New Poll Shows Tight Indiana Race

By: Brian Montopoli
Topics: Polls

Depending on what happens in the April 22nd Pennsylvania primary, May 6th – the day that voters in North Carolina and Indiana go to the polls – could be a pivotal day in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

There has been little polling out of Indiana in this election cycle, but yesterday brought new numbers showing Hillary Clinton with a three-point lead over Barack Obama in the state. That makes the WSBT-Tribune poll too close to call, since the margin of error is 5 percentage points. The poll found that most Indiana voters have made up their minds. Clinton leads among whites and women; Obama among blacks and men.

There are also new Pennsylvania numbers suggesting that Clinton's lead in that state may be shrinking. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Clinton leading Obama by 11 points, 49-38. That's down three points from her lead in the same poll in mid-February, though it's important to keep in mind that the margin of error is five percentage points.

Clinton is widely seen as needing a strong win in Pennsylvania to keep her campaign viable, and Obama has been campaigning and advertising in the state in the hopes of narrowing the gap between himself and the former first lady. With North Carolina expected to go to Obama, the Indiana results could help the Illinois senator land a knockout blow – or give Clinton the momentum she needs to continue battling for the nomination.

Brian Montopoli
Brian Montopoli is the senior political reporter at CBSNews.com.
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by illinoisvote April 7, 2008 1:40 AM EDT: Senator Obama on the Run from Rezko Story
http://youtube.com/watch?v=jOFT8jtuVpo

Obama Campaign Finance Chair Involved in Superior Bank S&L Scandal
http://www.bostonnow.com/blogs/oldmole/2008/02/12/obama-campaign-involved-in-super

Obama Missing in Action as Chair of Senate Subcommittee on Europe to Strengthen NATO Troops in Afghanistan http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=4355006&page=2

Barack %u201CI-didn%u2019t-know%u201D Obama http://noquarterusa.net/blog/2008/03/24/barack-i-didnt-know-obama/#comment-178392

Barack Obama and *** Morris in Kenya http://noquarterusa.net/blog/2008/01/31/obamas-african-hubris-2/

http://www.beyondchron.org/articles/The_Obama_Craze_Count_Me_Out_5413.html

Obama Knows His Way around a Ballot by David Jackson & Ray Long, Chicago Tribune http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-070403obama-ballot,0,1843097.story?,page=1

Obama Very Cozy with Nuclear-power and Coal Industries

/by/ Enviro http://Enviro.mydd.com/ , Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 10:57:46 AM EST

Obama Connection to Terrorists Revealed by Talk Show Host
By Jim Kouri
MichNews.com http://www.MichNews.com
Mar 24, 2008

There is a far-reaching scandal brewing for presidential hopeful Sen.
Barack Obama, thanks to a radio talk show host based in Oregon.
Syndicated talk host Laurie Roth

Obama%u2019s Mercenary Position http://www.thenation.com/doc/20080317/scahill

Obama and Rezko and $100M taxpayers money
http://www.youtube.com/watch?=rDHsHMOlaT8&feature=related; Reply to this comment


by stirg April 6, 2008 7:37 PM EDT: I think I''m paying more attention to the dramatic poll a couple of days ago by CBS/NYT showing Obama has dropped 20 pts in a month among white male voters-that tells you the direction the country is heading rather than quoting a college based poll-Hillarys # also rising in her ability to defeat McCain in a general election in states DEMOS must win in the general election-Big MO. has changed in the favor of clinton-super delegates will decide; Reply to this comment


by actjack3 April 5, 2008 6:44 PM EDT: I think those who are supporting the Republican candidate will be rudely awaken in the Fall. Either Senator Obama or Senator Clinton will defeat him. I believe Senator Obama has the better chance. Reason, his grassroots, bottom-up, empowering people campaign approach. Citizens of this country feel they have an elected official in Senator Obama who is listening and will continue to listen and encourage the common citizen to engage in his or her government. That is the real BIG difference between all three candidates. Finally, America was fooled in 2004 to vote for G.W. Bush and *** Cheney. They did nothing to strengthen this country or make it better. Matter fo fact, they ignored the common citizen. They catered to the oil cartel, thus the reason they are making record profits, in the history of retail! America will not be fooled again. I don''t care that John McCain is trying to distance himself from this present administration, its fake! If he was for real, he would have never went to the White House to receive G.W.''s endorsment. 4 more years of Bush or a President who is going to break the status quo? You do the math.; Reply to this comment


by dreambig6 April 5, 2008 3:57 PM EDT: Can''t resist one more--Elizabeth, Obama is not the same person as Wright. And you have to know that this Swift-Boat like incessant replaying of tiny pieces of Wright''s speeches in order to scare the ignorant is part of a right-wing strategy to discredit any Democrat with a big following. Elizabeth, if Hillary is the nominee in the fall, the Republicans will do something like this to her as well: they will always find something to provoke hysteria in the ill-informed and prejudiced, and that ignorance and prejudice could easily be turned against Hillary, who is a strong woman. Democrats should stand together and resist parroting divisive Republican propaganda!; Reply to this comment


by elizabeth444 April 5, 2008 5:45 AM EDT: I have a feeling that Wright/Obama is lingering in everyone''s minds, in Pennsylvania, in Indiana, and all over the country. In that last moment alone in the election booth, consciences are going to choose Hillary! That''s my prediction for PA and IN, and the other states yet to vote. Voters are going to surprise everyone and make Hillary Rodham Clinton our next president! Hillary ''08; Reply to this comment


by crossjr1 April 4, 2008 8:35 PM EDT: Here''s some other polls:

Indiana''s lates Primary Poll from April 2: Gallup has Obama by 3 points--49 to 46. Rasmussen has Obama by 3 points--46 to 43. CBS/NY Times has Obama by 3 points--46 to 43. NBC/WSJ has them tied--45 to 45. Pew Research has Obama by 10 points--49 to 39. And FOX News has Hillary by 2 points--38 to 40. This is based on Real Clear Politics. And in Penn, Real Clear Politic''s poll of polls has Clinton with only a 6.6 lead--48.0 to 41.4. In Penn, Hillary needs a blow out and doesn''t look like this is going to happen. And if Obama sweeps the May 6 primaries, those drums will be beating loud and clear for Hillary to drop out.; Reply to this comment


by jean243 April 4, 2008 6:41 PM EDT: America has become less safe under Pres. Bush. Because of Pres. Bush, America has lost allies and lost standing in the world. Sen. McCain would continue Bush''s policies. Would Sen. Clinton sell America to enrich her bank account and donors bank accounts? You tell me. But President Obama thinks big, sees the big picture, and fights for everyday Americans, all Americans. He''ll be a great president, not just a good one, but great.; Reply to this comment


by jean243 April 4, 2008 6:37 PM EDT: appleadae, President Obama will keep America safe. 9/11 Commission co-chair endorses Obama, saying Obama will be terrific for our national security. Also Hillary is so hated by Republicans, that is why they want her to be the candidate, because Hillary has big negative approval in polls. By the way, Obama has bigger approval polls than either McCain or Clinton.; Reply to this comment


by dreambig6 April 4, 2008 5:57 PM EDT: anappleadae you''re watching too much fox news and piling on the conspiracy speak with no proof or explanations: your last post is a list of unexplained, unfounded, and hazy charges designed to cast unmerited suspicion on Obama. It''s sad that this is what passes for critical thinking among right-wing folks these days. I''m out: others can continue the debate, I''ve had my say.; Reply to this comment


by anappleadae April 4, 2008 5:34 PM EDT: dreambig6... Obama''s negative National Security issues are public record starting with Woods Fund and William ayers in 2001 and their association with the Arab American Action Network. Next is Rezko currently in Federal court and being shadowed by a Obama staff member to keep Obama abreast of the blow by blows. Then there is Rev. Wright who''s words seem to echo endlessly through the airways. And of course yours truly Minister Farrahkan who''s literature is well read by Obama. These are the negatives which will ring at fever pitch along with other new found evidence for the campaign.

Obama supporters can pretend everything is fine, but Republicans are professional at this stuff. Mind changing is their business and they are good at it.; Reply to this comment