By

Alex Sundby /

CBS News/ September 25, 2012, 10:50 AM

Global bacon shortage "unavoidable," group says

(CBS News) BLTs next year might have to forego the B, according to a British trade group.

Britain's National Pig Association, "the voice of the British pig industry," warned recently that a global shortage of bacon and pork "is now unavoidable" because of shrinking herds.

The trade group reported Thursday that annual pig production for Europe's main pig producers fell across the board between 2011 and 2012, a trend that "is being mirrored around the world." The group tied the decline to increased feed costs, an effect of poor harvests for corn and soybeans.

Even though the pig association issued its dire prediction as part of a campaign to get British supermarkets to pay pig farmers more for their products, the possibility of a pork shortage received plenty of coverage in American news outlets.

But the projected decline isn't news to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. In its monthly outlook report (PDF) from August, the department linked a reduction next year in the United States to this year's drought in the Midwest. The government expects corn and soybean meal prices to go up and hog producers to cut production in an attempt to control losses in their operating costs.

Considering those factors, the USDA forecasted next year's pork production at 23 billion pounds, a decrease of about 1.3 percent from this year's estimated total. That breaks down to Americans consuming slightly more than 45 pounds of pork per capita in 2013, a reduction of more than 1 percent from this year's estimates.

The decline in production could be worse in Europe. On Wednesday, British Pig Executive Mick Sloyan told European retailers that pork losses could be as high 10 percent in the latter half of 2013, which could double pork prices, according to the U.K. pig association.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • Alex Sundby

    Alex Sundby is a senior news editor for CBSNews.com

126 Comments Add a Comment
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Baconnator says:
Well paying farmers to limit crops or if this is a real problem. either way if crops are low and the pork bellies follow suet we can be in real trouble. follow your stock market. Corn and soybean, Pork bellies and OJ are a big part of the stock market. Oh BTW pork chops taste good, bacon taste good. everything taste better with bacon. THAT IS ALL....
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BLongn says:
Farm "entitlement programs" - paying the factory farms to LIMIT production of corn and soy beans to artificially inflate the market price for these commodities. Eliminate farm subsidies and allow a free market to dictate the price of goods
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doubleecho-2009 says:
SO WHAT? OK we go without bacon, gee the world WILL NOT CRASH!
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foo8259 says:
No! Don't say I have to go without my 'Pig Candy' At least I have a chest freezer and can stock up on Paleo Diet frendly foods like bacon, pork jowl and beef brisket. I just noticed comments are now visible on the new design CBS website, even in the Opera browser with no Javascript enabled. You can't comment though. Maybe their coding in perl, or whatever, is an improvement and more secure than the old format? IMO the page layout is much larger and and a bit harder to read or get used to, using 1024x768 screen resolution though.
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baconbot says:
Probably related to the numb-skulls at:

1) The so-called "Humane" Society of the US
2) The ethanol lobby
3) The tree-huggers
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baconbot says:
Rub some bacon on it.
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le_fez says:
This story has already been shown to be a hoax
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varigdc10 says:
Just stop eating pigs.
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doubleecho-2009 replies:
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Actually, pigs are VERY intelligent animals & share a LOT in common with humans, which is why they were used for "experiments" for so long.
Given the new science directive that finds many species of animals are "conscious" and MUCH MORE LIKE US than we had ever imagined, perhaps it is time to give up the pork!
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wakewiseone says:
"The group tied the decline to increased feed costs, an effect of poor harvests for corn and soybeans............"

AND THE FACT THAT THE DUMBMASSES IN THIS COUNTRY HAVE 40% OF THE CORN CROP GOING INTO ETHANOL..........

STOOPID.....STOOPID......STOOPID !!!!
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nubwaxer replies:
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i think it's spelled stooopid and the bacon shortage is a hoax. i had a bacon sandwich yesterday and repeated the misinformation to someone. oops, got me.
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PorkisGreat says:
Tell the government to help prevent "Bacon-Geddon!" http://www.nppc.org/bacongeddon
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