By

Brian Montopoli /

CBS News/ August 1, 2012, 6:32 AM

Obama leads Romney in three key swing states

Nine in 10 Romney voters say their mind is made up. Supporters of Mr. Obama are slightly more likely to say they could change their mind.

Mr. Obama's favorable rating is 50 percent or slightly higher in all three states. Romney's favorable rating, meanwhile, hovers around 40 percent. In all three states the president's favorable rating is higher than his unfavorable rating, while Romney's unfavorable rating is higher than his favorable rating. Meantime, Mr. Obama's job approval is split in all three states: in Florida and Ohio, 48 percent approve of the job he's doing, 48 percent disapprove; in Pennsylvania, 49 percent approve while 46 percent disapprove.

The president is seen as better to handle both national security and health care in all three states. Voters are split on who is best to handle the economy, which polls show is the issue most important to Americans.

One issue that's dogged Romney is the release of his tax returns. He's insisted the two years he's released (one only an estimate at this point) is plenty, but a majority of voters in all three states disagree with him. Just over 50 percent in each state say a candidate should release several years of tax returns while just under 20 percent in all three say one or two years of returns will suffice. Around one in four say candidates should not release returns at all.

Related: Full poll results

This poll was conducted by telephone from Quinnipiac University's interviewing facility July 24-30, 2012. The number of likely voters interviewed in each state is 1,177 in Florida, 1,193 in Ohio and 1,168 in Pennsylvania. In all three states, phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the sample in each state could be plus or minus three percentage points in Florida, Ohio and in Pennsylvania. The error for subgroups may be higher. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.


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© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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jimatmadison says:
Discerning voters' answers isn't always a clearcut thing. A campaign worker (I don't remember who told the story) stopped at a house in western Pennsylvania before the 2008 election. She knocked on the door, and when the lady of the house answered, the worker asked who she was planning on voting for in the presidential election.
The lady paused, then shouted over her shoulder "Honey, who are we voting for for President?"
A male voice responded "We're voting for the /Vigger."
"I guess we're voting for the /Vigger," the lady sweetly told the campaign worker.
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unclebernies says:
I'm trying to figure out how so many people could be so dumb in supporting a republican candidate to begin with.
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TimeToEvolve says:
Obama is winning. The Republicons better get on their horse and come up with yet more obstructionist policies to make America fail. They need to figure out some more harmful things they can do to the economy to make Obama look bad. They need to get rid of more factories and jobs.

Unfortunately they have had almost 4 years to ruin America and despite their best efforts, President Obama is just too strong and too smart for them.
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1988JAck replies:
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President Obama is a great man and leader. God bless him.
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Wakeupkids says:
"........too focused on profits...."?

Hmmm that's a bad thing? Last time I checked......

- most people are employed by companies.
- those companies hired you because they were profitable (if they were not you would not have a job)
- you earned a salary as a result of that job, and could live
- you and the company paid taxes, so the government could live
- you perhaps started to use some of your money to invest in your retirement
- that retirement only GROWS if companies earn a PROFIT

So if you don't like companies and you don't like profits, then you probably just want to live off the government. But since Obama also dislikes companies and profits, those companies will invest in other countries. The government will not have an income from which they can pay you to live, at least after the country goes bankrupt.

Profits? Our country was built on it post ww2, and it can take us out of the ditch again.
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Yeah_Its_Me replies:
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Obama dislikes companies and profits? Well then he made a big oops in lowering their taxes and seeing their profits rise to record levels! Man, he must be kicking himself for getting that wrong!
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occupy_cbs says:
jgg000010: "when most readers see cbs/new york times poll they pretty much know what to expect. If you believe it you are being lulled into a false sense of security".



Whatever....but even fox/rasmussen has your boy romney trailing...

Pennsylvania: Romney vs. Obama

RCP Average..................Obama +7
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac........Obama +11
PPP.............................Obama +6
Rasmussen Reports........Obama +4
WeAskAmerica.................Obama +7

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html
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raptor-022 says:
Mitt Romney could face huge hurdle with women voters in swing states

Campaigning in Ohio Wednesday, Mr. Obama pushed the notion that government isn't the only solution, but it should play a role in boosting the economy -- especially for the middle class.

Pollsters say that message resonates, particularly with single women struggling to get by.

Those women chose the president over the presumptive Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, by 2-to-1 in the poll.
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EmpireGeorge______-- says:
..
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TimeToEvolve says:
by EmpireGeorge______-- August 2, 2012 1:20 PM EDT
Why ? because people don't want never-ending unemployment, as is the case while Obama is in office....they want jobs, not a stagnant economy, going nowhere but down the tubes, if Obama remains....that's WHY ! they are against the ditherer.

So let's vote for an Outsourcer in Chief (RobMe) who won't even pay his taxes. A guy who literally has promised to double down an all the failed policies of the Bush Cheney Crime Family (more wars, tax cuts for the rich using borrowed money, tax welfare for the giant corporations, all on the backs of American workers). Smart George.
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EmpireGeorge______-- replies:
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How does a govenor decide where a private factory is going to operate ? I'd like you to answer that ?

Because for him to be the "outsourcer" he would have decision making capability within those companies, when he didn't.
Yeah_Its_Me replies:
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Romney invested heavily in a company in '98 who's sole purpose was to outsource manufacturing jobs to Asia. By choosing to invest at that level, he backed their business plan. It's not like he didn't look it over before investing.
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TimeToEvolve says:
by seabass6251 August 2, 2012 1:16 PM EDT
Do corporations somehow steal from the poor and middle class or do the poor and middle class fall over themselves to give their money to corporations? Just wondering.

To answer your questions, since Reagan, big corporations have received special rules and regulations that benefit them above workers and people. Many of them pay no US taxes even though they make billions in profits. We actually give them money (so they pay NEGATIVE tax). Now they a sitting on trillions in off-shore tax havens (the same ones RobMe uses).

And we know that they own Congress through their lobbyists and thus are responsible for passing the anti-worker, anti-American "free trade" agreements. Now they are people, my friend as a result of the corporation appointed right wingers on the Supreme Court. Now they are not only stealing our money but they are stealing our democracy with massive election purchasing.
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TimeToEvolve says:
But fxr60 why are you supporting a Republicon (RobMe) who got rich raising unemployment rates and cutting pay for people who were still working.

And he wants to continue the Bush Cheney economic policies that caused the lingering high unemployment. Meanwhile Obama stopped the Second Great Republican Depression and created millions of jobs. The previous Republicon a-holes deleted jobs. And we want another lying, airheaded Bushoccio (Romney)?
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