By

Brian Montopoli /

CBS News/ August 1, 2012, 6:32 AM

Obama leads Romney in three key swing states

(CBS News) President Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely voters in Ohio and Florida - and has a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania - according to a Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll released this morning.

The poll, conducted from July 24-30, shows Mr. Obama leading his presumptive Republican challenger 53 percent to 42 percent in Pennsylvania. The 11-point lead results largely from independents, who favor the president by 22 points, and women, who favor the president by 24 points.

Mr. Obama holds a six-point lead in Ohio, 50 percent to 44 percent, a state where he holds a campaign event later today. His lead here is also due in large part to women, who back him by a 21-point margin. Romney leads by ten points among Ohio men, and seven points among Ohio whites.

Special section: Swing state stories

(CBS News' Jim Axelrod reports on poll results in Ohio on Wednesday.)

In Florida, Mr. Obama also holds a six point lead, 51 percent to 45 percent. He holds a small lead among both men and women and a 19-point lead among Hispanics, while Romney leads by double-digits among whites and voters age 65 and above.

The president is viewed more favorably in all three swing states, and is far more likely to be seen as caring about voters' needs and problems. Voters are split on Romney's business background: While roughly 42 percent say it will help him create jobs, about half say it is too focused on profits. Less than one third of voters say either candidates' policies will help their financial situation, though Romney has a slight edge on this question. Voters are also slightly more likely to say Mr. Obama's policies will hurt them financially.

Mr. Obama's voters are significantly more likely to strongly favor him in all three states. Romney's support is substantially more likely to come from those who say they are motivated primarily by their dislike of the other candidate.

In Pennsylvania, for example, 59 percent of Obama voters strongly favor the president, while 41 percent of Romney voters strongly favor the former Massachusetts governor. While 22 percent of Romney voters say they are backing him because they dislike the president, only 7 percent are backing Mr. Obama because they dislike Romney.


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© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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jimatmadison says:
Discerning voters' answers isn't always a clearcut thing. A campaign worker (I don't remember who told the story) stopped at a house in western Pennsylvania before the 2008 election. She knocked on the door, and when the lady of the house answered, the worker asked who she was planning on voting for in the presidential election.
The lady paused, then shouted over her shoulder "Honey, who are we voting for for President?"
A male voice responded "We're voting for the /Vigger."
"I guess we're voting for the /Vigger," the lady sweetly told the campaign worker.
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unclebernies says:
I'm trying to figure out how so many people could be so dumb in supporting a republican candidate to begin with.
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TimeToEvolve says:
Obama is winning. The Republicons better get on their horse and come up with yet more obstructionist policies to make America fail. They need to figure out some more harmful things they can do to the economy to make Obama look bad. They need to get rid of more factories and jobs.

Unfortunately they have had almost 4 years to ruin America and despite their best efforts, President Obama is just too strong and too smart for them.
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1988JAck replies:
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President Obama is a great man and leader. God bless him.
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Wakeupkids says:
"........too focused on profits...."?

Hmmm that's a bad thing? Last time I checked......

- most people are employed by companies.
- those companies hired you because they were profitable (if they were not you would not have a job)
- you earned a salary as a result of that job, and could live
- you and the company paid taxes, so the government could live
- you perhaps started to use some of your money to invest in your retirement
- that retirement only GROWS if companies earn a PROFIT

So if you don't like companies and you don't like profits, then you probably just want to live off the government. But since Obama also dislikes companies and profits, those companies will invest in other countries. The government will not have an income from which they can pay you to live, at least after the country goes bankrupt.

Profits? Our country was built on it post ww2, and it can take us out of the ditch again.
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Yeah_Its_Me replies:
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Obama dislikes companies and profits? Well then he made a big oops in lowering their taxes and seeing their profits rise to record levels! Man, he must be kicking himself for getting that wrong!
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occupy_cbs says:
jgg000010: "when most readers see cbs/new york times poll they pretty much know what to expect. If you believe it you are being lulled into a false sense of security".



Whatever....but even fox/rasmussen has your boy romney trailing...

Pennsylvania: Romney vs. Obama

RCP Average..................Obama +7
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac........Obama +11
PPP.............................Obama +6
Rasmussen Reports........Obama +4
WeAskAmerica.................Obama +7

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html
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raptor-022 says:
Mitt Romney could face huge hurdle with women voters in swing states

Campaigning in Ohio Wednesday, Mr. Obama pushed the notion that government isn't the only solution, but it should play a role in boosting the economy -- especially for the middle class.

Pollsters say that message resonates, particularly with single women struggling to get by.

Those women chose the president over the presumptive Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, by 2-to-1 in the poll.
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EmpireGeorge______-- says:
..
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TimeToEvolve says:
by EmpireGeorge______-- August 2, 2012 1:20 PM EDT
Why ? because people don't want never-ending unemployment, as is the case while Obama is in office....they want jobs, not a stagnant economy, going nowhere but down the tubes, if Obama remains....that's WHY ! they are against the ditherer.

So let's vote for an Outsourcer in Chief (RobMe) who won't even pay his taxes. A guy who literally has promised to double down an all the failed policies of the Bush Cheney Crime Family (more wars, tax cuts for the rich using borrowed money, tax welfare for the giant corporations, all on the backs of American workers). Smart George.
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EmpireGeorge______-- replies:
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How does a govenor decide where a private factory is going to operate ? I'd like you to answer that ?

Because for him to be the "outsourcer" he would have decision making capability within those companies, when he didn't.
Yeah_Its_Me replies:
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Romney invested heavily in a company in '98 who's sole purpose was to outsource manufacturing jobs to Asia. By choosing to invest at that level, he backed their business plan. It's not like he didn't look it over before investing.
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TimeToEvolve says:
by seabass6251 August 2, 2012 1:16 PM EDT
Do corporations somehow steal from the poor and middle class or do the poor and middle class fall over themselves to give their money to corporations? Just wondering.

To answer your questions, since Reagan, big corporations have received special rules and regulations that benefit them above workers and people. Many of them pay no US taxes even though they make billions in profits. We actually give them money (so they pay NEGATIVE tax). Now they a sitting on trillions in off-shore tax havens (the same ones RobMe uses).

And we know that they own Congress through their lobbyists and thus are responsible for passing the anti-worker, anti-American "free trade" agreements. Now they are people, my friend as a result of the corporation appointed right wingers on the Supreme Court. Now they are not only stealing our money but they are stealing our democracy with massive election purchasing.
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TimeToEvolve says:
But fxr60 why are you supporting a Republicon (RobMe) who got rich raising unemployment rates and cutting pay for people who were still working.

And he wants to continue the Bush Cheney economic policies that caused the lingering high unemployment. Meanwhile Obama stopped the Second Great Republican Depression and created millions of jobs. The previous Republicon a-holes deleted jobs. And we want another lying, airheaded Bushoccio (Romney)?
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