Political Hotsheet
By

Brian Montopoli /

CBS News/ June 29, 2010, 3:04 PM

Financial Reform Deal in Doubt

Updated 6:30 p.m. Eastern Time

Following marathon negotiations at the end of last week, it appeared that historic financial reform legislation was on the cusp of becoming law. All that was left before the bill went to President Obama for signature was a full vote in the Senate and House to pass it - and because of the negotiations, it appeared the votes were there for passage.

Then Sen. Robert Byrd of West Virginia died - and, in a situation reminiscent of the sudden imperiling of the health care bill after Republican Sen. Scott Brown's special election victory in Massachusetts, what looked like a done deal suddenly wasn't. The loss of what would have been the 60th vote for the legislation left Senate Democrats scrambling to pick off one more member - a process that has thus far not gone particularly well.

West Virginia Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin has set no timetable for naming Byrd's successor, and with Democrats working to pass the bill this week, they cannot depend on a yes vote from the seat long held by Byrd. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid worked today and yesterday to find a vote to replace Byrd's, but he met with little success: Democratic Sens. Russ Feingold of Wisconsin and Maria Cantwell of Washington stood by their opposition to the bill, leaving Reid to win over every member of a small group of Republicans who have previously voted for the legislation.

That group includes Brown, as well as Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins of Maine and Chuck Grassley of Iowa. But with the late addition of a $19 billion fee assessed to banks (inserted into the legislation in the conference report), Brown made clear that he was no longer on board.

"This tax was not in the Senate version of the bill, which I supported," he said in a letter today to Senate Committee on Banking Chairman Chris Dodd and House Committee on Financial Resources Chairman Barney Frank. "If the final version of this bill contains these higher taxes, I will not support it."

With 60 votes no longer in sight, Democrats are reopening the conference committee today to change how to pay for implementing the new regulations - that is, replace what Brown calls a "bank tax" with another funding source in order to win back Brown's vote. (Doing this would also help hang on to the votes of Snowe, Collins and Grassley, who have expressed concerns about the bank fee.)

"Taxpayers will never again be on the hook for paying for the costs of any future bank failures," a Democratic aide vowed to CBS News.

Two alternatives being discussed to generate the money, according to CBS News Capitol Hill Producer Jill Jackson, are to raise the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation premium ratio and, perhaps more significantly, to eliminate the TARP program except for existing obligations.

An amendment being distributed to conference attendees eliminates all future TARP payments, which is estimated to generate $11 billion. It also raises the amount banks pay into the FDIC's deposit insurance fund from 1.15 percent of insured deposits to 1.35 percent. It excludes banks with under $10 billion in assets.

All this makes for a feverish day of negotiations on Capitol Hill to get the bill signed into law before the July 4th recess. Why the rush? Because Democrats have an incredibly crowded legislative agenda - climate/energy and immigration bills are still, at least in theory, meant to pass this year - and they are desperate to keep financial reform from eating into any more valuable legislative days.

Frank said this afternoon that he's been told by Dodd that Cantwell, Collins and Snowe have all said that they will support the conference report.

If true, that leaves Democrats just one more vote to secure for cloture -- and thus the fate of the bill could come down to Brown and whether a change to the bank fee situation will win him back.

He added, however, that the bill might not pass the Senate this week -- even with Brown's vote -- because of  scheduling issues. Still, Frank said, "the die is cast."

© 2010 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
20 Comments Add a Comment
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okjaybird says:
ANYONE, who votes for this crap gets a NO vote from me. And I do not vote on party lines. If you will really put your inadequate fed agencies on MY back, and make me pay again.... NO..... I am done with you people. You either vote NO, or get your bags packed,, you are doing nothing for the american people. Maybe the parties are really in this together because I am seeing some signs of either total stupid or some level of socialism,, regardless, I make more money than you do and I will send your butt home
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RatPackSixGun says:
Barney Frank, Maxine Waters, Gregory Meeks: please, step up to the mic..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MGT_cSi7Rs

It's astounding how wild-eyed Obama cheerleaders get on here and post about how Republicans are 'obstructing' this bill.

If the Democrats had not have obstructed regulation in the mid 00's, this global economic meltdown we're in would never have happened. And now they're all scuttling historical discussions of it and attempting to appear as though THEY are freshly authoring financial reform..
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user000049586849302948602 says:
I'll be happy if it doesn't pass and the whole nation can see that Republicans just want to protect their corporate cronies and leave America at risk for another meltdown.

Had it passed, no one would have noticed that all Republicans voted against reform.
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wjksea says:
Check out Dean Baker, economist for CEPR. Smart guy. Noting about this guy conveys sleaze.
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bajajohn1 says:
Anericans are not stupid. They fully know and udnerstand the Republicans are obstructionist and continue on their mission to destroy what is left of the U.S. government.
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wjksea replies:
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It seems the news didn't help the stock market.
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bajajohn1 says:
There you have it. Demccrats need to get mean and speak clearly to the American people about the necessity of this bill. They need to name Republcan obstructionists and kick some a.r.se. Quit being nice to the Republicans, they are not nice to you.
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nearl451 says:
It is agiven that some sort of finincial reform shall pass before Nov.

Posture all you want, but the public widely demands it,and the second dip of therecession is comming if you look at what States and fed stimulus drying up will do in the short term.

No reform means political suicide.

Besides, just a few more cozy deals for Mass and Brown will roll over like any old Pork laden veteran of the Senate (that's what it took for him to sign-up for the previous version.) Heck, he may not be a teapartier after all; more like the Pork Champion Bird.
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nearl451 replies:
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Speaking of need for reform.....anyone here what TX home owner assns are doing when you miss a dues pmt- - tacking on lawyer costs and selling houses from under the owners noses- LEGALLY. These for houses that are ALREADY PAID for. No judges,no decisions, just a matter of routine.

Naw. We don't need no stinkin' oversight nor reform. If I have any criticism of the current reform bill, it doesn't go far enough.....but its as far a compormise as could pass.
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screaminraven says:
If the GOP quashes this reform bill they will have the bank bail out, supporting drilling w/o heeding safety and environmental laws causing the Gulf oil spill and feeding the American public to the wolves that caused the economic recession (banks and mortgage companies). So bring it on; the country is disappointed with Obama but most US citizens really hate the GOP for costing them their savings and future
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pensacola8-2009 says:
Without financial reform, we only have to look south to Mexico to see how an economy functions. The banks are nationalized and credit is very difficult to obtain. Unemployment is staggering and organized crime openly commits acts of violence against honest political leaders and law enforcement. Somehow, that reality goes un-noticed or even entertained as a possibility. This was because of a Republican modeled economy that gave all the wealth to just 1 percent of the population and killed off the middle class.

President Obama and the Democratic party is clearly fighting to prevent this from happening here in the USA, but the Republicans want to stop him.

If this country loses it's middle class, poverty will elevate violence to untold proportions. I advise all to question the Republican options and plug their answers through several real scenarios. No matter how you slice it, we lose more under Republican rule. The masses won't defend Republican ideology and sustain permanent loss of the middle class.

Do the patriotic thing and put every Republican over the barrel...or live deprived and die indignant.
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Lifeson2112 replies:
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You make me laugh.
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esq777 says:
Thanks Scott Brown for fighting for the interests of those big defenseless Wall Street banks. You're a real hero, and a true Republican.
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pensacola8-2009 replies:
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Obviously you loved watching needless risk devalue America's 401K accounts devalue by 40% in 2007 during the meltdown.

My guess is that you have a double standard when it comes to capitilism and the middle class. If Republicans nearly destroy it, you are for it, but if Democrats save it, you are against it.
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