By

Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ November 6, 2012, 11:15 PM

Obama projected to win Ohio, will win re-election

Barack Obama White House seal CBS News/AP

Updated at 11:55 p.m. ET

CBS News projects President Obama will win re-election with Ohio giving him more than 270 electoral votes.

While the president is already projected to secure the electoral vote, the popular vote remains close.

After passing the 270 mark, Mr. Obama sent out a personal message via Twitter to both his supporters and detractors, writing, "We're all in this together. That's how we campaigned, and that's who we are. Thank you."

The sluggish economy was considered to be Mr. Obama's biggest vulnerability. Indeed, Mr. Obama is the first president since Franklin D. Roosevelt to win re-election with unemployment above 7.2 percent. However, CBS News exit polling shows voters gave Mitt Romney just a one-point advantage on the question of who would be better at handling the economy.

Along with Ohio, Mr. Obama is also projected to win the swing states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.

Romney is projected to win North Carolina, making it the first battleground state to fall into his column.

Ohio, with 18 electoral votes, is one of the most competitive states on the map. Mr. Obama won the state by 4.6 percent in 2008. In 2004, President Bush won Ohio by 2.1 percent.

In 2008, Mr. Obama won Wisconsin by 13.9 percent. The state, which carries 10 electoral votes, hasn't gone red in a presidential election since 1984. Even with Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan on the ticket, Mitt Romney faced a steep challenge in his fight for the Badger State. However, the state has been a hotbed of partisan discord in recent years and Republicans saw huge gains at the state level in 2010.

New Hampshire has just four electoral votes, but it was one of the most competitive states in the nation -- it's the only state that George W. Bush won in 2000 but lost in 2004. In 2008, Mr. Obama won the Granite State by 9.6 percent.

Nevada carries six electoral votes. Mr. Obama won the state by 12.5 points in 2008, and CBS News consultant Stanley Feldman explains that Democrats are coming out in full force for him again: According CBS News early exit polling, 38 percent of voters said they think of themselves as Democrats compared to 29 percent Republican.

Iowa, with six electoral votes, gave Mr. Obama his first big victory in the 2008 caucus, and he won the state in the 2008 general election by 9.4 points. Several factors help explain why the state, which has historically been so kind to Mr. Obama, remains tight, according to CBS News consultant Jeanne Zaino.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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    Stephanie Condon is a political reporter for CBSNews.com.

234 Comments Add a Comment
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zimbahal says:
ShowMe:
Good of unions.....

Remember the fire in the Triangle building in NYC in the early 1900s? Women garment workers were basically locked in their factory floor. When a fire started, they couldn't escape for their lives.

Remember children working for long hours in factories?

There were lots of abuses.

Even now, employers take advantage. I'm not saying all do but there are good and bad ones.

Even as we speak now, one very famous apparel retailer in NYC is taking advantage of their employees. They give only part-time hours (so to avoid covering for benefits) and they require them to be on-call 24/7 to report in. Otherwise, they lose their jobs. So , those with families can't schedule anything in their personal lives, not even childcare because they are not given regular hours.
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zimbahal says:
Boycotter of Foreign goods--

Do you shop at Walmart? Lots of foreign made goods there. Can't resist the prices? Well, their employees are non-unioned. They go into communities and destroy mom and pop stores, cause a lot of unemployment. Pay low wages, no or poor benefits. Their parking lots are poorly lit and bad security. They dump on the environment. Do the research.

Do you buy Nike? Foreign-made.

Do you own a PC, a cell phone? Foreign-made.

Do you buy clothing? The Gap, Old Navy, children's clothes, men's clothes, etc. Foreign - made.

Do you own any mutual funds? Lots of foreign investments

The corporations and business owners shipped these jobs overseas because labor is cheaper. Remember the 80s? That's when they started talking about America will no longer be a manufacturing nation but a nation of services, in terms of jobs.
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Necroscope84 says:
You know I actually kind of feel bad for Romney. Think about it, after the first debate it helped him out immensely. Which was the real Romney? Severely conservative Romney of the Republican primary or Moderate Romney of the 3 debates? History shows him to be a moderate. How much better could he have done if he'd just been left alone. Instead of the GOP banking on everyone hating Obama would be enough for him to win he could have formulated a real strategy. Instead of all everyone cares about is the economy and having more money he could have talked about social issues. I'm not saying he could have won but you never know. I think the Right wing nutjubs hurt Romney and now that he's lost they just threw him away. I'd be very sad if it was me. You're somebody special then nothing.....
Of course he's still super rich so he'll be fine no matter where he's at.

Did you see his face during election. He was totally surprised that he was losing. They convinced him that fantasy was reality. The polls are all biased, just listen to our polls. It's super close, you have momentum and everyone hates Obama. No president in this economy has ever been reelected, plus he's black. Rasmussen is super accurate, gallop rocks. Nate Silver is just a hack. All fantasies of course. Nate silver hit the nail right on the head and the GOP owe him a huge apology. His book sales are way up :)

Either they screwed Romney or he knew all this and just tried to create a self fulfilling prophecy. But if not it makes you wonder. I just find it funny that during the 3rd debate he agreed with alot of Obama's policies. I think deep down he agrees with Obamacare, after all its based on his own Romneycare. I think he'd love to take some credit for that but couldn't. Heck, I know I'd be proud of it. The Gop convinced him it's wrong on the Federal level and besides we can't let a black president take credit for what we always wanted to take credit for ourselves.

If this is the case then I kinda feel bad for him. Not too bad but a little bit bad. I didn't vote for him nor would I even if I could know for sure what he really represents. What are his issues, policies? I'm afraid we'll never know. I did read something interesting the other day that he wanted to choose Chris Christie originally for his running mate and VP. Kinda makes you wonder how much better he could have done if he'd just run as himself. Of course he wouldn't have clenched the GOP nomination if he had so it's all kinda moot. Sorry, just wondering. I guess we'll never know for sure.

But still, right or wrong agree or disagree NOBODY should feel bad for voting period. That is our greatest right and privilege so in the end I salute all of you whether you voted for Obama or Romney. I might not agree with those of you who voted for Romney but that's ok, we can all agree to disagree sometimes. Night All.
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zimbahal replies:
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I think part of their strategy was relying on the media channels like FOX and hate talk radio. They think that by constantly lying and twisting the truth and recycling that garbage 24 hours a day and 7 days a week, people will believe them.

A strategy of theirs--to assume that the American people are too lazy to research the truth and will simply believe what they hear, to assume that the American people only want glitz and glamour (look at the way they have all their women dress now on Fox),, and to assume that Americans only want sensationalism.

They also have underestimated the intelligence of the American people. One of their own, a demographer...I've forgotten his name....wrote in his book that only 25% of the American people have a college degree or higher. I checked the recent census...only 22% do. This said, they've also underestimated the common sense of the American people.
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Scimajor says:
As a mathematician I can tell you that CNN jumped the gun on Ohio by more than an hour. Given the numbers that were available it was too early to call Ohio a win for the blue party.

On the flip side, CNN should have called Florida at 7:00 Pacific time. It was mathematically impossible for the red party to win Florida even at that time.
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zimbahal replies:
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I noticed that too, but I didn't pay attention to the time. I questioned it because the % reporting was higher in Florida than Ohio, I think. I deal with math but don't have a PhD. Since I'm not a statistician, I thought there was more going on than I knew. However, NBC broke down each state by county . When they explained where the remaining votes were coming from and the volume expected, and that they were "blue" areas, it made more sense.
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GM525 says:
Too bad we could not return to the good old days. Instead of losing 800,000 jobs a month we are adding 170,000. The stock market is too high, it should be half of what it is, like it was in 2008. Not enough homes are being foreclosed upon and I am agravated the value of my house is rising. Oh yeah, I almost forgot, we haven't gotten into another war in way too long.
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Tpmj12 says:
Mr. Romney and Mr. Ryan. Thank you for fighting hard in what you, I and over 56 million other people believe. I truly appreciate your efforts.

Let hope a pray our other elected officials do their job and help to get this country back on its feet, and stop the president from printing money we do not have. It is time for all of us to make our elected officials accountable.......
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showme2 says:
Unions were created to get a fair deal for the workers, and that was good. It didn't take long for the corruption to set in. Leadership was taken over by bullies and criminals (remember Jimmy Hoffa?). Slowdowns, work stoppages, and petty grievencs became more and more frequent. The lost productivity caused prices to rise. The American public was the big loser.
So, how patriotic were unions? We paid unfairly for U.S. products. We could sell exports only until other countries could build their own facilites. Now we have ships coming to America full and leaving with no
cargo. Foreign companies have monstrous assembly plants in America, run by foreigners. They assemble products manufactured abroad, where the real money is made. I have no doubt that Americans can be competitve, but we have to work at it. Subsidizing works only for a while, especially when it is done with funny money. Re-electing irresponsible leaders will only
make things worse. If it takes another dose of Americans buying for value rather than for patriotic reasons, so be it. Maybe we will wake up sooner. My father was a union pipe-fitter at Goodyear. The pennies they gained from a stike settlement did not compensate for lost wages. Fair negotiations would have more beneficial and life would have been more pleasant. By the way, one of the biggest imports is brain-power, predominately Indian and Chinese. Americans seem to shy away from math, science and related professions. We have plenty of lawyers.



/\
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zimbahal replies:
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Good of unions.....

Remember the fire in the Triangle building in NYC in the early 1900s? Women garment workers were basically locked in their factory floor. When a fire started, they couldn't escape for their lives.

Remember children working for long hours in factories?

There were lots of abuses.

Even now, employers take advantage. I'm not saying all do but there are good and bad ones.

Even as we speak now, one very famous apparel retailer in NYC is taking advantage of their employees. They give only part-time hours (so to avoid covering for benefits) and they require them to be on-call 24/7 to report in. Otherwise, they lose their jobs. So , those with families can't schedule anything in their personal lives, not even childcare because they are not given regular hours.
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jimatmadison says:
This was the last national election that the Republicans could have won as the rich old white guy party.

Now what?

The GOP runs the risk of joining the Whigs if they don't figure out some other path.
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showme2 says:
You mouthy blowhard wouldn't have the courage and patriotism to volunteer to serve your country as I, my cousins, my uncles and my grandchildren have. You don't know poverty as I do. You may get the chance when the next depression comes when the world no longer will accept the funny money that B.O. is spreading around. By the way, I donated money to send food and clothing to southern Ohio when a town's major employer pulled out.
Do you volunteer, do you donate? Mostly you just blab.
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greco99-2009 replies:
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You must be talking to Mitt Romney...
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cydygitt2 says:
ZIMBAHAL replies: "I do feel for the reasonable and moderate Republicans."



Unfortunately, the Rockefeller republicans are gone, since the GOP has drummed out all moderates over the past 30 years as they instituted "trickle-down economic insanity," and now have let the far-right extremists of "birthers, baggers and buffoons" push the GOP over the cliff of reason!
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GossamerWings replies:
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God, so true. They won't admit climate change. They war against the EPA. They want drill baby drill in our parks. Ohio's possible fracking market is one trillion and they want to cut off the EPA. I live in an upper middle class development that requires 2 acres each lot and has a naturalized area of 10 acres with a pond and creek for natural beauty. None of my neighbors want to worry about ground water contamination. We don't want war against the EPA. I don't want deregulation of Oil and Gas. I don't want deregulation of banks. I don't need a job in a coal mine. This was just utter nonsense in the Republican side. There are already two lawsuits in Ohio dealing with fracking leaking into wells.
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