Russia: Assad losing control; Rebels push closer to Syrian capital

In this Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2012 photo released by the Syrian official news agency SANA, People stand near a damaged car and debris after explosions hit the main gate of the Syrian Interior Ministry in Damascus, Syria. / AP Photo/SANA

BEIRUT A bomb blast Thursday near a school in a Damascus suburb killed 16 people, at least half of them women and children, the state news agency reported. Russia, Syria's most important international ally, said for the first time that President Bashar Assad is increasingly losing control and the opposition may win the civil war.

The statement by Russia's deputy foreign minister comes as rebel make gains across the country and on the international stage.

Rebels have seized large swaths of territory in north Syria and appear to be expanding their control outside of Damascus, pushing the fight closer to the seat of Assad's power. On Wednesday, the U.S., Europe and their allies recognized the newly reorganized opposition leadership, giving it a stamp of credibility and possibly paving the way for greater international aid to those fighting Assad's forces.

The blast in the suburb of Qatana, southwest of the capital, is the latest in a string of similar bombings in and around Damascus that the government says have killed at least 25 people in the last two days.

The government blames the bombings on terrorists, its shorthand for rebel fighters.

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Meanwhile, Syrian government forces have fired Scud missiles in recent days at an ammunition dump seized by rebels, CBS News national security correspondent David Martin reports.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, a U.S. official told Martin that Assad's forces fired six missiles in the past two or three days at the depot near Aleppo in northern Syria. The official asked not to be named because they weren't authorized to discuss the matter publicly.

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While no one has claimed responsibility for the bombings, some have targeted government buildings and killed officials, suggesting that rebels who don't have the firepower to engage Assad's forces in the capital are resorting to other measures to weaken his regime.

Thursday's attack, however, killed civilians and could add to a growing wariness of the rebels among many Syrians.

Syria's SANA news agency said a car packed with explosives blew up near a school in a residential part of Qatana. The report quoted medics from a nearby hospital as saying 16 people were killed, including seven children and "a number" of women. It said nearly two dozen people were wounded.

The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said the blast killed 17 people, including seven children and two women, adding that it was near a military residence. It did not say who carried out the attack.

Similar attacks hit four places in and around Damascus on Wednesday. Three bombs collapsed walls of the Interior Ministry building, killing at least five people. One of the dead was Syrian parliament member Abdullah Qairouz, SANA reported.

Other explosions Wednesday hit near the Palace of Justice, in the suburb of Jermana and in the upscale Mezzeh 86 district, heavily populated by members of Assad's minority Alawite sect. One of the three killed in that that bombing was a state TV journalist named Anmar Mohammed, SANA said.

The Observatory also reported the deaths of Qairouz and Mohammed and said the number of those killed in the Interior Ministry bombing had risen to nine.

The Observatory, which is based in Britain and relies on contacts inside Syria, also reported clashes between rebels and regime forces in a number of areas south of the city as well as government airstrikes on rebellious suburbs to the city's east and south.

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Anti-regime activists say more than 40,000 people have been killed since the start of the anti-Assad uprising in March 2011.

World powers have remained deadlocked on how to end Syria's crisis, with the U.S. Europe and many Arab nations calling on Assad to stand down while Russia, China and Iran continue to back him.

But Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov offered the first suggestion yet from a top Russian official that Assad's regime may be in trouble.

"We must look at the facts: There is a trend for the government to progressively lose control over an increasing part of the territory," Bogdanov said during hearings at the Kremlin advisory body, the Public Chamber. "The opposition victory can't be excluded."

He didn't suggest that Russia would immediately change its stance toward Assad and called for a political solution, saying continued war would be tragic.

"The fighting will become even more intense, and you will lose tens of thousands and, perhaps, hundreds of thousands of people," he said. "If such a price for the ouster of the president seems acceptable to you, what can we do? We, of course, consider it absolutely unacceptable."

[joesapper]

Another failed attempt to lead as a closed fisted voice that supported terrorist which resulted with terror at his door in the end.

[mentalist65]

Assad should get out of Syria and take his selfish wife with him.

[johnlockesghost]

Once Assad loses the civil war, make him pay for it with his life, don't let him get away.

[usunus]

Great news for the Nusra Front.Welcome a Taliban regime in Damascus.

[nonpolitico]

Seems like the Russians and the Chinese, unable to throw off their Cold War attitudes, (The USA/REAGAN WON THAT ONE!!!),have miscalculated.
If they are truly supplying weaponry, the Pentagon could tell them to quit before it is too late!
Imagine the Islamocrazies shouting "Death to Russia" for a change??
Give Putin something to think about thats for sure!!
Anyway, Obama has sent the USN to the South, so we have taken our eye off the Middle east ball for sure!
Still, both Obama and the EU got awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, so that`s OK?!

[quincytodd]

I bet that right now the right-wing thugs in Washington must be tickled pink over hearing this news out of Moscow. Another Middle Eastern country to fall to the wolves, so to speak. How depressing this is!

[judymar14]

I don't get it, it's alright they kill each other, but it's how they do it is the problem.

[jjoe57]

Russia's position on Syria has been ludicrous at most and puzzling at least. If Russia finds the portent of an ousted Assad regime "absolutely unacceptable," then Russia should send in their own forces or send arms to Assad. But Russia has backed off on arms shipments and certainly won't send in troops. So they engage in meaningless verbal posturing.

[inketolstoy]

Typical 21st century statesmanship.

[Nikos_Retsos]

Russia finally has written off Bashar Assad, just about as bankers write off bad loans as a loss. I have predicted in other writings and in my blog at the Telegraph that Russian policy in Syria was quite foolish, and now Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov - who had boasted "The Syrian rebels cannot defeat the Syrian army" - might have to eat some crow. I don't know where Assad will be headed for exile, but I am certain of two things: a) Assassins will be hot on his trail to do justice for all the killing done under his orders, and b) The International Criminal Court's (ITC) investigators will start amassing "war crimes" evidence against him, and an arrest warrant is certain to come later.

I am sure Assad thinks that packing and leaving will end his current predicament. But his real nightmares will begin when he starts life on the run in exile! Nikos Retsos, retired professor