A House (and Senate) divided: Would Romney be more likely to get legislative ball rolling?
"If Romney loses, are Republicans in the House gonna hit themselves on the forehead with the palm of their hands and say, 'We've been doing it all wrong'? No," Lofgren said. "They'll say, 'Well Romney lost because he wasn't a true conservative, so we have to stick to our principles.'" Like Sen. Dick Lugar in Indiana and former Sen. Bob Bennett in Utah, both ousted in their primaries by far-right opponents, Lofgren said, "if that very determined base of the Republican Party doesn't think you're holding to your principles, they'll primary you right out of there."
Added Sabato: "Anything Republicans do to help Obama get his agenda done will help the Democratic nominee in 2016, and you can expect them to be very mindful of that."
A Romney win doesn't guarantee a suddenly functioning legislative assembly line, of course. Two things could happen, Lofgren said, that would land Romney in the same intransigent environment muddying Washington now: "If he's elected due to this base - this Tea Party-inspired base that's very fired up - and he's been pandering to that base, he'll still be looking at a lot of constraint if he doesn't completely follow through," he said. And even if Republicans take the Senate, the tables will be turned and "Democrats could prove to be just as disciplined a minority as Republicans were this time around" at blocking legislation.
Still, if a Democratic minority capable of blocking with a filibuster "pulls that trigger as many times as Republicans have," Lofgren said, a budget - debate over which brought the government minutes away from a shutdown last year - could go through under the Senate's reconciliation process. And with Rep. Paul Ryan - Romney's running mate and current chair of the House Budget Committee - as president of the Senate, "he would be that 51st vote," Lofgren said.
While new polls show Romney gaining ground among likely voters in key swing states, though, national polls of registered voters indicate at this point that an Obama reelection is more likely. The good news, Lofgren said, is even without cooperation from Congress, the president has accomplished "a fair amount, considering. Health care and the stimulus - those were big deals."
Whatever the outcome on Election Day, don't expect much from Congress - currently out of session until after the election - in the lame duck period, Lofgren warned. The Bush-era tax cuts, set to expire Jan. 1, and the already-expired farm bill are among legislation that demand attention before the Jan. 21 Inauguration.
"If Romney wins and brings some more with him in the House and Senate, Republicans would probably insist on a temporary extension so they get their own people seated later, and concoct something more to their liking," Lofgren said. "If it's the other way around, I don't think Republicans in the minority not holding the White House would be in any mood to pass some sort of grand bargain."
- prev
- no next page
Popular in Politics
- FBI director acknowledges domestic drone use 144 Comments
- Obama and Berlin: Faded echoes meet new realities 71 Comments
- Smooth, on-time Obamacare rollout no sure thing: GAO
- Obama on NSA programs: Americans "not getting the complete story"
- House Republicans pass 20-week limit on abortions 487 Comments
- Immigration reform would cut deficit, analysis shows 80 Comments
- GOP Sen. Murkowski backs same-sex marriage
- Obama renews push for a nuclear disarmament legacy















Here's a question:
Does anyone really think any of this would be possible without women's access to the full range of family planning options that have been available since anti-contraception laws were overturned in the 1960s and Roe v. Wade was decided in the 1970s?
Many, many women and men have fought long and hard to acquire & improve these economic opportunities for women...our daughters, granddaughters, wives, sisters and nieces. When Romney says women are mainly interested in economic issues he ignores this fact: for women, family planning/reproductive health is at the core of their economic opportunities and decisions. All that is on the line now, so to both women and men -- think carefully before you pull the lever.
Liberals will never believe that their message was wrong, only that they had the wrong messenger.
Think about this. If Obama wins he is inheriting an economy about to go over the fiscal cliff. The Middle East is on fire. World War III could easily start on his watch. The credit card is maxed out. He has a hostile Congress. There is every indication that his next 4 years will be difficult if not a complete disaster.
And if Obama goes down, he will take Liberalism and Keynesian Economics with him. Hillary will have NO CHANCE in 2016.
So Liberals, if you truly believe Romney will fail, VOTE FOR HIM! Leave him with this mess. After 4 years of complete disaster Hillary will easily win in 2016 and you will take the House and Senate too.
Liberals, sacrifice the Obama Presidency to save you message!
I am a moderate and I don't want ANYONE to fail. If Romney is elected, I hope he can continue to grow the economy back from where it was in 2008. The problem with modern politics is some sore losers will want the other party to fail even if it takes the country down. That's not right.
Obama's pretensions to unity were always false, right from his 2004 convention speech. Axelrod very adeptly sold the American people a mirage, again with the help of the media, but mirages cannot govern, as we have seen. Why else does obama hide his college records and the truth about his past associations so completely? He is the greatest fraud perpetrated on this nation in all its history.
CBS and other mainstream media gauge success of the government in how much legislation is passed. Romney understands that the best antidote for our economy right now is for the government to get smaller and get out of the way.