By

Sarah Huisenga /

CBS News/ September 29, 2012, 9:11 PM

Iowa poll: Obama has 4-percentage-point lead

A new poll of the battleground state of Iowa released on Saturday night by The Des Moines Register shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney by four percentage points among likely voters, 49 percent to 45 percent.

The poll is the latest in a series to show the president with an edge over the challenger in many of the crucial swing states less than six weeks before the election.

In a bit of bad news-good news for Romney, the poll found that many Iowa voters already have made up their minds, with only two percent identifying themselves as undecided. However, 10 percent said they could still be persuaded to vote for another candidate, offering a glimmer of hope for the Republican nominee.

Romney has campaigned in Iowa six times since clinching the Republican nomination, but hasn't visited since Sept. 7, when he held a rally in the Northwest part of the state, a conservative stronghold. Obama made eight visits to the state ahead of early voting, which started last week.

Both campaigns are making a point to send surrogates in their place, blanketing the state with running mates and wives. Both Ann Romney and Michelle Obama have campaigned in Iowa in the past ten days. And Vice President Joe Biden and Paul Ryan will makes stops in the state in the upcoming week.

The latest Des Moines Register poll was conducted Sept. 23-26 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points among likely voters.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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    Sarah Huisenga is covering the Mitt Romney campaign for CBS News and National Journal.

30 Comments Add a Comment
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CaptainSmollett says:
What working-class middle America desperately needs is "opportunity" more than anything else. That "opportunity" can ONLY come from a vibrant private sector. Obama can't deliver that because he ideologically despises capitalism. An agenda focused on wealth redistribution IS NOT THE ANSWER to our woes - it is the problem! We must have an administration that energizes the productive genius of our system of free-enterprise! Only that will create jobs again. Obama is the problem, not the solution.
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Jaylah54200 replies:
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And yet Obama never endorsed "wealth redistribution."

He DOES, however, endorse income redistribution. In other words, creating jobs that actually pay a living wage.
GOP-R--Con-Men replies:
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Captain, how do you explain actions by republicans to block everything to revive the economy and help struggling Americans?
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daffy64 says:
This election is the last chance for older white males to rule America despite NOT being the majority.

After Obama wins this one, hopefully, the days of minority (white male) rule are over.

Oh. And btw, I'm WHITE MALE.
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CaptainSmollett replies:
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Evidently you are also a racist.
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GOP-R--Con-Men says:
Republicans have shown they place allegiance to Grover Norquist and party over the love of country. Thereby proving they are undeserving of holding public office and shaping public policy.

Think about it. In 2010 republicans campaigned for congress on creating jobs. But what did they do after gaining control of the house? They began the war on women, they cause America's credit rating to be downgraded, they refused to extend unemployment benefits, they refused to allow a vote on President Obama's job act.

They have created unnecessary voter I.D. laws at the state level to suppress the vote of likely Democratic voters. I could go on and on with numeous examples of how republicans have used they public office to benefit corporations, big oil, big pharma and the super rick over struggling Americans.

Bottom line republicans have shown they are incapable and unworthy of holding public office. Now it's up to voters to vote against them like they have voted against us.
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Yeshuratnam says:
Iowa poll is manipulated. It's all the work of Team Obama to divert the attenton of voters from such burning issues as economic recession, massive unemployment and the failure of Obama's foreign policy, as we witness the turmoil in the Middle East today.

The liberal media is now controlled by Arab petro-dollars. What's the relationship between Qatar Foundation and CNN? Moody's analysis cannot be accurate. Many non-partisans (who form the majority) and many non-committed voters are not prepared to tell what's in their minds. So it is too premature to forecast election results. Media predicted a thumping voctory for the iconic, handsome and vastly popular Dewey. But to the shock of all Truman won.
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dj_chi replies:
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Yeah, yeah, yeah... evil liberal media twisting to Obama's biding. Right. But I never get an answer for why the GOP-sponsored conservative polls like Rasmussen have Obama ahead too. Still, the Des Moines Register poll is respected. You on the other hand have no credibility for us to rely on.

Face facts. The most accurate polls in the last election were only off by a small margin. Right now all of them give Obama the edge, given that they all put him ahead in the swing states.

And that guy Nathan Silver gives Obama a 83% likelihood chance of winning and he was amazingly accurate in all the Congressional races he picked.
daffy64 replies:
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The liberal media is now controlled by Arab petrodollars.

-

And Bigfoot. And we never landed on the Moon!
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FormerUSMCSergeant says:
troopf4 replies: Total americans killed in 11 year war in Afghanistan: 2,000, more killed since Obama took office than the previous years..

----

Maybe because dubya just marked time in Afghanistan so he could go headhunting in Iraq instead?

You don't have as many casualties but you don't go anywhere either if you simply mark time.....
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FormerUSMCSergeant says:
goodoleusa replies:

And what has Odumba done for you besides throw our money into the garbage and lower our morals. Give an answer please. HAHA you can't.

--- Of course I can.

Let's start with him winding down two unnecessary wars rather than starting two as dubya did.

And then we can move to stabilizing an economy that was in total freefall when he took the chair.

We can add returning diplomacy to the U.S. foreign policy.

The list goes on and on........
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FormerUSMCSergeant says:
The repubs have run three losers in a row now - dubya, McCain and Mitt.

Too bad the first loser actually got elected.
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Mick_from_Amsterdam replies:
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goodoleusa...

Is not throwing money into the garbage at least morally preferable to lining the pockets of the 1%...who have already stolen so much?

And as for morals...you would actually choose a ne'er-do-well, draft-dodging cokehead like George W. Bush as a roll model?

A curious, but rather scary choice!
willow11st replies:
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Good Man, As R.Lee Ermey Would say:OUTSTANDING!!you've earned My Respect!!you're Preaching To an Ever-growing Choir here,Thank Goodness!!
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Mick_from_Amsterdam says:
After Mitt loses this election in an historic landslide...if the IRS, the SEC and all the other federal agencies tasked with thief-catching were to succeed in seizing his hidden offshore assets...

He shouldn't despair...

They can always eat that $70,000 dancing horse!
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Jaylah54200 says:
It hasn't helped Romney at all that both his campaign and the RNC have been stuffing Iowan's mailboxes with at LEAST one (sometimes two or three) Obama-negative mailers every single day for the last month.

Not a single word about what Romney stands for (no surprise there since he, himself, doesn't know), just Obama-bashing.

And perhaps the funniest part about it is that they ALL have a big photo of Obama on them. So if you don't bother to read them (or the fine print about who sent them), you might well think they were for Obama.

Iowans, like the rest of Americans, are totally sick and tired of election crap (since it's been going on here for over a year) and particularly the RNC's kind of negative campaign, since they don't really have their own.

Ann Romney just announced that she's concerned about Mitt's "mental health" if he becomes President. So now it's not just Mitt sticking his foot in his mouth, it's his wife, too. And does anybody *really* think the foot-in-mouth problem is over?

Between the Romney's sabotaging his own campaign, the RNC not having the slightest idea of how to run a campaign, and the debates, Obama is going to carry the state of Iowa.
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Ddtgwt says:
what is Valeri Jarretts role at the whithe house...is she really the president? why does she have secret service detail 24/7
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