December 6, 2010 11:01 AM

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's Take On The Economy

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FILE - In this April 12, 2011 file photo, actor John Travolta participates in a news conference for the film "Gotti: Three Generations," in New York. Two years after his last film, Travolta returns to the big screen amid a flurry of bad press about his personal life. The two-time Oscar nominee isn't totally shirking publicity for "Savages," but sticking to specially selected outlets. (AP Photo/Evan Agostini, File) (Evan Agostini)

But it was a historic transfusion of cash in a global system that was bleeding to death. We asked Bernanke what would have happened if the Fed hadn't acted.

Pelley: What would unemployment be today?

Bernanke: Unemployment would be much, much higher. It might be something like it was in the Depression. Twenty-five percent. We saw what happened when one or two large financial firms came close to failure or to failure. Imagine if ten or 12 or 15 firms had failed, which is where we almost were in the fall of 2008. It would have brought down the entire global financial system and it would have had enormous implications, very long-lasting implications for the global economy, not just the U.S. economy.

But it's also true that the Fed was the regulatory watchdog of the largest banks when crazy lending led the world to crisis.

Pelley: Is there anything that you wish you'd done differently over these last two and a half years or so?

Bernanke: Well, I wish I'd been omniscient and seen the crisis coming, the way you asked me about, I didn't. But it was a very, very difficult situation. And the Federal Reserve responded very aggressively, very proactively.

Pelley: How did the Fed miss the looming financial crisis?

Bernanke: There were large portions of the financial system that were not adequately covered by the regulatory oversight. So, for example, AIG was not overseen by the Fed.

Pelley: The insurance company.

Bernanke: The insurance company that required the bailout, was not overseen by the Fed. It didn't really have any real oversight at that time. Neither did Lehman Brothers, the company that failed. Now, I'm not saying the Fed should not have seen some of these things. One of things that I most regret is that we weren't strong enough in putting in consumer protections to try to cut down on the subprime lending problem. That was an area where I think we could have done more.

Pelley: The gap between rich and poor in this country has never been greater. In fact, we have the biggest income disparity gap of any industrialized country in the world. And I wonder where you think that's taking America.

Bernanke: It's a very bad development. It's creating two societies. And it's based very much, I think, on educational differences. The unemployment rate we've been talking about. If you're a college graduate, unemployment is five percent. If you're a high school graduate, it's ten percent or more. It's a very big difference. It leads to an unequal society and a society which doesn't have the cohesion that we'd like to see.

Pelley: We have talked about how the next several years are gonna be tough years in this country. But I wonder what you think about the ten-year time horizon. Fifteen years. How do things look to you long term?

Bernanke: Long term, I have a lot of confidence in the United States. We have an excellent record in terms of innovation. We have great universities that are involved in technological change and progress. We have an entrepreneurial culture, much more than almost any other country. So, I think that in the longer term the United States will retain its leading position in the world. But again, we gotta get there. And we have some very difficult challenges over the next few years.


Produced by Henry Schuster

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