Extreme storms 30 percent more common now than in 1948

An abandoned truck sits stuck in high water in Jacksonville, Fla. Tuesday, June 26, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby flooded homes, an animal shelter and closed parts of the main interstate highway across northern Florida / AP Photo/The Florida Times-Union, Kelly Jordan
(CBS News) A new report says it's raining more than ever over the United States, which paradoxically means there is also more dry weather that can lead to droughts.
Environment America, a national environmental advocacy group, released its report "When it Rains, it Pours: Global Warming and the Increase in Extreme Precipitation from 1948 to 2011" on Tuesday, which claims extreme rain and snowstorms are becoming more frequent. Collecting data from nearly 65 years of weather history, the report sees a 30 percent increase in the frequency of extreme storms.
"In other words," the report says, "heavy downpours or snowstorms that happened once every 12 months on average in1948 now happen every 9 months, on average."
"As the old saying goes, when it rains, it pours - especially in recent years as bigger storms have hit us more often," says Nathan Willcox, Federal Global Warming Program Director with Environment America.
Speaking with CBS News, Willcox explained the method of collating 65 years of nationwide weather history. The organization collected data from "3,700 weather stations across the country via the National Climatic Data Center."
Not only are big storms getting more common, they're also getting bigger. The report found that the largest annual storms produce 10 percent more precipitation on average than they did 65 years ago.
The report points to global climate change as the obvious culprit for the increased ferocity of storms. Warm weather allows the air to hold more water, as well as increasing evaporation, leading to larger precipitation.
A surprising counterpoint to larger storms is larger periods of dry weather.
"By increasing rates of evaporation from the land, warmer weather is making soils dry faster," Willcox told CBS News.
Greater evaporation means there could be longer periods of dry weather between heavy rainfall.
U.S. Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois put out a news release along with Environment America's report.
"Illinois has seen it all in the last year - extreme flooding that forced residents of Cairo to evacuate, a severe blizzard in Chicago that shut down Lake Shore Drive and one of the worst droughts on record affecting the entire state," said Senator Durbin. "We are ignoring the obvious - our extreme weather events are getting worse, catastrophic in fact, and the federal government is unprepared. We need to begin to address the reality that there will be more extreme weather events and ensure that we are taking the necessary steps to protect our communities."
Looking on a state-by-state basis, the report found that extreme rainfall increased in 49 states since 1948. Only Oregon experienced fewer heavy rain and snowstorms. By region, New England and the Mid-Atlantic saw the largest increase in extreme storms. New England saw an 85 percent increase compared to rates in 1948. As the report restates, that means heavy rain or snowfall that hit New England every 12 months in 1948 now occurs every six and a half months on average.
Environment America is a national organization, based in Washington, D.C., that is made up of 29 state environmental advocacy groups.
Popular in SciTech
- Amazon proposes a colossal biospherelike Seattle campus
- Weird pirate ant comes with an "eye patch"
- The 7 weirdest things made by 3D printing
- Watch: Biggest solar storm of the year Play Video
- Jennifer Lopez to open Verizon cellphone stores
- NASA funds 3D pizza printer
- Apple's next iPhone may be coming in June
- Microsoft announces Xbox One














From the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
"Summertime, and the twisters are missin'
July heads for a record-low tornado count
Bob Henson | July 24, 2012 • Heat and drought are punishing much of the United States right now, but there's actually some good weather news to report. This month is on track to produce fewer tornadoes than any July on record, and by a long shot.
As of July 23, this month has produced a paltry total of 14 tornado reports, according to preliminary data from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC). While there could be more twisters before month's end, a major outbreak doesn't appear likely at all.
The chart below shows just how unusual this month has been, compared to past Julys. Graphed in blue are the final July tornado counts from the 1950s (when modern records began) to 2011. The next-most-quiet July after 2012 is 1960, which saw a total of 42 tornadoes—three times what we've seen thus far this month. Many Julys have produced more than 100 twisters.
Chart showing actual and inflation-adjusted U.S. tornado reports for July, 1954-2011
The number of U.S. tornadoes reported each July (blue line) has gradually risen since the 1950s, with more observers and cameras watching the skies. The red line shows an estimate of how many tornadoes might have been observed if modern observing technologies and practices were in place throughout the entire period. The blue diamond at lower right shows this year's July total: a mere 14 tornadoes, as of the 23rd of the month. (Data courtesy Harold Brooks, NOAA Storm Prediction Center; illustration by Wes Shifrin, © UCAR.)
The results get even more interesting when you adjust the numbers for "report inflation." Tornado reports have gradually increased since the 1950s, especially for weak twisters. This appears to be a byproduct of the steady growth of interest in storm spotting and tornado chasing, along with the advent of inexpensive, high-quality digital photo and video tools. The attention and technology have combined to boost the reported numbers of weak tornadoes, whereas the strongest ones are being observed about as often as they were 50 or 60 years ago—a clue that it's observing practice rather than climate change behind the trend."