Israel defense chief suggests U.S. has new intelligence bringing worries over Iran in line with Israel's
U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta (R) shakes hands with Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak before a meeting at the Israeli Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv, Aug. 1, 2012.
/ Getty(CBS News) LONDON - Israel's defense chief suggested Thursday that the U.S. has new intelligence that changes the American assessment of the imminent danger represented by Iran's clandestine nuclear work, bringing its views closer to those held by the Jewish state.
An article published Thursday by the Haaretz newspaper said Defense Minister Ehud Barak had "confirmed" the paper's earlier report that Mr. Obama had received a new National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) "which shares Israel's view that Iran has made surprising, significant progress toward military nuclear capability."
Speaking later to Israeli Radio, Barak was not as definitive, but said there is "apparently a report by American intelligence agencies - I don't know if it's under the title NIE or under another title - which is making the rounds of high offices," in Washington that makes the American government's concerns more urgent.
"As far as we know, it comes very close to our own estimate, I would say, as opposed to earlier American estimates. It transforms the Iranian situation to an even more urgent one and it is even less likely that we will know every development in time on the Iranian nuclear program," Barak said.
CBS News is seeking clarification on the latest U.S. intelligence assessments on Iran's nuclear program. The Obama administration has said nothing publicly about a change in their overall assessment of the risk currently posed by Iran.
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Israel insists that Iran - a sworn enemy of the Jewish state - is secretly advancing toward the capability to build a nuclear weapon. The United States agrees that Iran is working toward that goal, but the two allies disagree on exactly how close the Iranians have come, and how best to deter them from proceeding.
"The Israelis were very upset about the NIE in 2007, and the official summary released to the public that said Iran had stopped the part of its nuclear program aimed at making bombs. Naturally, now, they would seize on any evidence that the U.S. intelligence community now agrees with the Mossad and with Israel's military intelligence agency Aman," said CBS News correspondent Dan Raviv, who co-authored "Spies Against Armageddon: Inside Israel's Secret Wars."
The last official NIE on Iran, in 2007, concluded that Tehran had halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 as it came under increasing scrutiny from the international community. Since that time, American intelligence agencies and their partners have continued monitoring Iran closely in partnership with the United Nations nuclear watchdog agency, the IAEA. There has been evidence, in the form of satellite imagery from nuclear sites, on top of a lack of cooperation from the Iranians, that Tehran is still conducting weapons-related research, but no smoking gun that either the U.S. or Israel can point to as proof of such work.
"Right now the Iranian regime believes that the international community does not have the will to stop its nuclear program," Netanyahu said in a joint news conference with Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta at the beginning of this month. "This must change, and it must change quickly because time to resolve this issue peacefully is running out."
Panetta, who was visiting Jerusalem to reassure the Israelis that the U.S. remains committed defending its close ally, said the Obama administration would "not allow Iran to develop a nuclear weapon. Period ... we will exert all options in the effort to ensure that that does not happen."
Iran rejects the argument that its nuclear program is working toward a weapons capability, saying the sole purposes are energy production, scientific research and medical uses.
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@AndiPrama: RT @AndiPrama: In the 1990's Pathfinder and now Curiosity, 'analyze' in Mars with the same binoculars? Obama, you are out of your mind!
And their threat: if you don't do it, we will.
Let's make sure there is a high cost for them starting Middle East War III. We can do this nonviolently by pledging to BOYCOTT ISRAEL IF IT BOMBS IRAN:
http://www.divestfromwar.org
Let's PREVENT the next war, instead of protesting it after the fact!
In addition, nuclear power for peacefull purposes is too dangerous as well given that we still don't know how to protect ourselves from dammage due to natural causes and have nowhere safe to store nuclear waste. With the hundreds of nuclear plants around the world we are playing with fire and don't have the proper fire extinguishers in the event of manmade or natural disasters. Japan again as an example. It would be great if humanity was inteligent enough to and patient enough to wait until we are wise enough to actually use nuclear power or energy for peaceful purposes but we are not. As evidenced by all the rediculous comments on both sides of the argument.
Nobel laureate Thomas Schelling states that deterrence is about the only value the weapons might have for Iran. Such devices, he points out, "would be too precious to give away or to sell" and "too precious to waste killing people" when they could make other countries "hesitant to consider military action".
The United States has already declared Iran to be part of the "Axis-of-Evil" and we have dealt with Iraq (boy were we wrong about that one). Would like to deal with North Korea (but they have a nuclear weapon) and believe it is a foregone conclusion that Iran WILL ACQUIRE A NUCLEAR BOMB AS SOON AS POSSIBLE! They know that if Iraq had "one bomb" we would never have invaded! Besides there needs to be a balance in the Middle-East, Israel cannot be the only player in town with a gun. I know for a fact that When everyone has a gun ... you're careful about pulling yours! This American MANIFEST DESTINY nonsense has got to stop.
WE ARE NOT THE UNITED STATES OF ISRAEL !!!
Also, we are dealing with a nation ruled by nutcases. Rational nutcases...but nutcases, nonetheless. These are folks crazy enough to throw these things around...and be the "heros" of the Islamic world.
Unlike dealing with Saddam (who misjudged us, but would never have done something irrational like throwing a nuke around)...Iran is ruled by religious zealots. Who have a "higher calling."
If the Israelis even THINK that Iran can or will use a nulke against them, Israel WILL attack. And if Israel attacks, the whole tinderbox goes up.
World War.
So, if we attack and blow up the Iranian nuclear facilities...there will be some grumbling from folks (Russians, Chinese, North Korea, etc)...but who cares. They wont do anything.
The more immediate problem is Iran beefing up its air defenses. Any attack on Iran's nuclear facilities would take a weeks' long air campaign, with no guarantee it would do more than delay the inevitable. But with an air defense that would inflict heavy casualties, that may prompt an attack more than a significant increase in progress towards weaponized nuclear material.