the Democrats dearly. I think him *not* doing anything is costing them everything slowly. Damned if you do, and damned if you don't, and in *that* situation, he is showing absolutely *no* leadership backbone at all! His true colors as a coward and glitzy flash in the pan come out. He is all mouth, and no moxy!
Look at the long term trends. If you *really* want to scare yourself, just look at the demographic distribution of African Americans in contested districts. They are in high proportion in secure Democrat Congressional Districts, but in those areas that only 36% of *non* African American Voters approve of Obama, those Democrats are spending money at a 6 to 1 ratio in some instances, (just like Obama did -- they figure if money worked for him, it should work for them) and are still staring defeat in the face!
Try the Red Koolaid. It's stains look more natural than the ones the Blue Koolaid leaves behind!
LOL!!!
60 Percent Disapproval Of GOP Leaders
Republican congressional leaders have sought to frame the upcoming midterms as a referendum on Democrats and their ability to govern, but six in 10 Americans have a negative view of the very GOP chiefs making the argument. That level of GOP unpopularity leaves the Democrats some campaign leverage against their GOP critics with less than a month to go before Election Day.
Dems clock in at 53, but 60? No one likes Republicans. http://congressionalconnection.nationaljournal.com/2010/10/60-percent-disapproval-of-gop.php
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"the nation was not trillions in debt and his taxcuts didn't add to or create any deficit."
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Spoken like a *true* Socialist, who will *not* put any responsibility for the deficit on any sort of spending that, (in their eyes) can *never* be seen as wasteful!
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Most of America is becoming aware of the problem. The Democrats spend, spend, spend. Under Bush, they were also given free rein to spend, spend, spend, and for those of you that say we spent too much in Iraq and Afghanistan after 9-11, I am not sure I would disagree. But spending went up across the board, and if you want a *real* shocker, look at the lawsuits happening in California right now over public employees who were paid outrageous amounts of money! The Democrats sure know what they are doing if you have to spend a lot of money and spend it quick -- just don't make any sort of accountability part of the equation!
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