Political Hotsheet
By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ June 28, 2010, 12:27 PM

Robert Byrd Succession Hinges on Ambiguous West Virginia Laws

Robert Byrd AP

West Virginia's Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin will have to appoint a successor to replace Sen. Robert Byrd, who died early this morning at the age of 92 -- and with ambiguous state rules making it unclear exactly what the replacement process will entail, his next step is anyone's guess.

Manchin told the Associated Press there is no timetable for him to consider Byrd's replacement -- but the timing of an announcement could impact for how long the appointee will hold the seat.

West Virginia law says that if there is a Senate vacancy more than two and a half years before the incumbent's term ends, there should be a special election after a candidate "has been nominated at the primary election next following such timely filing and has thereafter been elected," the Washington Post reports. There is some ambiguity as to whether that would mean there would be an election this November or an election in November 2012, when Byrd's term would have ended anyway.

There is also some question as to whether there is an official Senate vacancy currently -- or if that hinges on when the governor officially "declares" a vacancy. The governor could choose to wait until after July 3 to declare the vacancy, which would make it less than two and a half years before Byrd's term was up. That would definitively leave the governor's appointment in place until 2012, giving Democrats the advantage of time.

The state's Secretary of State's office tells CBS News that all the complexities of the special election to fill the seat will be discussed at the 4:30 p.m. Eastern news conference by Secretary of State Natalie Tennant.

Democratic sources say that Manchin will likely tap Nick Casey, the state Democratic party chair, to fill Byrd's seat, CBS News chief political consultant Marc Ambinder reports.

According to Democratic sources, Manchin is interested in running for the Senate himself and quietly established a federal political action committee in early June to start raising seed money for a Senate bid, Ambinder reports. However, the governor told the AP he will not appoint himself to fill Byrd's vacancy.

Whether there is an election for Byrd's seat this year or in 2012, Republicans are expected to look to Rep. Shelley Moore Capito to run for the seat. Capito has represented central West Virginia since 2000. She was recruited to challenge Byrd in 2006 but decided against it, the Post reports.

"If there were to be a special election for the seat in November -- and it is not at all clear there will be -- from an electoral standpoint that might set up a very competitive contest, depending on the candidates," said CBS News Election Director Anthony Salvanto. "On one hand, this is a state that re-elected Democratic Senators Byrd and Rockefeller comfortably as well as Democratic Governor Joe Manchin. On the other hand, this is a state that has been very Republican in recent national presidential elections, among others."

Republican John McCain in the 2008 presidential election won easily over President Obama here, 56 percent to 43 percent, (and Mr. Obama lost the Democratic primary, too) and former President Bush won the state twice.

UPDATE: West Virginia Secretary of State Sets Special Election for 2012

More Coverage:

Robert Byrd's Death Leaves Financial Reform Vote Up in the Air
Pork or Progress? Sen. Byrd Leaves Legacy
Sen. Robert Byrd of West Virginia Dies at 92
Robert Byrd Photo Gallery

© 2010 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
18 Comments Add a Comment
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IndepTex22 says:
by Empire-George_ June 29, 2010 12:22 PM EDT

No, read the article, it's up to whether or not the democrats want to play games and pretend Byrd isn't dead, so they can extend their power, without requiring an immediate election.....so it's up to the Democrat Governor...when they say....then on to the voters....

Well now I'm confused........does this mean that even though Michael Jackson is still dead, he is still a pedophile!?
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democracy3 says:
You'd think that politicians (whether they are R or D) would/could write laws that are NOT "ambiguous". After all, that's their job, isn't it?
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JedediahWilliams says:
Actually, the law is NOT ambiguous at all. It plainly requires the holding of a special election, following the selection of candidates through a primary election, when a Senate seat becomes vacant with two and a half years to run.

Only a shameless moron or a corrupt Dem. politician (but I repeat myself) could argue that this Senate seat is not "vacant" NOW. Even though dead people have been known to "vote" in Chicago for many years, in the Senate only the living may vote. Any failure on the part of the Governor to declare the seat vacant immediately would figure in a conspiracy to deprive the people of West Virginia of their right to select a Senator of their own choosing for the remaining two years of the Byrd term.
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bickerstaff4 says:
Time to undo popular election of senators. Back to having them elected by the State Legislatures. There would be lots of benefits. Whenever the makeup of the legislature changed, the senator would change. No more unfunded mandates imposed on the states (really on the taxpayers). Appointed Senators would slow down the whole pace of Federal legislation. With luck, it would grind to a halt. Repeal the 17th Amendment.
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democracy3 replies:
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Nonsense, that would just lead to more corruption and backroom deals. Let the people choose.
Mortar_29 replies:
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The people do chose...the House of Representatives.

The Senate was made by the Founders to represent the States. To give the States power over the Federal government.

But then we got stupid and took that power from the States...thus neutering the States...making it so the only way they can change policy in Washington is thru constitutional amendment.

Stupid! I am with you bickerstaff, time to give the Senate back to the States.
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ZzorozZ says:
How can they honestly say that a vacancy does not currently exist? Whether the governor declares it or not doesn't make it so. That strategy of delay seems completely arcane and typical of democrats. There might be a law which says the governor has to declare a vacancy but that was probably when communication was slow and people didn't get the news until a week later. If the governor doesn't acknowledge a that there is indeed a vacancy he should be impeached for dereliction of duty. Either that or Robert Byrd can come back as a zombie, which we all knew he was prior to the natural ending.
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good_riddens says:
Happy day...another career P.O.S. politician is gone. It's so unfortunate that death seems to be the only way to get rid of some of these scoundrels. Teddy...now Byrd...did I miss one? These happen in 3's...I can't wait for the next one.

good_riddens
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good_riddens says:
Happy day...another career P.O.S. politician is gone. It's so unfortunate that death seems to be the only way to get rid of some of these scoundrels. Teddy...now Byrd...did I miss one? These happen in 3's...I can't wait for the next one.

good_riddens
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democracy3 replies:
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It's spelled "riddance", genius. Just sayin'.
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BobDSM says:
Sen. Byrd was a racist, pure and simple. He filibustered the civil rights act for over 14 hours on his own and got into politics at the behest of a grand dragon of the KKK. What a disgrace the people of West Virginia kept sending such a person back to the senate - and why? 'cause he could bring home the bacon. . . money kept this racist in power, pure and simple. . . but we won't hear anything about that, 'cause he's a Democrat. . .
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democracy3 replies:
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He renounced his KKK position DECADES ago. Give it up.
Mortar_29 replies:
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He renounced it. Then after that, sent letter to the KKK stating he hoped they would grow.

He only renounced it in public for political expediency. Not a change of heart.
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santoni3408 says:
There is no honor in holding a position for 5 decades, and taking your last breadth in that position. I don't care what the job, assignment, position is! There should be mandatory retirement for all public officials. Get a life anywhere but public office.
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democracy3 replies:
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Well, now that's up to the voters, isn't it?
democracy3 replies:
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by Empire-George_ June 29, 2010 12:22 PM EDT
*****
My point was in response to the other poster was in regard to term limits and if you had an ounce of skill in regard to reading comprehension, you'd have understood that.
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