By

Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Anthony Salvanto, Fred Backus, Steve Chaggaris /

CBS News/ September 14, 2012, 7:00 AM

Poll: Obama leads Romney, 39 percent say country is worse off than four years ago

CBS/istockphoto

(CBS News) With the parties' conventions over and Election Day just weeks away, President Barack Obama has a three-point edge over Republican Mitt Romney among likely voters nationwide in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll.

Forty-nine percent of likely voters said they'll vote for Mr. Obama, 46 percent said Romney and 4 percent said they're undecided in the poll conducted from Sept. 8-12.

This is the first national poll in which CBS News and the New York Times have measured the presidential race among likely voters. The measure for likely voters takes into account voters' reported intent to vote, voting history and other factors that historically affect an individual's decision to vote.

President Obama has a wider lead over Romney among the broader group of registered voters nationwide. 51 percent say they'll vote for Mr. Obama (the first time he is above the 50 percent mark), while 43 percent choose Romney. Heading into the parties' conventions, the President and Romney were neck and neck among registered voters.

There is some room for movement in the presidential race - but not very much. Eighty-six percent of likely voters who back a candidate say their minds are made up, while just 13 percent say it's too early and their minds could still change. Similar percentages of Obama and Romney voters could change their minds.


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© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
355 Comments Add a Comment
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nomorebama says:
Did leftist Obama all of a sudden become a moderate? NO he hasn't...Obama lied through his teeth throughout the entire debate!!!! It was disgusting! His record proves that he is a extreme leftist and everything he said was to try and appease the mainstream Americans and is not his true agenda!
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Chabela11 says:
President Obama has delivered!

1. Bringing troops home from a war that should not have been started by Republicans
2. He hunted Osama Bin inside Pakistan ( he said it! "he would go in Pakintan if They had Osama")
3. He saved the only industry the USA IS KNOWN FOR ALL OVER THE WORLD CAR INDUSTRY!
4. He is working to make sure all Americans have health insurance instead of running to the ER
5. He has tried to balance out a country out of balanced by the Republicans .. Thiefs for the 1%

I've lived in a communist country and president Obama is not one! Not everyone that cares for 100%
Of its people is a communist. An unbalance amount of wealth, lack of health care, lack of housing, lack
Of human rights is the root cause of CUBA AND VENEZUELA.

USA NEEDS TO BRING A BALANCE FOR IT'S PEOPLE THAT ARE HURTING!!! The middle class
And the poor.
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angelticket says:
Why Romney's victory is critical to US economy? Romney has a stellar track record to turn businesses, state, Olympics around. He has a profound understanding of how business and economy functions, while Obama lacks of basic understanding and experiences, and holds wrong philosophy.
1. How jobs are created? Jobs are created where businesses prosper, so companies need to hire more people to produce products or provide services, which are in high demands. Jobs are not created for the sake of creating jobs.
2. How businesses prosper? Business prospers when their products and services are in demands. Business typically prospers in environment of low land costs, low labor costs, low energy costs, low taxation, etc.
3. How bubbles are created? Bubbles are typically created by easy monetary policy and easy credit.
4. How banking crisis are created? Banks typically use assets as collateral. When assets are in bubble, bank makes loan without enough backing. Also banks adopt loose lending policies to businesses and individuals.
5. What's the downside of money printing? Money printing promotes unfair wealth transfer, borrowing, speculation and moral hazard, while discourages hard working and saving.
6. What's the unintended consequence of government guarantee? The government guarantee makes risks of deposit, investment, artificially equal, thus promotes return chasing at the cost of more risk taking.
7. How to solve the too big to fail problem? Too big to fail simply means too big. We need incentives to break them down. Bailing out banks simply did the opposite. We should wipe out creditors' value rather than using tax payers' money.
8. Why big government is never the answer? Market economy is more efficient in allocating resources.
9. Why Obama is not qualified as President? He lacks basic understanding of how business and economy work. He doesn't understand priorities and urgency in managing the economy. He over-emphasizes green energy and education. In Chinese, we say far water can't save the close fire.
10. How a country prospers? Hopefully it prospers when households, companies, states and locals, and federal are in good financial conditions.
In conclusion, Romney understands how to generate economic growth, create jobs, balance budgets, get rid of Bernanke's money printing, and consolidating government. He is the man who can turn US around and make US prosper again for generations to come!
Please feel free to send the above message around or write your own copy. Together we can make a difference!
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angelticket says:
Why Romney's victory is critical to US economy? Romney has a stellar track record to turn businesses, state, Olympics around. He has a profound understanding of how business and economy functions, while Obama lacks of basic understanding and experiences, and holds wrong philosophy.
1. How jobs are created? Jobs are created where businesses prosper, so companies need to hire more people to produce products or provide services, which are in high demands. Jobs are not created for the sake of creating jobs.
2. How businesses prosper? Business prospers when their products and services are in demands. Business typically prospers in environment of low land costs, low labor costs, low energy costs, low taxation, etc.
3. How bubbles are created? Bubbles are typically created by easy monetary policy and easy credit.
4. How banking crisis are created? Banks typically use assets as collateral. When assets are in bubble, bank makes loan without enough backing. Also banks adopt loose lending policies to businesses and individuals.
5. What's the downside of money printing? Money printing promotes unfair wealth transfer, borrowing, speculation and moral hazard, while discourages hard working and saving.
6. What's the unintended consequence of government guarantee? The government guarantee makes risks of deposit, investment, artificially equal, thus promotes return chasing at the cost of more risk taking.
7. How to solve the too big to fail problem? Too big to fail simply means too big. We need incentives to break them down. Bailing out banks simply did the opposite. We should wipe out creditors' value rather than using tax payers' money.
8. Why big government is never the answer? Market economy is more efficient in allocating resources.
9. Why Obama is not qualified as President? He lacks basic understanding of how business and economy work. He doesn't understand priorities and urgency in managing the economy. He over-emphasizes green energy and education. In Chinese, we say far water can't save the close fire.
10. How a country prospers? Hopefully it prospers when households, companies, states and locals, and federal are in good financial conditions.
In conclusion, Romney understands how to generate economic growth, create jobs, balance budgets, get rid of Bernanke's money printing, and consolidating government. He is the man who can turn US around and make US prosper again for generations to come!
Please feel free to send the above message around or write your own copy. Together we can make a difference!
reply
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notreich says:
Fox News says the polls are suddenly all rigged. They seem to have stopped taking their own poll, but surely they will rig something up soon.
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rockerrick says:
Romney and Ryan are toast. The debates will only clarify the ineptness of Romney. His only policy has been to deceive, inveigle and obfuscate at every turn. He changes roles more than a B movie actor. He has no foreign policy experience and his disgraceful politicizing of the tragedy in Libya shows what kind of leader he would be should he ever have the opportunity to answer the infamous "3 AM phone call!" Obama deserves an extension on his contract. No leader is perfect but Obama has demonstrated that he has the leadership qualities this country requires. He slowed the bleeding of economic wounds inflicted by the captains of industry. Why the so-called "red" states are actually showing a significant improvement in their economies. It makes it kind of tough for them to point fingers at Obama except to wave, "Thank you." Obama saved the automotive industry in my state of Ohio. This is one of the many reasons he is so far ahead in Ohio. NO ONE LIKES ROMNEY. He is a rich boy who cares about rich boy glories. If you are middle class, then you are a victim in Romney's eyes.
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realityclear says:
Obama leads by Letterman. He thinks he's a celebrity. Where was his gay halo? He got all he could from the gays. If you haven't seen "Obama 2016" you should. I left the theater with some fascinating information about this man's motivations. I'm a Democrat but I think his time is up. I wouldn't care who was running against him. The next four years are going to be very trying for the country , and he has proven that he is not equipped to lead, but weaken. Everyone's is still under the hope/change spell. I would welcome President Romney and the election will not be as predicted in the polls. Too many negatives about Obama will cost him in the voting booth. He has to go.
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Obamamama55 replies:
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I happen to think that Letterman is a very Intelligent man! He has seen a LOT in his career and he knows Obama is a good Man!
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walkthetalk says:
Please! quit saying Thank God, you Dead Enders don't believe in God. Just say, Thank Cosmic Dust, because it's all that there is between your ears.
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peopleoffusa says:
romney is a pig i saw want he said about people who are oor ormiddle class.hes like hitler want to put us all who are not rich in camps beggeing for food like a dog . he said 47 per cents off us are dogs
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Obamamama55 replies:
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I Agree! Romney is a Pure Dictator! He doesn't care about us, it's all just a winning Game to him!
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KeepThinking says:
The Democrats are winning. Thank God. OBAMA 2012 !!!
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