When will we know a winner on election night?
One piece of advice for anyone planning to tune in to election night coverage Tuesday: "Have a couple of cups of coffee," CBS News director of elections Anthony Salvanto said. It's going to be a long night.
Though polls in some states, like the key battleground of Virginia, will close at 7 p.m. EDT, others, including the critical swing state of Iowa, won't close until 10 p.m. EDT - "and most of the battlegrounds may even still be counting votes at that point," Salvanto said.
"I don't think we'll know the winner there for a while, especially if it ends up as close as it looks right now - that could be hours," he said, predicting only a one- or two-point gap between President Obama and Mitt Romney across battleground states. But as returns come in throughout the night, Salvanto added, results from "battlegrounds within the battlegrounds" - crucial voting blocs in swing states - could sketch a rough outline of how the election will likely turn out.
Citing Hispanics, African-Americans, women, seniors in Florida, and suburban white men, Salvanto said watching the way those groups are breaking "will give us indications of maybe which way this is leaning. It'll generate some excitement."
In 2008, for example, typically conservative small towns and rural areas defected, making up a critical part of then-candidate Obama's coalition. Recent polling, Salvanto said, suggests those areas may shift back to Romney on Tuesday, meaning the president "would have to make up that difference somewhere else," like around cities or among women.
Above all else, though, the number one thing to watch for Tuesday night: "Turnout," Salvanto said.
"When you see an election that is this close, with each partisan side in their respective camps and so few undecided voters, it becomes about which candidate gets their folks out to the polls," he continued. "And people often say, 'Oh it's all about turnout.' But in this one, it really is."
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Now we do ...
It scares me to have a neighbour who actually does have weapons of mass destructions lead by someone so closely related to industry, which in your country seems to be armaments.
I care about you. I have travelled through many states and met many wonderful people. You deserve better than Romney.
I would be ashamed to call myself an American without having a clue on how to spell. Go back to school Dude! Your argument is so childlike...
To: Flustered in Florida
You sound like an intelligent American citizen. Well said
... not sure which will be which
As a concerned, voting American I also have questions. Why is it always the racist redneck whose hate-laidened comments are so full of errors they are barely legible. As a woman who grew up in the deep south I understand the nature of ignorance is to beget ignorance but, why does your ignorence prevent you from dropping this nonsense even after his office produced a LEGAL copy of his birth certificate. If you truly have read some of President Obama's literary works, I challenge you to take a second to compare his writings to some of your own. Reflect on some of the basic spelling, grammar, and use of the English language and understand that this is a man running on a platform of freedom of education for all, no matter their economic standing! This means YOU! You too can have a seat at the adult table, having intelligent conversations about the direction of our country, and make informed and educated decisions, without having to resort to all measure of slander or reference to Donald Trump to sway the hearts and minds of others.....I know it is in your nature to look for the proverbial "ninja" in the wood pile, but don't vote against your own interests because he doesn't look enough like you......that's just silly!
What was it that Kennedy stated in his inaugural address about this exact same thing?