By

Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Anthony Salvanto, Fred Backus, Stephanie Condon /

CBS News/ August 8, 2012, 3:00 AM

Poll: Romney leads in Colo., Obama in Va., Wis.

(CBS News) Two states that Barack Obama won in 2008 - after going for former President Bush in 2004 - are now split between President Obama and Mitt Romney, according to the latest Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times swing state poll.

Romney is ahead of the president in the swing state of Colorado, 50 percent to 45 percent. The poll shows a key part of Mr. Obama's Colorado coalition from 2008 -- college-educated white voters - in play this year.

Mr. Obama, meanwhile, leads Romney in Virginia, 49 percent to 45 percent, thanks in part to strong support from women and black voters.

In a third important state, Wisconsin, Mr. Obama has a 6-point lead over Romney, 51 percent to 45.

Colorado

Today's results come as the president embarks on a two-day, four-city campaign swing through Colorado. Romney campaigned in Colorado last week.

Four years ago, Mr. Obama won the support of white voters in Colorado by a slim, two-point margin, although he lost to John McCain among those with no college degree. Mr. Obama won the support of Colorado's white college graduates by a 14-point margin.

Now, however, white voters in the state back Romney, 54 percent to 41 percent. Romney even wins the support of white college graduates, with 49 percent support to Mr. Obama's 46 percent. The three-point lead is within the poll's margin of error.

There are age and gender gaps: men favor Romney over Mr. Obama by 17 points, while women favor the president by 8 points. Independents are divided. A majority of voters under 35 support Mr. Obama, while Romney leads among those age 36 and over.

Two thirds of Hispanic likely voters - who make up about one in 10 likely voters in the state - support the president, giving him 40-point lead over Romney among Hispanics.

Despite mass shooting, most Colo. voters don't favor stricter gun laws

A battle for women in a changing Colorado

Swing State Stories

Virginia

In 2008 Mr. Obama won both men and women in Virginia, but as in Colorado, there's now a significant gender gap there.

Mr. Obama leads by 14 points among Virginia's women, 54 percent to 40 percent. He trails Romney among men, 50 percent to 45 percent.

There are sizeable age differences in the Old Dominion, too: Mr. Obama leads among voters under 64, while Romney wins among those 65 and older.

Romney has a seven-point lead among independents in Virginia, and he also leads by seven points among military families. Fifty-seven percent of white voters support Romney, and that support grows to 63 percent among white voters with no college degree. Black voters, meanwhile, overwhelmingly support Mr. Obama over Romney (93 percent to 1 percent).

Wisconsin

In Wisconsin, Mr. Obama holds a commanding, 23-point lead among women. Romney, however, leads among men by 10 points, even though Mr. Obama won the support of men by seven points in 2008.

Union households, who make up a quarter of likely Wisconsin voters, support Mr. Obama by nearly two-to-one (61 percent to 36 percent).

Independent voters are divided, as are white voters. Mr. Obama does well among Wisconsin's white voters with college degrees, but Romney holds an edge among those without a degree.

Unlike in Colorado and Virginia, the president runs even among voters over 65 in Wisconsin (as he did in 2008).


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© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
276 Comments Add a Comment
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Tom_SF says:
I don't see how Obama could lead in any category. His term has been a complete disaster.
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dj_chi replies:
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To get anywhere, you need bills from Congress to come to his desk and Congress has been (I think) at a historic low in approving bills for Obama to sign. Congress doesn't have a pathetic approval rate for nothing (which is about a third of Obama's approval rate).
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occupy_cbs says:
Fact is, unaffiliated voters are much more intelligent and non-partisan than the rabid posters here spewing their endless hatred and LIES and DECEPTIONS from the usual sources, and the longer romney hides his taxes and gives absolutely NO SPECIFICS or DETAILS on any of his proposals -- just vague lip service and attacks -- the more this year's election will look just like 2004.
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HarryOrielly says:
Can we believe anything our news-media says? I think not- Obama is charismatic-well spoken & likable and like a slick con-fidence man always seeks the spotlight but is corrupt to the bone. As a master con-man he always says what people want to hear and we Americans were proud to elect a black man as our president because it shows the world what we are all about. But while Obama preaches to the poor, he is owned by the rich. The only president to hide his past history at the cost of millions. He even surrendered his law license to avoid investigation. So what could be so bad that millions was spent to hide? Maybe a few drug busts & arrest records? We Americans will never know (probably far worse) because our news-media is closed & controlled and refuse to print anything about Obama's past history or his IN-ELIGIBILITY to be president. Obama leads America into a new unprecedented era of corruption.
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RollotheNorman replies:
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Your narrative is stalled RepubliCONs. Nobody is buying.
RollotheNorman replies:
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Come to think of it, wasn't this corruption and dirty Chicago politics thing trotted out in '08. To paraphrase Sarah: That corruption and dirty politics thing, how's that working out for ya?
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RollotheNorman says:
LOL here it is RepubliCONs:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/co/colorado_romney_vs_obama-2023.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wi/wisconsin_romney_vs_obama-1871.html

And for added zest, how the EV map would look if the election was today:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html
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infantryman1968 says:
Poll: Romney leads in Colo., Obama in Va., Wis.


LOL!


The same people who brought you the Walker defeat poll: Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times.

The Irony.
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occupy_cbs says:
You know, even though I hate making predictions during this silly political season of endless hatred against the President, and where romney supporters don't really like him in the least and will only vote AGAINST Bagger Vance in the White House, I believe Colorado and the majority of the swing states will go to Obama in 2012.

Fact is, unaffiliated voters are much more intelligent and non-partisan than the rabid posters here spewing their endless hatred and LIES and DECEPTIONS from the usual sources, and the longer romney hides his taxes and gives absolutely NO SPECIFICS or DETAILS on any of his proposals -- just vague lip service and attacks -- the more this year's election will look just like 2004.
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nottblu replies:
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LOL! be aware you are a prime example of a "partisan, rabid poster spewing endless hatred, lies and deceptions". Pot meet kettle!
occupy_cbs replies:
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Thanks for proving you add absolutely nothing to the discussion but an outright personal attack, nuttblu! Your hatred oozes from every pore.
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louiville2_2 says:
by OBAMA4ALL August 8, 2012 10:19 PM EDT
by Rafterman11 August 8, 2012 10:09 PM EDT
The Dems never had a usable super majority. With Al Franken not seating right away due to election challenges and Ted Kennedy dying, that super majority never had any impact.
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Look...louiville2_2 can't be bothered with facts. They get in the way of his mad hysterics.
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LOL Youy guys got the denial machine running full force you people can't even get along with each other and you have the audacity to say you can run a country?????? I mean really go to any democrat district and the number one killer of democrats is fellow democrats.... Run a country??? AHHAHHHAHHHHAHHHHAHHHH come back when you have learned how to play well with each other!!!!
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RollotheNorman replies:
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"denial machine" who came up with that? Rush or Faux News?
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PubliusCitizen says:
Note how oBAMA has bought the women's vote? (17 point difference over men) ... With Sarah FLUKE lamenting that she can't afford birth control? ... Did anyone note that FLUKE was attending a PRIVATE COLLEGE which cost plenty ($160,000 for her degree) - to become a LAWYER? And she couldn't afford $30 a month for her birth control pills - or $30 a month for condoms? ... and if she is a lesbian - why does she need birth control?
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Dancing-in-the-Streets replies:
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Obama didn't have to buy the women's vote - they repubs HANDED it to him on a silver platter!
EmpireGeorge______-- replies:
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PubliusCitizen, they played up the Fluke issue for all they could get.....they actually thought they could get Rush Limbaugh fired, like they attempted to hurt Chick-fil-a, and the baker, and anyone else that doesn't go along with the liberal agenda.
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PubliusCitizen says:
As the shady and dishonest tactics of the oBAMa camp and MSM come to light; including NYP rigging poll numbers for oBAMa (here), and WH pols telling DOJ not to continue Black Panther poll intimidation, and the WH pols telling DHS not not enforce laws in Occupy sit-ins, and WH refusing to enforce Defense of Marriage law, the WH pols telling DOJ to bury Fast and Furious - can't anyone else see the corruption in OBAMAs camp? Can the Media really hide this stuff from the LEFT - or does the LEFT have their head completely buried in the sand?
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CaptainSmollett says:
Poverty has risen to its highest level in almost 50 years, unemployment has been above 8% for 42 months, spending is out of control with $trillion deficits, the national debt has gone ballistic, there are more folks on welfare and Food Stamps than any time in history, and the Fed has issued a "darkening" outlook on the economy.

So why don't the liberals hold Obama accountable for this? Why don't the liberals think this is THE most vital issue of the campaign? Why would any rational person vote for four more years of this misery?

Obama is the problem, not the solution.
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selfcentrist replies:
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88Ronin is dead on. Every sensational thing you say changes when one looks for historical comparison. To answer your most important question, we don't hold Obama accountable for that he has not caused. Don't take my word for it, do your own research. Start with this question-"when did paper capital freeze?"
RollotheNorman replies:
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Smollett cross-posts his little paste up job to every thread on the board, irregardless of what the the topic might be. CBS ought ought to IP ban him, he accounts for a lot of spam on their boards, and much of it is meaningless drivel.
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