By

Nancy Cordes, Chloe Arensberg /

CBS News/ October 24, 2012, 3:29 PM

Obama camp: Romney momentum claims a "bluff"

Updated 5:16 p.m. Eastern Time

DENVER - Obama campaign senior adviser David Plouffe sought to knock down claims by the Romney camp that they are gaining momentum and steaming toward victory on Wednesday. Plouffe called those claims "more bluff than reality" and contended that the Romney camp is "overstating their Electoral College situation."

"We think we maintain a lot more plausible pathways to 270 than Governor Romney, who we think essentially has to pull an inside straight in terms of the Electoral College," Plouffe said during a bus ride through Iowa, noting that the President is leading or essentially tied in polls of most battleground states. "Governor Romney's campaign likes to talk about how well they're doing in North Carolina, but we think we're doing a lot better in Ohio and Iowa and Nevada than they're doing in North Carolina."

Plouffe argued that the Obama campaign is "already sitting at a win number" in some of the battleground states, though he declined to say which ones. "I'm not going to call states, but we'd win the election if it were held today,"  he said. Obama campaign officials have sought to downplay the significance of Romney's rise in the polls following his strong performance in the first of three presidential debates.

Today, Plouffe argued that the bump Romney received was a natural and inevitable tightening in a race that widened artificially in September. "Governor Romney was not going to get 44 or 45 percent in battleground states," he said. "He's a major party nominee in a divided country in a tough economy. He's going to get 47, 48, 49 in a bunch of these states. So that's all that's happened is Governor Romney picked up some of what he lost. We don't consider that momentum."

The president is currently engaged in a 48-hour campaign spree of the sort that candidates more typically engage in during the last few days of a presidential race. Wednesday alone, he is visiting Iowa, Colorado, California, Nevada, and then flying across country overnight to be in place for a Thursday morning rally in Florida. "We're going to pull an all-nighter. No sleep!" the President told a crowd of 3,500 in Davenport, Iowa, after giddily describing his trip as a "campaign marathon extravaganza."

Both campaigns are constantly reviewing data from states where early voting is underway, and Obama campaign officials note that more Democrats than Republicans have been casting ballots in crucial battleground states like North Carolina, Iowa, and Nevada.

"When you look at early vote in Nevada," Plouffe argued, "I wouldn't be surprised if Governor Romney's last trip to Nevada was this week, because it doesn't look good for him. And I think in an honest moment they will say that themselves."

Republicans are leading among absentee voters in Florida, though Obama aides contend that lead is much smaller than the one McCain had at this point in 2008. President Obama went on to win Florida that year once all the votes had been tallied.

And in the crucial swing state of Ohio, Plouffe pointed out that the latest CBS News/Qunnipiac poll shows the President leading by 5 percentage points .

"That's not a small number by the way," he argued. "That's what we won in '08 during a landslide in the state of Ohio -- is by 5 points."

Romney Campaign Political Director Rich Beeson emailed CBS News to respond to Plouffe's comments.

"Three weeks ago Jim Messina was insisting they were ahead in the battleground states and today he is insisting they aren't pulling out of any states," he said. "That doesn't sound like 'Forward' to me. And while the Obama campaign continues to engage in desperate attacks, Governor Romney will continue talking about his plan for a real recovery for the middle class that has suffered under the Obama policies for the last four years."


© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
33 Comments Add a Comment
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IPDAILY121 says:
I got my Obama Phone 4G, I got my Obama Bucks, I got my Obama food stamps,
I got my Obama Care, I got my Obama Housing, I got my Obama education.

Tell me why I wouldn't vote for Obama
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JohnQPublic12 says:
If you say it maybe they will belive it. Now Obama is disputing the polls. Is this guy desperate or what?
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Irishtraveller says:
Tell me who you are voting for and I'll tell you if you were a success in life or a failure.

If you didn't earn, save and create. You are an Obama loser.
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redhotlulu87 replies:
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I am voting for the incumbent. I graduated college at 23 years old in 2011 in the midst of the harsh economics times. Still was able to get a job that pays 60K with not that much experience, still am able to pay off my student loans...live on my own...bought my own car...on my way to getting married. And still voting for Obama in 2012 like I did in 2008. It doesn't really sound like I'm an Obama loser.
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Tommy_the_Brit says:
What is clear is that President Obama's pathway to victory is straight and narrow; he has a variety of different paths along which he can walk to victory against an electoral arithmetic nightmare for Governor Romney (see my thoughts: tommygilchrist.wordpress.com).

It would take a monumental upset in Obama's campaign, or a significant upturn in Romney's, for the Republicans to retake the presidency; it would be a taste of revenge for the Democrats if Romney were denied the White House in a similar manner to Gore in 2000.
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matt6052 says:
"talk about how well they're doing in North Carolina, but we think we're doing a lot better in Ohio and Iowa and Nevada"

This can also mean as good as he's doing in NC, he's doing even better elsewhere.

Early voting often measures a campaign's get-out-the-vote effort. As a surrogate measure of broader public opinion, it can be misleading. Analysis of early voting can run into a grassroots versus astro-turf problem, because campaigns are calling their supporters and exhorting them to vote.
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Indie169 says:
Check this out: Nobel Prize-winning Economist says Romney's plans would be more likely to put us in another recession. He explains the reasons why. http://www.bloomberg.com/video/stiglitz-says-u-s-still-faces-recession-risks-F3Noj9cGQb6QVYSJNa2kvQ.html Go to 8:15 if you don't want to watch the whole thing.
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jflynn5110 replies:
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Really? Any anyone should be impressed by a Nobel Peace Prize. Obama won a Nobel Prize for Peace. Apparently its ok in the minds of Obama supporters that Obama's indiscriminate use of drones has resulted in the slaughter of innocent children. Some 60 children in Pakistan were killed.
TtwoT replies:
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Only one Nobel prize winner says we'll go into another recession if Romney takes over? Clearly, from the signs of things, we're headed towards that recession right now, under the control of Obama / Biden.

Also, I have to ask, what does a Nobel prize winner has to do with such an economist's validity. We're all witness to a President who received the Nobel prize, yet received it so early, he didn't even have a chance to show his real level of incompetence.
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Leftydems says:
Polls are stupid. They are all lies. Obama cannot lose. His politics are perfect.

Hint. He was working for the CIA in Africa when he was a kid out of the US. He is really a hero spy.
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Leftydems replies:
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That is the reason they cann not open his files to the public.
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ongelooflijk-2009 says:
"Governor Romney.....for the middle class that has suffered under the Obama policies for the last four years."

THE TRUTH:
'for the middle class that has suffered under Romney's GOP House Republican obstruction / blockage of Obama's economic policy legislation for the last four years!

Not a single piece of significant economic legislation put forth by the President has even been allowed to come to the House floor for a vote due to Republican filibusters----numbering in the 70's during the course of the Presidents term in office, thus far!

To the extent that Obama started to take his own 'Administrative Measures', not requiring Congressional consent, in order to bring some relief to the middle-class and trying to keep the economy moving in the right direction. DOES ANYONE PAY ATTENTION TO THE NEWS ANY MORE?

Now Romney and the GOP have the 'balls' to say it's the Presidents economic policies that are responsible for the suffering middle-class and slow recovery.

YEAH, THIS IS ROMNEY AND THE GOP'S NEW MANTRA AND IT'S CLEARLY A LOAD OF CRAP!!!
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Blue-Alien says:
What the heck is up with Mitt Romney http://romneypix.com

.
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sallychicago says:
I voted early, but this election can't end fast enough.
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