Polls: Gallup still has Romney up, Marist shows Obama leads in two swing states

According to the Gallup daily tracking survey, the first presidential debate tilted the race toward Republican nominee Mitt Romney almost overnight and he has held onto his lead in that survey. But two new state polls show President Obama maintaining a healthy lead in contested battlegrounds less than three weeks before Election Day.

In Friday's edition of Gallup's tracking poll, Mitt Romney leads President Obama by six points, 51 to 45 percent, a sizable margin for the Republican that has receded slightly from his 52-45 lead in yesterday's poll.

But even today's diminished margin reflects a stark turnaround from Gallup's pre-debate numbers, which put Mr. Obama ahead by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, on the October 3, the day of the first presidential debate.

Gallup's daily tracking poll surveys roughly 3,000 likely voters over seven days.

Despite the volatility seen in Gallup's numbers, the latest swing-state numbers from NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist reflect a race that has barely moved since the end of September, with Obama retaining a modest but clear lead in Wisconsin and Iowa.

In Iowa, the President leads GOP challenger Mitt Romney by eight points, 51 to 43 percent, a margin identical to the last Iowa survey from NBC/WSJ/Marist, which showed the President besting Romney, 50 to 42 percent.

The Wisconsin survey shows the president with a six-point lead over Romney, 51 to 45 percent, an identical margin to last month's survey.

While some recent polls have shown Romney eroding the president's lead with women voters, the new numbers from NBC/WSJ/Marist show a gender gap that is alive and kicking - both surveys show Mr. Obama ahead among women by almost 20 points.

The president also leads among early voters in both states - the 34 percent of Iowa voters who said they have already cast ballots selected Mr. Obama over Romney, 67 to 32 percent. Romney wins those who plan to vote on election day by a 54 to 39 percent margin.

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Poll: Obama edges Romney in second presidential debate

In Wisconsin, early voters (15 percent of the sample) voted for the president, 64 to 35 percent. Mr. Obama also leads slightly among Election Day voters in Wisconsin, with a 48 to 47 percent advantage over Romney.

The surveys were conducted between Monday and Wednesday, both before and after the town hall debate at which Mr. Obama was judged to bounce back from a poor first debate performance.

Both states are critical to Mr. Obama's swing-state "firewall" and together account for 16 electoral votes.

[Yeshuratnam]

There are two more days. Voters can make a last minute decision in favor of Romney. They may not prefer another four years of economic hardship and political chaos. It is high time to get started to transform the entire worn out economic policy of Krugman that no longer works. Why is the economic current condition of this nation so very tenuous and grave with so many problems not being addressed and remaining unsolved? Something is really wrong with the way the economic affairs of this nation are being conducted. Krugman has been guiding Obama for the past four years. Nothing could illustrate this stagnant condition of American economy, with steep recession and massive unemployment, better than the current outdated and obsolete economic policies of Krugman. Nobel Prize is not special qualification. Even Arafat the butcher got Nobel Prize for Peace. Like Thatcher who removed economists functioning under the Labor Party, Krugmanists are to be removed and a new batch of economists are to be appointed by Romney, if he comes to power, to ignite the stagnant economy created by Krugman and Obama.

[oldtimehockey52]

American's put more effort into getting the best coach for their favorite sports team than picking the next President of the United States. just sayin ;-)

[Bozo_the_Buffoon_Romney]

Hey all my fellow buffoons! When are all you Bozo's going to get smart and store your money in the Cayman's like I do? I don't have to pay taxes like you idiots! I know there are a lot of Flea Brains out there that will vote for me because of my ****-eatin' smile. I promise I'll take care of all my rich buddies and big businesses that contributed to my campaign fund!

[Mark_From_Los_Angeles]

You sound stupid. Just saying.

[hschwarz2]

The Gallup Poll is only ONE poll. There are several others that show Obama ahead. For example the TIPP poll shows Obama up by 6 pts. Yet others show him up by 2 or 3. Some show they are tied. Overall it looks like Obama is slightly ahead in the popular vote.

[halvie54]

There's more than enough valid information available to strongly indicate that our country is in grave danger on many levels if we don't bring the Romney/Ryan express to a grinding halt. Their agenda, fueled by deception and greed, springs from the foulest depths, encouraging blind obedience and unfathomable selfishness, traits that thoroughly gut our humanity, replacing it with the nature of the beast. We've reached one of those pivotal crossroads in history that will show what we're made of as a people. Force your eyes wide open and choose wisely.

[sociallyjust]

URGENT MESSAGE:
WE AMERICANS CONTINUE TO LOSE OUR RIGHTS,
AS OBAMA TAKES THEM AWAY

If we care about our and America's future, we must stop Obama and his well-calculated plans to please, to accommodate, and to appease America's adversaries, America's ill-wishers, and America's enemies.

In addition to weakening America, another of Obama's "special purposes" is to reduce the American people into a
"quiet, silent, and naively-compliant society"
dependent on handouts, dependent on unproductive, bureaucratic, government jobs, and dependent on govt programs, which is indeed a recipe for failure.


We Americans face losing what we and our anti-tyrannical compatriots have lived and died for: a country free from tyrannical and communistic rule.

If we care for and love America, you are strongly urged to spread this URGENT WAKE-UP MESSAGE TO ALL AMERICAN VOTERS:

Barack Hussein Obama and his wrecking crew, must be voted out of The U.S. Presidency, so he;
will no longer be empowered
will be denied US Taxpayer Dollars and resources

to serve his hidden as well as his stated foreign interests.

[ludvig1-2009]

Let's see if you take it that 34% of the electorate in Iowa have already voted, that means that roughly twice as many people have not voted, so as an engineer I think I can make the following assumption based on the polls. The people who have not voted will count for 2 votes and the people who have voted will count for 1 vote. So we add 67% for Obama to 67 votes and the 32 for Romney to 32 votes and of the people who have not voted we get 39*2 votes or 78 votes for Obama and 54*2 votes or 108 votes for Romney. We then add up the totals and we get 67+ 78 = 145 Obama votes and 32 + 108 votes yields 140 votes, so Obama wins by 5 votes. Of course I should have counted less than 2 votes for the people who have not yet voted as 34% +68% =102%. So it looks like from early voting patters that Obama will take Iowa.

[Nesnej007]

Ludvig1-2009,
I'm not sure I totally understand what you are saying but I am going to try to take a stab at it;
Let's see if you take it that 34% of the electorate in Iowa have already voted, that means that roughly twice as many people have not voted, so as an engineer you think you can make the following assumption based on the polls. The people who have not voted will count for 2 votes and the people who have voted will count for 1 vote. So you add 67% for Obama to 67 votes and the 32 for Romney to 32 votes and of the people who have not voted you get 39*2 votes or 78 votes votes for Obama and 54*2 votes or 108 votes for Romney. You then add up the totals and you get 67+78 = 145 Obama votes and 32 + 108 votes yields 140 votes, so Obama wins by 5 votes. Of course you should have counted less than 2 votes for the people who have not voted as 34% + 68% = 102%. So it looks like from early voting patterns Obama will take Iowa.

Did I get that right?

[santorini123]

The Ultimate Mitt Romney Flip-Flop collection:

http://youtu.be/2x2W4GhSLlQ

[Necroscope84]

What really bothers me about the whole Libya thing is that nobody truly cares about the Ambassador or the Americans who were killed. None of you'll really care about them. All you'll care about is gaining points. Do you or the media care about this man more than his own dad? You don't see the Ambassador's dad on TV screaming at Obama, in fact the only interview with him he was asking for America to please not use his sons death as a political gain. Was his or his family's wishes respected? No! Instead of concentrating on what someone did or didn't say we should be trying to make sure this never happens again. Obama referred to it as a Terrorist attack and saying he didn't come right out and say it is just plain stupid. It would be like me saying number 47 hit a great home run and then everyone screaming well you didn't say Blob Bubbles hit a home run.

Did any of you ever think the family might not have wanted all the facts known? Maybe the father didn't want his wife to know how horribly their sone died. Do you'll care? No! As long as Mitt can get a few tic tac toe points who cares about real people. I'm sure alerts come in everyday from every nation. None of you'll including Mitt Romney could have done any better. You can't just send troops through other countries airspace on the drop of the dime. By the time they could have gotten there it was already too late. Or worse, they send some planes in and open fire and end up killing the very people they're trying to save. Oh that would have give everyone a huge field day.

It's really kinda sickening. How about we leave the Ambassador a little bit better of a legacy then just points on a poloitical scoreboard? How about we respect his own parents wishes. How about we get ALL of the data and find those responsible like Bin Laden and deal with them instead of just blurting out everything we know so they can go underground? Try to think a little bit. And have a little respect for this mans families and friends. Nobody including Mitt Romney or the media is more concerned about this than his own family so show a little respect please.

[Scheelski]

yes, that is really about the size of it. Get real. No one feels worse for the four slain men that I, a Romney supporter. The fact is the administration has screwed this whole event up and given no comfort by explanation to any of the families. We may not have heard from the Ambassador's family, but we have heard plenty from one of the other deceased' Mother. Your blind allegiance with this failure of a President is fine, but don't try to make those of us who support another, feel guilty.

[1ATL1]

What did Bush call the attack on the world trade centers? "An apparent act of terror." APPARENT! Does it mater not really. Remember when the republicans SCREAMED foul calling libs traitors, if they even hinted toward a problem with the handling of the crisis. Remember the response for anything going wrong or not as planned? We're at war! We're at WAR! It got to the point those are the only three words the republicans new. So you don't like the way the administration handles things. We're at war, screw you and get a grip.

[TRV2009]

http://www.cbsnews.com/8601-250_162-57536261.html?assetTypeId=41&blogId=

[TRV2009]

The Necessity for the Addition of Thirty Minutes to the Third Presidential Debate

The two presidential candidates and voters need to know the compelling evidence for each claim. The presidential debate is not the place for political slogans or statements of salesmen. Voters need facts and compelling evidence. Uninformed and less educated voters have been misled by many untrue claims from the last two presidential debates.

This is the justification for adding 30 minutes to the Oct. 22 debate in Boca Raton, Florida.

The two presidential candidates would accept this offer if they are each confident in what they will claim on the stage. Does rejection indicate fear of being debunked by an audience of 60 million?

President Obama has accepted the offer.

If voters are concerned about the truth, please sign the petition right away. This petition is urgent. Voters have less than 48 hours to sign the petition.

https://www.change.org/petitions/add-30-minutes-to-the-oct-22-presidential-debate-in-florida