By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ March 19, 2013, 5:50 AM

10 years later: The Iraq war's lasting impact on U.S. politics

AP

In the months leading up to the Iraq war, an up-and-coming state senator from Illinois, Barack Obama, gave a passionate speech about the looming conflict, calling it "rash" and "dumb."

Today, on the 10-year anniversary of the start of the war, Americans are still politically divided over the war, though most say the U.S. should have avoided it.

It may take decades more to sort out all of the global consequences of the Iraq war, but the impact it had on U.S. politics -- particularly for Mr. Obama -- are strikingly clear. The Iraq war helped win Mr. Obama the presidency and put his party in a new position of strength on the issue of national security. The Democrats managed to regain control of the House and the Senate in 2006 as President Bush struggled to justify the ongoing conflict to an increasingly impatient electorate.

The war made voters reconsider their long-standing prejudices about national security, giving Democrats an opening to win complete control in Washington and enact a robust domestic agenda that included stimulus spending, health care reform and Wall Street reform.

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2003: President Bush announces invasion of Iraq

Bush's war

In the months before and immediately after the start of the war, President Bush had significant public support for the effort. Public opinion of the war, however, quickly soured. As early as November 2003, half of Americans said that the result of the war wasn't worth the loss of American lives and other costs of attacking Iraq, according to CBS News polling.

As the public turned on the war, they also turned on President Bush. His approval rating in 2004 began to fall below 50 percent, and he trailed his Democratic opponent John Kerry for a large part of the year. Still, unemployment hovered around the decent rate of 5.5 percent in 2004 and the economy was generally healthy, and Mr. Bush managed to win reelection.

National Election Day exit polling in 2004 showed that 52 percent of Americans thought the war was going badly, while 44 percent thought it was going well. Fifty-five percent of Americans said the war was part of the "war on terrorism," while 42 percent said it wasn't.

"He won in spite of the war, absolutely," James Carafano, vice president for foreign and defense policy studies at the conservative think tank the Heritage Foundation, told CBSNews.com.

There was evidence that year that the war was not going as planned -- such as the lack of weapons of mass destruction. The real factor that led to the public's intolerance with the war, however, was simply time, Carafano contended -- a factor that only started to boil over after the 2004 elections. "The real turning point is the length of and the seeming frustration with the occupation," he said. Even if investigators had found weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, Carafano conjectured, "It still would've been a very unpopular war" if it were long and bloody.

By 2006, Democrats were ready to exploit the political opportunity before them. By September of that year, according to Gallup polling data, Democrats had nearly erased the once-large advantage Republicans had on the issue of national security. When asked which political party would do "a better job of protecting the country from international terrorism and military threats," Americans gave Republicans just a two-point edge that month. When Gallup started asking the question in 2002, the GOP had a 19-point lead.

Republicans initially wanted to capitalize on the conflict, criticizing Democrats who wanted to "cut and run." That argument, however, was undermined by ongoing violence and, by late September, a partially declassified National Intelligence Estimate which charged that the war had only worsened the global terrorist threat and strengthened radical Islam.

In the final weeks of the campaign, it was Democrats -- not Republicans -- talking about the war. Candidates with wartime experience like Tammy Duckworth, an Army Captain and helicopter pilot who lost both legs in Iraq, were out front responding to Republican criticisms.

"I didn't cut and run, Mr. President," Duckworth said in the Democrats' weekly radio address in September 2006. "Like so many others, I proudly fought and sacrificed. ... And I believe the brave men and women who are serving in Iraq today, their families and the American people deserve more than the same empty slogans and political name-calling."

Another veteran, Senate candidate Jim Webb, was one of several Democrats running attack ads against their respective opponents on the issue. Webb's ad showed his opponent, then-Sen. George Allen, R-Va., delivering the infamous adage, "We need to stay the course."

About a week before Election Day, Mr. Bush stepped up his rhetoric on the war. "However they put it, the Democrat approach in Iraq comes down to this: The terrorists win and America loses," the president said in a campaign stop on Oct. 30.

Ultimately, in 2006 Democrats won control of both the House and the Senate. National exit polls showed 57 percent of voters disapproved of the war in Iraq, while 58 percent disapproved of Mr. Bush's job performance.


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    Stephanie Condon is a political reporter for CBSNews.com.

33 Comments Add a Comment
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vannuys says:
Bush and Cheney might not go to The Hague to pay for their crimes, but they WILL burn in Hell.
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sweetcakesmaria says:
The real crime here is that Bush/Cheney have not had to answer for the hundreds of thousands of innocent souls lost and the untold destruction during this senless war. How can we ask other world leaders to refrain from starting wars and hold them responsible when they do start wars when we allowed Bush and Cheney to walk away from this mess without consequence.
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650-hp-sohc replies:
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repugs are above law and order.for some reason they think they are allways right which they are ITS CALLED RIGHT WING.where are all the repugs that said cut and run liberals now?CRIMINALS IN THEIR PARTY THEY THINK THEIR IS NONE.they where right didnt you see the weopons of mass destruction? mass destruction was an iraq army you could just ***** slap.that pres and vice pres ruled on terrorist that is all they ever spewed.scare the sheep. and they will vote for you.repugs a bunch of scardy cats.meow.god help us from the gop.
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ranv52 says:
Of course it was about oil. Seems like a no-brainer. Sometimes our fine U.S. Corporations need a little "govt. assistance..." a kind of "foot in the door" so to speak. Besides, "if you don't set an example now and then, those so & so's will be charging us $20 a gallon for gas!"
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sweetcakesmaria replies:
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I totally disagree it was about oil. If it was about oil, why was the gas prices in America less than $2.00 per gallon before the war and are more than $4.00 a gallon today? The Iraq war was about warped ideology and power trips.
Choons replies:
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oil yes, but only partially. The other motivation was to privatize the military so that Cheney and his cronies could get filthy rich with "security" and "intelligence" companies like Blackwater and Stratfor.
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TimeToEvolve says:
We all commiserate on the Bush Cheney senseless and tragic Iraq war based on their twisted lies and ideology. Their fake Christian, pathetic and awful crimes against humanity they perpetrated on American, Iraq and the rest of the world. Lying so they could promote their PNAC fantasy. I hope they rot in hell since we won't prosecute them. I am completely ashamed at what they did.

I did everything I could to stop them before they even did their evil deed but did not have enough help.
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650-hp-sohc replies:
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a lot of poeple tryed but money talks bull shift walks.money is the driveing force in the USA right or wrong money talks.what to do about it? im not real religous but i do believe their is a higher power.how else could we live on this oasis?cant stop sheep that are brain washed.
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me_nz says:
The US $800 Billion and still counting in hock to the Chinese. 4800 Coalition and 110,000 + Iraqi deaths many many times more wounded and maimed for life. For what have a look at the lies this rush to war was based on see http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-21786506. The sheer incompetence of the Bush administration's intelligence and the complete debacle in running the country after the war was won. Who was made accountable for this disaster? Some companies e.g. Halliburton with their No Bid Contracts made plenty but the world including the US and Iraq is still counting the cost 10 years on!
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TimeToEvolve replies:
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You just nailed what the whole scam was about. A sick and twisted policy of pre-emptive war by lying and scaring the American Sheeple for Wall Street profits. Disgusting excuses for human life, these lying scum.
650-hp-sohc replies:
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money. money. money.what else is the gop conscerned about? ever?
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NotJohndoe says:
After being drafted, the Vietnam generation was held at gun point to go die for your country in Southeast Asia.

This poorly developed and very immature generation that attacked Iraq was never drafted nor held at gun point to fight for their country: they were all a 100% all volunteer army. This generation never repeatedly protested the Iraq war nor the behaviour of the Bush administration.

This Iraq War generation, both veteran and non veteran, are sick in the head; much worse than the Vietnam generation. Both veteran and non veteran Iraq War generation will blow off their heads or overdose on drugs both illicit and prescription.

The behaviour of the Republican party, the American conservatives, and the independents that voted either voted the Bush administration into power or condoned the Bush administration's behaviour during the 2000's is entirely treasonous!
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sweetcakesmaria replies:
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Like the Vietnam generation that was led into an un-needed war, young men and women today simply had an unfailing belief in their government to do the right thing so when the call went out to defend America, that's what they sacrificed their lives to do.
650-hp-sohc replies:
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right on man!sead it all.
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TimeToEvolve says:
The Iraq (and Afghanistan too) disaster that exposed the United States for the violent, uncivilized and primitive country we are should be a significant lesson to the American Sheeple. Of course we can't even seem to remember the war crimes of the last pResident only 5 years ago.

We let the Bush Cheney Crime Family lie us into war that to me at the time was a completely transparent deception. It was embarrassing for me to even watch the horror and terror unleashed on the world by us unfold.

War is terror and is never the answer. Especially when it was so clearly started by Wall Street for massive profits of the big oil and war profiteering corporations. I hope we are not stupid enough to fall for this again but I think it is clear that we are.
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650-hp-sohc replies:
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if the gop ever get in control again they will do the same thing. they will bring the world to the last chapter in the bible.eventually.it is written.they should read it.War mongers.money mongers.but their is a special place in hell for them.amen.they will be in power when the nukes are unleashed.good bye oasis.it was a beautiful planet.all over money.devils never care about humans.
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GOP-R--Con-Men says:
The Iraq war was another manufactured crisis by republicans which has cost 2 trillion and could grow to 6 trillion per Watson Institute Study. Beyond the money wasted Bush/Cheney sent thousands of our own brave troops to their deaths on lies. They also caused the deaths of thousands of allied troops. Bush/Cheney et al. should be held accountable for the deaths of those brave troops.

The world court at the Hague should be the venue. Absent accountability what is the point? Republicans still claim invading Iraq was the right thing to do.
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650-hp-sohc replies:
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ww 2 criminals where executed.iraq and afganistan criminals are let off?suddam was killed.bush should be in prison.cheney should be in prison.awaiting to be put to death.war criminals.there was a senator in 2002 that voted against the iraq war! that would be barack obama!HE HAS A REAL BRAIN THAT WORKS.unlike the in bred repugs.What a bunch of worthless scum breathing my air. i need that air to work harder for your cheap ass at my job.repugs suck.money monger!death means nothing to them as long as its not them.
650-hp-sohc replies:
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whopee we are going to die.bush singing these words that the coward was not goining to fight.what the hell was this all about? why is there no questions?the libs need to get some balls and ask some questions.im a lib.**** this ****.
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Krowster says:
This war was strictly a GOP war to establish a strong control and presence over the oils and waterways of the area. This would allow the GOP political manipulators more opportunities to feed their expanding thirst for power and greed. Plain and simple.

Thanks to the ever increasing presence of the freedom of the Internet, exposing and communicating such acts are now enforcing some real controls over the groups; however, to counter those threats, one needs to be mindful that the next attacks on freedom is to control the Internet itself, a process that is underway but insidiously sold to the public as Cloud.
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twismin13 says:
What CBS and all the rest of the media should be reporting on is the lack of investigations into the fact that the then President George Bush, actually pushed and lobbied for the invasion of a sovereign nation based on what has long ago proven to be a pack of lies. To say most Americans backed the invasion and war is another lie. The truth is the average American citizen was'nt paying enough attention to the whole matter initially, never dreaming it would result in a full blown war. If you did'nt back the war publicly the Bush Administration labled you as a " traitor " or " un-american ". This scam worked to perfection at first. Until the American people started bringing home their dead and maimed for life, sons and daughters. And then as we started seeing the long term effects on our economy and how we are viewed around the rest of the world. I for one could care less about politics. I care about thousands of dead Americans as well as Iraqis, our ruined economy, and how we are viewed in the world. This is exactly why Bush stays as much out of the public aye as he possibly can The entire Bush Administration should be on trial and brought to justice. It's s downright travesty for this to have not happened yet. And the nerve of the Republicans on Capitol Hill right now, by that I refer to them insisting on hearings on any and all things they think the Obama Administration is accountable for. Ridiculous.
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Solarrays247 replies:
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Thank you! Well said.
sweetcakesmaria replies:
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Totally concur!
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